So you think electing Bernie Sanders would have destroyed the Democratic Party? I agree. Wish I had that moral support from you back in March :)
Are there any other examples? You said it was routine. I'd like to think about the trends and see if they tell a story.
I don't think it would've destroyed the democratic party, may have even been better in the long term, but he would have lost this specific election. The exact same thing happened in 2016, although Clinton failed to win, I seriously doubt Bernie would have pulled it off. It happens in downballot races all the time because white democrats tend to be more liberal on everything (including racial issues lol) than nonwhite dems
In addition to Fox News, there's Breitbart, The Washington Times, National Review, Red State, Ben Shapiro, Alex Jones, The American Conservative, The American Spectator, Candace Owens, and many more very popular right-wing commentators and publications. Virtually every NASCAR and country music star is pro Trump, and middle America tends to resent Hollywood and the media anyway.
Come on, now. If you believe that Breitbart, the Washington Times, and the National Review have anything comparable to the influence of The New York Times, The Washington Post, and The Atlantic, you're out of your mind. Of course leftists have more "star power" in culture.
I think it depends on which Hispanics you're referring to; Trump only increased his share of Hispanic support by 4 percent. Biden still got 2/3 of the Latino vote. I do think some of it has to do with establishing an "us vs. them" distinction between good immigrants and bad ones. Why do you think so many Hispanics support Trump? Is it just anti BLM stuff + social conservatism, or do you think they hate themselves given many of them are first generation Americans with both legal and illegal immigrant family members and friends?
I'm not sure where you're getting the number that he only increased his support with Latino's by 4%, but I would assume that's from the Exit Poll. I don't blame you for not knowing this because it's pretty esoteric knowledge, but the Exit Poll is notoriously unreliable. For example, in 2016 it said that Trump won white college graduates, but just looking at the massive swings in white suburban precincts called that into question, and every other more comprehensive study that followed such as the national voter file study found that Clinton won the white college educated vote by a large margin.
Anyway to get back to the point, Hispanics are swinging right because American politics are getting less polarized by race and more polarized by class. Peak racial polarization (in the modern era) = 2012 election, peak class polarization = ?, but I'm thinking it will be 2024.
Again why do you think Republicans who emphatically endorsed "free market capitalism" for the last 40 years suddenly did a 180 for Trump though? And do you believe Trump delivered significant results for the poor and working class, particularly in the heartland where he promised to do so? I read a study that found relative stagnation in economic conditions throughout the Midwest. Apparently median household income grew at a slower pace (2.1%) during Trump's first three years in office compared to the last three years of Obama’s presidency when annual average income growth was 2.6%. Another report says under Trump,
annual pay also grew more slowly in counties that voted for Obama twice but then voted for Trump in 2016. In fact, the average annual wage growth during the Obama presidency was nearly twice that of the Trump presidency in the counties that swung for Trump.
The Republican party hasn't completed abandoned it's free market worship (sadly) but they've gotten a lot better, mostly because Trump won and demolished the old consensus. Soooo many GOP senators and reps retired during his term and were replaced by people who are actually on board, but there's a lot of work to be done. Someone made a good point that Trump was like chemotherapy for the GOP. Yes he was very toxic, which is why he lost, but he was ultimately necessary because Bush/Romney style conservatism just was not a viable coalition going forward. It had to take being beaten by DONALD TRUMP and seeing him prevail in states Republicans hadn't touched in 30+ years for the establishment to kinda sorta start to understand.
As for pay growing slower in Obama-Trump counties...that makes perfect sense. They voted for Trump because things aren't going well for them. Trump's efforts to help the working class were largely ineffectual. To be fair you need congress to get on board for there to be serious reform, but he squandered his first two years on an unnecessary tax cut. But he did do some good things. Renegotiating NAFTA was a very big deal. Hopefully a more competent version of Trump comes in 2024 and brings congress with them, allowing us to implement some real pro-worker reform...and that would include a lot of "leftist" ideas like higher minimum wage and mandating maternity/paternity leave, so maybe we'll be able to work together then. Who knows.
That said comparing wage growth under Obama and Trump isn't fair because Obama got to ride the recovery from the greatest economic crisis since the depression. The economy, pre-COVID, under Trump really was EXTREMELY solid and low wage earners were finally seeing some improvements. However if we're being honest the President alone really has little to do with the economy.
Almost all seem to have died down in July after about a month and a half, except a few might have popped up in cities where a black person was shot. I believe there was one in Philly not too long ago. I haven't heard of anything else. I think a lot of the civil unrest could have been thwarted if Trump took a more balanced tone instead of thriving off the "Dems hate law and order" narrative though. He barely acknowledges the problem of unchecked police unions, choosing instead to focus on the "thugs." I get that it's politics but he could have done a much better job at being a good leader.
If you pay close attention to this stuff, as I have, you'll also notice that democratic administrations in the big cities also wouldn't even prosecute the people doing it. For example, in Portland the same rioters were released again and again and again. There has been incessant and spontaneous bouts of violence and vandalism from Antifa since at least 2016. I can get on board behind an argument that the scale of the lawlessness is exaggerated, but you won't be able to point to a similar contemporaneous conservative movement. You just won't be able to. A lot of stores in big cities boarded up their windows on the eve of the election, and it wasn't out of a fear of Trump supporters.
That is 100% irrelevant though. These stories of alleged suppression tend to be simply anecdotal because the facts simply don’t back up sweeping assertions. People at Media Matters have done
study after
study after
study after
study showing that conservative content on Facebook receives significantly greater engagement than other content. The New York Times’
has shown that the top-performing link posts on U.S. Facebook pages are dominated by conservatives like Trump, Ben Shapiro and Fox News contributors. The examples that conservatives give of alleged censorship are usually just examples of individuals breaking the rules or people who don't know how social media works.
Yeah, that's because Facebook is dominated by boomers/silent generation people...unless you seriously believe that a company whose employees skew 97%-3% liberal are for some reason writing algorithms that amplifies conservative thought for some reason. I am enjoying having this conversation with you, but it might be time to table this part of the discussion because if you believe that the big tech companies are biased in favor of the right, we are so far apart that it's not going to be fruitful.
This "phenomenon" of being cancelled is not new at all though. Here is an
apropos meme. History is chock full of firings and harassment and lawsuits against people who were targeted and taken down for disagreeing with the status quo. You should look into how people were treated if they spoke out against the Vietnam War. I agree there is a huge problem with Cancel Culture and silencing dissent and punishing people with different POVs, but I completely disagree this is a new thing or that it is unique to the left. That's whiney ass Tucker Carlon crying again about things he cannot back up. And if you challenge that notion that this is not new or unique to the left, I'll just inundate you with tons more examples proving that straight up factually isn't true (I believe I already gave like a dozen examples). It's nothing personal I just loathe this demonstrably false take. As I stated there is a difference between having your Facebook profile silenced for 30 days and having the government demand loyalty oaths. There's a difference between being kicked of twitter and being fired for being gay.
And in the status quo, it is overwhelmingly coming from the left. That's just a fact.
Conservative speakers are just as welcome on liberal college campuses as liberals are at Trump rallies I guess.
I would feel much safer going to a Trump rally wearing a Biden hat than I would be wearing a Trump hat at a black lives matter rally--and so would you.
Maybe it's true Republicans overperformed because I wasn't paying attention to specific races, but if it's true that people voted Republican down-ballot and against Trump then it's just as much a signal that Americans dislike his style as much as they like it. I feel like focusing on how dire things are for Democrats though is just a red herring. Like it's true but can't we all breathe a collective sigh of relief to have this chimpanzee out of the highest office? I think everyone knows it's an uphill battle from here.
Yes, that's absolutely the case. And it gives me a lot of hope for 2022/2024...there was a lot of low hanging fruit that Trump didn't grab, politically speaking (like just acting like a President...) 2024 will probably be a Republican blow out.