Okay I want to take my interaction with pie out of the puzzle for a moment, and look at facts and be as objective as possible here.
I will analyze what I think scum wylted and pie would do, based on motive, incentive, player stances at the time, etc..
DP1, and the Savant mislynch: The savant mislynch is something I from the beginning never thought was the strongest lynch in the game. Unfortunately I was a bit busy dp1 and couldn't really contribute much in the way I wanted, so I can't be too judgeful of this one.
Town Pie: To be fair to pie, I can see pie pursuing this lynch as town too. The reasoning in my opinion was bad, but pie tends to have a very objective view of mafia, in that he sees something as logical or illogical, he will pursue that logic unashamedly. In this case it was "The vote thief is anti town" logic. I have seen him use the same logic about anti town roles in the past, so this is why I was excusing pie for this logic initially. Everyone knows how pie acts with millers, despite the fact that they have commonly been mislynched as town. To pie, negative utility = needs to be lynched. The town argument is that no one else including myself had another lead and he was one of the few people causing activity that day phase, if he was wrong well then "Where were you with your other 'better' lead"?
Scum Pie: If pie is scum, he can just use the logic "I would have done this as town" and he'd probably be right too. This playstyle pie uses allows him to get mis-lynches that he can always justify that way. Scum pie can always use this logic to get mislynches and the next day just say "I was wrong, I fvcked up, but I don't see the mod doing this" etc therefor passing the blame to the mod. Which again, he would also do as town.
Town Wylted: When wylted voted, we were running low on time, so it was between that and a no lynch. He also had some role-related reasons to believe savant was scum since he felt vote thief was a semi counter to his role
Scum Wylted: Wylted did flip flop on this lynch, in post 542 told savant he felt town. Instantly puts blame on pie at the end of the day phase, despite joining him on the lynch, which is pretty hypocritical. It's one of the reasons I started in on people for condemning the wagon-starter despite having also joined in on the wagon. Seems like a scum motivated move to join a mislynch and try to avoid blame for partaking of it.
DP2 and the joebob mislynch: I can't be too judgeful of this one either, I did board the lynch buying into the scum slip logic, however, in hindsight it is kind of wierd that we took joebob out by affiliation when we would have known whether the whole logic fell apart via moozer being confirmed in one day phase. It's almost like this was another day phase where we waited til last minute and were forced into deciding one way because the whole conversation thus far was about this supposed scum slip.
Town Wylted: Being wrong isn't a sin, and to be fair it was really really weird that a commute was mentioned when joebob had the only other ability that allowed commuting. In the end even I took this bait. Bad luck for moozer I guess, but we all definitely invested too much into that train of thought. I will say the presentation wylted made and the case he had, it felt like a genuine with hunt. I felt that he actually believed this was the scum team at the time. He was pretty passionate, and I feel like scum would be more wary about casting absolute certainty like this knowing how it would look if they were wrong.
Scum Wylted: Scum wylted could have just pursued this logic knowing it was a safe mislynch, and maybe he over exagerated how "confirmed" he felt this mislynch was. It was definitely easier than the savant mislynch to acheive due to the nature of the "slip" and he could easily pass of guilt over being wrong to this being a "noob" who fvcked up.
Town Pie: Pie did have casey in his POE early in this day phase, as of post 55 (though I suppose he could have been planning a bus since early).
Scum pie: Pie looked good this day phase with the magistrate ability. It's only now, knowing that it wasn't strictly a magistrate, that this ability could just have easily been a scum role that we question it. Also it seems he literally only used this role to confirm himself. While this isn't a role that has a ton of town utility, the only town utility I can see him using this role on me for is if he was worried I would be a mislynch and he firmly believed I was town. He had no reason to think I was town at this point, and even had placed me null from town read at the end of the previous day phase based on my activity. So this role was used literally just to confirm himself. Anyways, pie knew he would get flack in this day phase for being wrong on the savant lynch and pressing it so hard, and he did get some pressure. pie came back to the day phase several pages after wylted points out the slip, but boards the logic immediately, despite scum reading wylted earlier (for much of the same reasons he is still pursuing this phase). Overall this mislynch does a lot more for pie than it does for wylted IMO, because Pie already suspected wylted, so in the case where joebob flips town, its more ammo for his arsenal. Also this mislynch largely took pressure off himself from the savant mislynch.
The Night Kills: For the sake of argument, we are going to assume that earth was the vig kill, and moozer was the night kill. No one here seems to object that, and moozer only makes sense as a night kill, being confirmed. So we just have to look at whether the vig was town owned, or scum owned, and analyze who had more motive to shoot who as either affiliation.
Town Wylted: So if wylted is town here, then we are to assume he is being 100% honest with what he claims he did. In this case, he claims he shot earth due to POE. This lines up with where wylted was at towards the end of DP3. He had initially posited I was scum and pursuing that end until pie had convinced him otherwise. post
105 indicated where he switched from scum reading me to earth. I was indicating having scum read wylted at this point, so if he is scum, why on earth does he leave me alive in MYLO? This is what gives him the most town cred imo, because he chose to act in what he thought was towns best interest by eliminating POE, rather than survival. Because at that point I was dead set on lynching Wylted, was even going as far as to type endgame comments to him, like "GG" and telling him he played well, etc.
Scum Wylted: You can argue the earth kill was scummy based on his role, and being "technically" confirmed, but at the time I was positing that there could be a scum mason recruiter, and even pie had pointed out austin was likely if anyone was, to put this type of role on the scum team. Ultimately the only thing townier he could have done here was waived the vig kill. Moozer would have been an objectively easy decision no matter who is scum in this scenario, based on being confirmed town. No matter who is scum here, you want to enter LYLO with as many mislynch oppertunities as possible.
Town pie: Same logic with wylted being scum, moozer was an objective kill that doesn't paint anyone as being more likely than the other.
Scum pie: Scum pie at the end of the day phase thought he had this game locked down. If I didn't change my mind, and was still on board to lynch wylted as I was at the end, there is no way he kills me. I think scum pie chooses the safer kill in moozer and banks on being able to convince me and barney to get the mislynch on wylted. Wylted, on paper seems like a good mislynch target. It's only when adding it up in the face of everything else, where it starts to not make sense.
Ultimately:
From my perspective the only thing that makes sense for me being alive and wylted being scum, is if he big brained the logic that I would switch to being suspect of pie based on still being alive. That requires a lot of respect on wylteds scum game, and if he is actually scum then he definitely deserves props for that. But leaving me alive is way too much of a gamble for wylted based on EOD lunatic. I see wylted as clever enough to do it, don't get me wrong, but if he had the game this close to winning it doesn't make sense to risk it. And it lines up perfectly with where he was at the end of the last day phase. No flip flops or crazy justifications neccesary to explain his actions. Scum are more likely to go for the oppertunistic kill here every time than the risky one. There is just no way I see wylted leaving me alive.
I think I am willing to die on this hill. If I am wrong, I guess I have to apologize to pie in the endgame, but that would also be a massive scum respect play by wylted, and I'll never underestimate wylted again in the future if he is actually scum here.
But the night kills and mislynches indicate to me that it is more likely pie than wylted.
