Inheritance Cycle Mafia DP2

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AustinL0926
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@Lunatic
1. His targeting of me last night is one of the prime reasons I’ve amped up my suspicion on him. It was incredibly a reckless move and one that he had not indicated in the slightest. He never once mentioned scum reading me in the last day phase. Now he’s saying he was trying to clear me for town confirmation which makes it even sussier. Who cops someone to town clear them? Doesn’t that indicate inside knowledge that he already knew I was town? Also I think the motivation for targeting makes more sense for him to do as scum because he knew I was onto him last day phase and if I was an investigation role it would make sense to get rid of me as an issue. I had kind of expected to be roleblocked or night killed if was right about Wylted being suspicious and so when it turned out he vanillized me it really only made my scum read of him harder. Before the day phase though I was actually strongly trying to consider a world where Wylted was town. I primed him yes, but I wasn’t fully planning on igniting  if my read on him ended up changing later on.

2. The way he claimed. He was resistant to claiming when I asked and it made no sense to me since the role aspect was already revealed. At that point there is literally no reason not to claim. When I asked him why he claimed he said it was to help catch someone via CC. Who in their right mind would claim to be Galbatorix THE MAIN VILLAIN, did he think he was going to catch claiming that?

2A. Why didn’t he claim this immediately? He came out the gate saying his role was scummy but why not his character? You can say lack of theme knowledge but that’s not true is it? Based on his own description of his role it should be pretty clear his character is a villain so why didn’t he also say my “my role and character might come across as scummy”?

2B. Why did he randomly decide that it his previous logic of CCing someone didn’t apply once I had guessed at his character (to another person btw, wasn’t even talking to him)? The way he claimed immediately after I called out his character seemed like an “oh fuck he guessed my character” move. I feel like he panicked in that moment and decided to rely on WIFOM to spin him claiming the antagonist being a good thing for him. The fact that it’s worked so well for him is a large indication of why this was probably a smart move on his part but the fact that so many people bought into it at first is also what raises red flags for me. 

I think 1 is the strongest point here - the problem is that if Wylted has basically been forced to claim his true role if he's scum, then using his role in a pro-town way just wildly swings off the balance of the setup, given that a vanillaizer is a powerful role as both alignments - so it's hard to see what he would do other than using it on a town player.

I especially don't buy the whole cop aspect of it - in fact, I wouldn't be surprised if overnight, Wylted asked Pie if there's a cop in the game - DON'T FORGET that there's that ability in the game, so Wylted wouldn't actually be risking a CC. Given that Cerulean claimed Oracle and that there are still some people unclaimed, wouldn't be surprised if Pie just messed around with some untraditional roles this game - I know for sure that mine isn't, and a Prideful Townie is a new one for me as well.

Regarding 2A and 2B, I kinda feel Wylted wouldn't care about that regardless of his alignment, but it's definitely not towny.




Lunatic
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@AustinL0926
Does oracle make sense to you as Elva? It kind of did to me but I am kind of mis remembering exactly how Elva’s powers work. I remember she can sense harm to others but don’t remember how that ends up benefiting her once the curse was removed, or if it makes sense in an oracley way but at the same time it makes enough sense prima facie that I don’t think cerulean would come up with that as a fake claim unless it was provided to him.
AustinL0926
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All of these are ordered from top to bottom, even within tiers.

Townreads:

-Luna
-Earth
-ADOL

Townlean:

-Cerulean
-WF
-Mhar

Scumlean:

-Wylted

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Based on their behavior today and yesterday, as well as claims in case of Luna and Earth, I'd be very surprised if they're scum. That leaves Wylted as a solid scumlean behaviorally and mechanically, and I kinda feel the last one would be in my townleans - I have slight reasons to town all of them, but I also wouldn't be surprised if they're scum. In particular, WF and Mharman have felt like a consistent blind spot.


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@Lunatic
Iirc, her ability allows her to sense pain and danger in people close to her - it's not something that I would immediately jump to as "oracle", but it's also not a glaring gap that I'd scumread Cerulean for.

I'd kinda expect her to more be a doc or maybe a watcher, but eh.


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VTL Wylted

Also want to add that the fact he only has one vote and is somehow getting away with his claim, night actions, and behavior is another piece of evidence for him being scum - I feel like if he was town, scum would be dying to stack on him and grab the free mislynch here.
Lunatic
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@AustinL0926
To your first point I’d say he should have used it either in negative utility or just waived it if town. If he had a strong scum read he was convinced of then maybe he could get a pass for it but that wasn’t the case as he stated, he thought I was town and wanted to town clear me. I have a hard time with that justification.

To your second point I agree, but also keep in mind pie almost never uses “cops”. Last time I was mafia in a pie game I asked if a cop existed, and was told no I believe. He uses variation style investigation roles that function similarly but a cop is extremely rare. I am keeping in mind that Wylted is trying to combine a cop with a vanillizer so technically it fits in the parameters of not being a cop, but it’s still something to note that he calls the ability a cop ability
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@ADreamOfLiberty
ADOL, have you ever played forum mafia before?

There are a few things I noticed from you that I've seen mostly from experienced players, which is why I'm curious:

-The use of "theatre" as a way to describe fake scum-scum conflict, which is indeed a specific piece of vocabulary in mafia that I didn't see any other players this game use yet
-Noting that D1 lynches are barely above rand accuracy (correct, but not an intuitive conclusion)
-Noting that no lynches are statistically worse than rand lynches


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@Lunatic
To your first point I’d say he should have used it either in negative utility or just waived it if town. If he had a strong scum read he was convinced of then maybe he could get a pass for it but that wasn’t the case as he stated, he thought I was town and wanted to town clear me. I have a hard time with that justification.

To your second point I agree, but also keep in mind pie almost never uses “cops”. Last time I was mafia in a pie game I asked if a cop existed, and was told no I believe. He uses variation style investigation roles that function similarly but a cop is extremely rare. I am keeping in mind that Wylted is trying to combine a cop with a vanillizer so technically it fits in the parameters of not being a cop, but it’s still something to note that he calls the ability a cop ability
To be clear, for your first point, I was agreeing with you - I was noting that while it might seem too audacious to be scum to just blatantly vanillaize someone after promising to use it on a negative utility player, it's hard to see what other option he has, since using it in a pro-town way just plays against his wincon.

I remember Pie did use cops in a past game, but I'd have to check. Regardless, Wylted's role is a weird mix of.. something.

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@AustinL0926
Iirc, her ability allows her to sense pain and danger in people close to her - it's not something that I would immediately jump to as "oracle", but it's also not a glaring gap that I'd scumread Cerulean for.

I'd kinda expect her to more be a doc or maybe a watcher, but eh.

My thoughts exactly. Bodyguard would almost he the first role for this character as she literally is a body guard for Nasuada for a while, but I can see a world where oracle kind of fits too
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@Mharman
Updated thoughts and reads?
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Official Vote Count:

Wylted (2/5) - Lunatic, Austin
Mharman (1/5) - Wylted
Whiteflame (1/5) - Cerulean

WyIted
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@AustinL0926
Also want to add that the fact he only has one vote and is somehow getting away with his claim, night actions, and behavior is another piece of evidence for him being scum - I feel like if he was town, scum would be dying to stack on him and grab the free mislynch here.
I think the scum team is specifically mharman and whiteflame. I am not that confident in my reads but if correct they are cautious players and wouldn't be anxious to jump on the lynch train. Also odd that you wouldn't put lunatic in your town pike if I flip town. I literally said I copped him innocent and unlike normal cop actions this is as close to 100% as you get with him being town. 
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@Lunatic
My role isn't called cop if that helps. It's called prober but functions like a cop. I specifically asked for it to be renamed anal prober so I anal probed you last NP. 
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@Earth
Whiteflame or mharman are scum. Probably both. Who do you want to lynch we can have 2 strong lynch trains and just fight for the counter lynch train and see what happens. 

That sort of lynch analysis will also come in handy later even if town makes the wrong choice
WyIted
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unvote VTL whiteflame
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@ILikePie5
Adol voted me, he just forgot to bold
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@ILikePie5
https://www.debateart.com/forum/topics/12213-inheritance-cycle-mafia-dp2?page=2&post_number=54
WyIted
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Whiteflame will vote me so that puts me at L1. I think that means I am relying on mharman who I scum read, but I could bre wrong about mharman
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@Earth
@Mharman
Let's vote whiteflame.  It's not that I blame anyone for putting me in their scum pile. Lunatic gave reasons, ADOL gave legitimate reasons. It's just that whiteflames responses have felt manufactured.  


WyIted
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If Earth and mharman play ball than that means just talking to one reasonable person and convincing them. Maybe ADOL, lunatic really wants this lynch and that will be tough. Whiteflame is my proposed alternative lynch so that won't happen. Let's see..........
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@AustinL0926
I think 1 is the strongest point here - the problem is that if Wylted has basically been forced to claim his true role if he's scum, then using his role in a pro-town way just wildly swings off the balance of the setup, given that a vanillaizer is a powerful role as both alignments - so it's hard to see what he would do other than using it on a town player.
Pie gave the scum team the ability to ask about characters bot roles. 

ILikePie5
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@ADreamOfLiberty
Given that lynching nobody must inevitably lead to town defeat I guess I'll vote to lynch Wylted.
To vote someone, please bold and say “VTL [Player]”
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Official Vote Count:

Wylted (2/5) - Lunatic, Austin
Whiteflame (2/5) - Cerulean, Wylted

whiteflame
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@Lunatic
@AustinL0926
To your first point I’d say he should have used it either in negative utility or just waived it if town.
You both have made some good points regarding WyIted. Going to give it some thought and make a decision tomorrow since we have the time. One point about the above: he did say he was compulsory, so he couldn't have waived usage of the role.
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@Lunatic
You know one time me and you played a game. I made the correct decision with it being LYLO and the following players remaining

1 scum - that was you

2 town- one was me

I think this was Australian mafia and I was some sort of famous Australian folk hero. 

The choice was on me that game. You were voting the town player and he was voting you. So I had a tough choice to make but I made a case for both of you being scum and I felt the case for you being scum was stronger so I voted you and won.

It kind of pissed me off because I was proud of myself and you criticized my judgement saying I didn't do as Good as I thought because I only looked for reasons you guys were scum, not reasons why you guys were town.

I didn't say anything at the time but I felt like you were right. I also thought maybe you were a sore loser but also that you were correct. That was a hole in my game. 

That was prior to Donald Trump's first term. In office. 

So 8 years ago you are good enough to point out a flaw in my logic and 8 years later you are here being a hypocrite and not even applying your same good advice to yourself?

You have yet to make a town case for me. Austin has. ADOl's vote is on me and he also made a town case along with the scum case, but you....... you haven't done it. 

Why is that?
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@WyIted
The decision to put a vote on me, both without pinging me and apparently with intent to lynch rather than get my claim, isn't helping your case. Nor is this clarification of your role:
My role isn't called cop if that helps. It's called prober but functions like a cop. I specifically asked for it to be renamed anal prober so I anal probed you last NP. 
Seems like information you should have presented up front when you claimed the Cop part of your role. Was this another misguided attempt at a CC?

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@whiteflame
I am essentially a cop so if anyone claims cop even though my role is called "prober" than yes I would consider that a CC. 

Also sorry for not pinging you. You are one of the few players who care and I keep forgetting to do that when we play. I am also open to lynching mharman if you want to go that route. 

I happen to know lunatic is town, I feel like earth is town and cerulean I am unsure about but willing to hear arguments. I kind of lean town on him, and part of the reason beingnis that it's pretty easy to justify a lynch on me and get some town cred doing it and he doesn't seem to be biting
WyIted
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This is also why I lean scum on you

Seems like information you should have presented up front when you claimed the Cop part of your role. Was this another misguided attempt at a CC?
That statement. If that's how you believe you normally act.  You're mistaken. It's a smarmy statement that you don't typically use on somebody when you are town and think they are scum. It's just a fact. You might think you do, but you don't. 
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@WyIted
You'd have a better case with me now if you'd just come out and said you were the Prober when you revealed the Cop dynamic. It's niche enough that it fits what I'm seeing as a trend from my own role and other players, but it's hard to say whether you are just responding to the sus on whether a Cop is in the game or this is your actual role. Making it compulsory is odd as well, though you did reveal that last DP, simply because it justifies your visiting and Vanillaizing someone regardless of a lack of information.

I've got my misgivings on Mharman, though I haven't seen anything from him this DP that's setting me off. What makes you sus him and why do you think he and I are a team?
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@WyIted
This is also why I lean scum on you

Seems like information you should have presented up front when you claimed the Cop part of your role. Was this another misguided attempt at a CC?
That statement. If that's how you believe you normally act.  You're mistaken. It's a smarmy statement that you don't typically use on somebody when you are town and think they are scum. It's just a fact. You might think you do, but you don't. 
You and I have very different views of what I'd normally do as town, though I guess you'll just have to verify it for yourself. Also, as I've now repeatedly stated, I haven't come down on a solid position on you. If I had, I'd already have placed my vote. If I'm being smarmy, it's because I'm rather frustrated that you keep giving out new information on your role well after it should have been fully clarified. Whether you're town or scum, you're making this harder than it has to be.