Alright we still need pie to claim stat, but while we are waiting on that i'll give some input. Role-wise, nothing really screams "has to be scum" to me yet.
Let's go down the list and weigh the good bad and ugly though.
Mharman: For mharman to be scum, I have to believe that he would have risked a huge gambit last day phase and hoped it would pay off in not getting him lynched today. I was already kind of doubtful that he would lie about his results last day phase. That whole situation between him and wylted seemed very "both parties are innocent here, mafia pulled some sh1t". The thing is I can't actually think of what mafia would have done to pull this off. Wylted claimed his action actually went to casey, which means he couldn't have been redirected which would have been the number one theory.
The bus driver theory: I brought this up last day phase, but one way that wylted could have been telling the truth at the time was with a bus driver. As far as I am aware a bus driver only impacts actions used against the person, not the actions they used. I never got the chance to respond to wylteds post 96, where he asked if a busdriver would effect his result of literally being told he had visited casey, but in theory, no a busdriver wouldnt have effected him. For a bus driver to have worked, mafia had to have visited mharman and bus drove themselves with wylted, which would have effected the results, since mharman is essentially a self watcher, he actually saw the mafia and austin visit himself, but the bus drive would have made it so wylted actually appeared on the result.
What makes this whole theory really interesting is the fact that austin claimed to be strengther which leads me into....
Austin: If austin is strengthener then we know that mafia have some role impeding ability. Roleblocker is the first to come to mind, but since I am already on topic of a bus driver, I have to wonder how strengther would impact a bus drive, since a bus driver doesn't actually impede an action. I am guessing if austin had strengthened mharman though, mharman would have had to have accurate results, meaning that somehow wylted did visit him. So either I am not understanding how busdriver works, or some other role is at foul play here that I completely don't understand. But for austin to be scum I have to buy that he and mharman are exactly the scum team, something which he did draw attention to already. I am not entirely willing to dismiss this. I am also willing to admit there could be another role at play here that I don't know about, considering cerulean comes from a different mafia background and might be privy to knowing more roles that I do not know about. And again, I would have to buy that they went for a huge WIFOM gambit last day phase for this to be true. I am willing to keep this scum team as an option, but it feels a little too "easy" for my liking.
The last thing I will say about austin is I am a bit surprised with the strengthener claim mainly because I didn't get that from his final post in dp1, I felt like he was hinting at some investigative role and trying to tell us who he investigated in case he dies. Strengthener does feel a bit off kilter after that.
Pie: I don't have a ton to say about pie, other than he looks good right now based off of two investigative results, he would have to be exactly godfather for him to be scum here, which isn't something I am dismissing out of hand yet. But the fact that he isn't seen visiting the kill is also extremely helpful. He could be a ninja I suppose, though if he is a ninja or had an x shot ninja it is extremely convienent it was used tonight instead of last night, and we have no other evidence to suggest more than one watcher/tracker ability (Taking mharman into account). Pie's overall activity seemed a little more lacking than usual this game, but his push on wylted seemed fairly typical of pie's town play. I would suggest he and whiteflame could also be a scum team but I also have results that indicate relative innocence. I am going to keep pie null until he claims further, but I don't have any immediate reason to scum read him at this time, other than POE, but everyone is in POE for me right now.
Whiteflame: Two things ping me with whiteflame. 1. His role feels pretty OP combined with mharmans, mine, and casey's. That doesn't neccesarily mean it's too good to be true, cerulean did say this was a rolemadness game and we can probably deduce scum has pretty powerful roles to and potentially counters to everything we have. We already know some fvckery happened with mharmans results. 2. Earth was suspicious of whiteflame last day phase, earth happens to die last night. Could be coincidence, could be mafia framing WF, or could just be WF getting rid of who he thought was the biggest threat. Behaviorally other than that I don't have a ton against WF, I tend to find him hard to read in general, but as of right now those are my two biggest issues with WF, both of which are more or less based on WIFOM and I can't really expect WF to defend against that.
I don't have any glaring scum reads on anyone right now, I feel like I missed all of DP1, and 2 got rushed, so I really want to pace this phase out and participate a lot more and get a feel for scum tells, because it seems this is mylo, and we have to get it right. I have exactly 50% of of lynching correctly this phase, so I would like to make a more calculated decision based on peoples behaviors.
