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@Danielle
Ragnar says he knows the mafia has a role blocker.
That's not what Ragnar said. What Ragnar said is that IF MAFIA HAS A POWER ROLE, then it's the role blocker -- which is important. He left it at the conditional, which stands out to me because he is either suggesting he knows mafia have a role blocker (because it's him or his scum partner), or he is assuming there is a role blocker based on his role.
The fact that he is both acting like he knows there is no doctor in the game and he is formulating his strategy on the basis that there is no doctor in the game suggests either that he is fake claiming because he knows at least one of the role(s) he's alluded to having isn't in the game but he doesn't know what that role is, at least exactly what that role is, yet, but he knows someone else in the game might be able, through how they react to his fake claim, to tell him what role actually is safe to hard claim so that when he's actually at L-1 he can convincingly fake claim while coming up with fake results the next day.
And it already looks to me like there is some coordination to that effect going on. Potentially with TUF. Though I still think there will be useful information to be gleaned from Ragnar's lynch and I think the DP has already made that clear.
But the reason I agree with you that TUF's affiliation can't be confirmed based on Ragnar flipping town or scum is because of the nature of TUF's reaction. TUF reacted like he knew, exactly, what Ragnar's role was -- which is just totally impossible with the setup unless TUF's perspective is informed. The only way TUF knows exactly what Ragnar's role is, is if TUF is Ragnar's scum mate or if he is a mason with Ragnar. But TUF had absolutely no idea what Ragnar's role was because he did a complete 360 after Ragnar's actions. When TUF was writing his response, which was something like "If you don't unvote TUF and see why that must happen after what Ragnar just said then you won't be getting any follow from me" or something like that. It was a strong reaction. If TUF knows what Ragnar's role is then TUF is scum, unless the two are masons, and I just do not see any world where that happens.
On the other hand, the Ragnar/Zaradi mason team is looking more viable based on my reconsideration of the situation. That would be consistent with Zaradi's strong scum read on TUF that, for the most part, was pretty unwavering, and the thoughts Zaradi had on Ragnar's lynch. But I think if Ragnar flips town then Zaradi must be town, and then TUF has to be scum -- and that is why Zaradi was scum reading TUF and doing so in a way that approximated tunneling. And consistent with their past play -- again assuming I'm right here -- Zaradi isn't going to stick his neck out for Ragnar, and frankly I don't think he should because I think Zaradi is confirmed town if Ragnar flips town.
It is a miracle I'm town reading you since you are not playing to your #1 town meta which is tunneling me.
I think it's been three years since I've played with you in a game of Mafia. Maybe four. I was a bit more gung ho back then. Now I'm apparently old enough to be called daddy by a 23 year old.
