Pie Recycled Roles Mafia DP1

Author: ILikePie5

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AustinL0926
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I think I'd prefer Earth today because Joe's role is at least unconfirmable. If Joe uses his role in a way that is blatantly anti-town (e.g. roleblocking Savant), then we powerlynch him next DP.
AustinL0926
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*confirmable
AustinL0926
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@Lunatic
I think I’d like to hear more from Austin as well. I know I was towing him earlier and he said he was busy but after the first day of arguing with savant he seems like he’s trying to let the attention shift a bit which I don’t like. I’m hoping he will be a bit more active today.
I had some family stuff yesterday, promise I'll be active today.
WyIted
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@AustinL0926
He can roleblock me and I can confirm him
WyIted
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@JoeBob
Roleblock me tonight
Savant
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@AustinL0926
JoeBob can just roleblock the most suspicious-seeming town member if he is scum.
AustinL0926
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Actually, just realized something. Look at Joebob and Earth's games:



-First, let's agree it's pretty unlikely for either of them to be fakeclaiming. Even if we assume it's possible, the risk-reward ratio doesn't make sense. In the best case scenario, they simply get a different game with no increase in towncred. In the worst case, they instantly get lynched DP1. Especially in the chaos of everyone pressuring for game claims early, I find it highly unlikely that one of them chose to take this risk.

-Mafia roles on Joe's game: Actress, Watcher, Ninja
-Mafia roles on Earth's game: Roleblocker, JOAT (Rolecop/Strongman/Janitor), Tracker

Joe's game doesn't have a roleblocker, so he can't be covering for his own role. It's possible that if he was scum, his buddy would be covering for him instead, but this seems unlikely, since in case of any Joe flip then that would implicate the few games that have a scum roleblocker.


AustinL0926
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@Savant
JoeBob can just roleblock the most suspicious-seeming town member if he is scum.
That's what I figured, but we have to make this clear so he doesn't "decide" that you're the "most suspicious-seeming town member" if he's scum.
Savant
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@AustinL0926
First, let's agree it's pretty unlikely for either of them to be fakeclaiming. Even if we assume it's possible, the risk-reward ratio doesn't make sense.
They can just ask about 2 games with zero risk though.
Savant
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I guess if we leave JoeBob alive and he's the roleblocker, he can't roleblock me tonight.
ILikePie5
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Official Vote Count:

Earth (3/5) - Austin, Lunatic, Wylted 
Austin (1/5) - Moozer
JoeBob (1/5) - Savant

Please let me know if there are any mistakes


Savant
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@AustinL0926
So actually might be better to lynch Earth in that case.
Savant
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VTL Earth

NO ONE HAMMER!!!
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@Savant
Sure, but I still find it unlikely for several reasons:

-The chance of getting a "hit" is fairly low, especially since neither Joe or Earth were one of the last claimers
-It doesn't bring any additional towncred (this is the main one) while locking them in to a potentially flawed subset of claims
-Mahabharata and Invincible, Pie's most recent games, are two of the missing ones, which is exactly what I would expect


AustinL0926
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@Savant
Unvote to avoid potential derphammers pls. We have plenty of time left in the DP and we owe it to Earth to let him say something.
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Unvote
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@AustinL0926
The chance of getting a "hit" is fairly low, especially since neither Joe or Earth were one of the last claimers
If JoeBob was scum, he would know abut 8 existing games after six other people revealed theirs. There's a 100% chance he would land on a fake game if he asked about two.
Savant
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But I agree the odds of the Town Drunk game being available are low and it's not something I think JoeBob would have planned ahead on.
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@Savant
How would he know about eight existing games? He would only know six. Then his chances would be (2/6) * (1/5) * 2! = (2/15)


WyIted
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@AustinL0926
No we don't owe him anything and no earth or joebob either one, if they speak aren't going to say anything useful. Savant is always online so he will likely h be here to vote when the time comes so your advice is not overly harmful fortunately
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@WyIted
How would you feel to be flash wagoned while asleep?
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@AustinL0926
Who gives a shit about my feelings. That's female logic.

"What if we hurt the feelings of bobby by firing him on Christmas eve'

Like fuck Bobby and fuck his family. I have a business to run
Savant
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@AustinL0926
Because scum already know about two existing games. Your math is also wrong, but that's going to take too long to explain.
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@Savant
Because scum already know about two existing games. Your math is also wrong, but that's going to take too long to explain.
I forgot about that, so I get your point. Also I was never very good at math so I'll believe you on that front.

JoeBob
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sorry I was asleep
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@WyIted
Like fuck Bobby and fuck his family. I have a business to run
A business that can’t go 2 days to fire him until AFTER Christmas?
JoeBob
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1. who should I role block tonight 
2. sorry for the no reads, but it’s so hard to follow along this DP. like half of it is WyIted and Austin and Savant arguing. and while Savant is a un-CC’ed cop, idk why he thinks Austin is scum. and now they suddenly come to the conclusion to vote me. just tell me who you think is the most likely scum and I will consider  voting them

JoeBob
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@Moozer325
also is moozer coming back any time soon? He’s been gone for quite a while now
AustinL0926
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477 by joe feels very towny. I feel like if he was scum he would have just lurked and asked his partner for some better reads. this seems to be a genuinely confused townie.
Earth
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I think it is funny I am claiming Commuter because I do remember saying something along the lines of scum fakeclaiming commuter a lot.