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As far as the swing states are concerned Trump has Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina in the bag. 

This puts Trump at 268 points. That's his minimum.

Kamala needs to win Michagin, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. If Kamala wins it's because she swept those 3 states. I just don't see it happening and Trump could potentially flip Virginia here making her path much harder, but these 3 states are what you need to look at on election night. 
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