Poker Mafia - DP1

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Vader
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by reads not clear, I mean the overall reads based on balance of the game. Being too defensive and playing safe as town will ultimately lead to mafia winning. Betting is the only way town wins. Folding is anti town, and only to be used in MYLO's - 1
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@PressF4Respect
Then the key is to ultimately analyze the DP behavior. It is a tricky concept, but with no leads, it's hard to formulate a true concensus, especially if a townie folds
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With that, I am not confident enough to lead a vote on anyone without more confident. I am CONFIDENT in all lynches. Sure, my FoS is Bear, but it's not to the point where I believe Bear is scum
VTNL
Vader
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@BearMan
It isn't smart to lynch someone based purely off lurking alone. There has to be a accumulation of factors that play into a lynch. I did specify on what I was doing that day. You also understand that this isn't a normal mafia game
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@Vader
Betting is the only way town wins. Folding is anti town, and only to be used in MYLO's - 1
No no no no no. We need to help a lucky towny hitting fullhouse to get the most out of theor success. Do not play like a lunatic amd bet every day phase.

Town should game wisely.

RationalMadman
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Use this and fill/plug in your one-person situation. It will help you from the result to get am estimate. i recommend everyone outing cards if it's a really strange flop but everyone hiding cards if it's a predictable flop. This is optimal.

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Use the outed cards to better estimate your odds

Vader
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@RationalMadman
So what do you suggest we do then in that situation? How do you help a townie?
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Due to joker, everyone bet silently.
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We need to help a lucky towny hitting fullhouse to get the most out of theor success. Do not play like a lunatic amd bet every day phase.

I mea. Three of a kind. I am sorry my brain would assume it's luckier to be cop than popular. I still think that way and am sorry for this mixup.
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@Vader
Folding if you have a shit hand to help cop reports matter if they're on you.
Vader
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Also just a note, I'm not great at poker. Sometimes I win, sometimes I lose, so if it seems like I'm "in the dark." it's probably cuz I'm not aware of the in's n out's of the games strategy
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@RationalMadman
Ok, but I don't see what's on the table. Will that be revealed in the NP? 
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The calculator only predicts you hirting great habds, not a simple pair, so do be slightlylre optimistic than it suggests. Put yourself against an opponent who has a pair.
Vader
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@RationalMadman
Also I don't play with Jokers so can you explain the wild joker
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@Vader


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Flop means first three cards.
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@Vader
Joker is guarbateed pair. Joker helps you form the best hand and can be any card at all.
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Guaranteed*
Vader
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@RationalMadman
Ok. Makes sense now. Thank you for explaining. I wasn't aware of the terms lol. I play occasionally with friends
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Fold or vet. This check/fold js a joke. When will everyone check/fold? Whh would you want to? You're checking in a game where betting is the only alternative to folding.
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@Vader
Even in real money poker, there's no joemr eother. It's not at all normal to have it in poker so your confusion is understandable. 
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Joker either*
warren42
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RM can your odds calculator account for wilds? I don't see a way it can.

RM is town again and I kinda townread Pie's frustration with my/croc's relative inactivity. Good news is mafia can kill me before I can catch them if they want to waste a NK there ;)
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@PressF4Respect
Are you suggesting we lynch them?
If there’s no alternative. Lynch or NK. Inactivity doesn’t benefit town whatsoever.
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For my card calculator link, give your opponent a low pair (if all three cards are high, give tbem a lower pakr where both cards in the pair are in their hand) the odds that show will basically help you estimate your likelihood of veen hitting a pair. Make sure if you have a 2, to change your 2 into a 3 and give the opponent a pair of 2s. You want to estimate your abolity to scrape a pair. The odds are for the winning hand.
BearMan
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@Vader
It isn't smart to lynch someone based purely off lurking alone. There has to be a accumulation of factors that play into a lynch. I did specify on what I was doing that day. You also understand that this isn't a normal mafia game
Yeah ik.
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@RationalMadman
Or, possibly more importantly, how are we going to calculate our odds of doing something without knowing other peoples' hands?
Vader
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@RationalMadman
@warren42
The website doesn't have wild jokers either, so that's an issue
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@warren42
No amd it also isn't telling you how likely a pair is, it's telling you how likely you are to win the hand (unless there's a way to customise it) Joker increases your odds ofc ourse but by a tiny bit. Let's say 3% because it's basically below 4% but above 3% i  how much it matters.