Indian Politicians Mafia DP2

Author: ILikePie5

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whiteflame
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@Lunatic
So your saying he should have just got a message saying “motion detected” instead of saying specifically the he visited someone, am I understanding that correctly? It’s suspicious because it specifically says he visited someone am I getting that correctly?
Effectively, yes. I don’t know what specific message would be sent, but regardless of what it is, I don’t think it would be this specific.
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@whiteflame
So he either
1: guessed correctly
2: is mafia scout and saw him move
3: is mafia moozer and know he visited someone and used this to try and confirm him self

Either way it implicates him as scum so yeah I’m down if banana wants to lynch him
whiteflame
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@Lunatic
So he either
1: guessed correctly
2: is mafia scout and saw him move
3: is mafia moozer and know he visited someone and used this to try and confirm him self

Either way it implicates him as scum so yeah I’m down if banana wants to lynch him
I'll note that it's not guaranteed. Earth informed me just a few posts back that in his game where he'd made Pie the Motion Detector, he had said Pie would get distinct information based on whether he visited or was visited, so it's possible that that's his actual role. The lack of any investigative role claimed so far makes me hesitant to pull the trigger here as well.
whiteflame
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I'd like to start discussing PoE more broadly at this point. We should at least be able to agree on a pool of potential scum based on what we know so far, though I'd really like if Owen could make an appearance and give any results he has. 

First, the claims so far (I'll build from Luna's breakdown - let me know if I missed anything):

Full claims:

JoeBob - Amit Shah - Motion Detector - NP1: used on Moozer, said he performed some action
Moozer - Mansukh Mandaviya - 1X Doctor - NP1: used on Whiteflame
Casey - Narendra Modi - 1x Kingmaker - NP1: crowned Banana Queen
Banana - Shivraj Singh Chouchan - Popular Townie - NP1: N/A 

Character Claims:

Earth - Bhupendrabhai Patel

Partial Claims:

Lunatic - BJP 
Whiteflame - Minister
Owen - TMC

Dead:

Austin - Yogi Adityanath - Ascetic
whiteflame
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As for where I see things, I think the town camp is pretty clear.

Casey has straight up demonstrated their role without CC. It strikes me as a good choice. I was already townreading Casey behaviorally last DP, but the role confirmation plus the use of this particular role (it'd be incredibly weird for scum to have a role like this) make it a near certainty that Casey is town. It's a little weird that Casey considered thinking that the prime minister themselves is a member of Lok Sabha a softclaim, but I'll chalk that up to my own lack of knowledge about how the prime minister and houses of parliament interact in India.

Banana is only slightly less so. She was widely townread behaviorally back in DP1 and I don't think any of us have seen reason to change that now that she's Queen-for-the-DP. The claim of Popular Townie makes her role confirmable as well. That's not 100% since I believe we have had a Popular scum before (it was a long time back), but I have a hard time believing that that's the case here. Small outside chance, but still a strong town lean.

Luna is in my town camp. I'm going to ask that people just trust me on this one for the time being. He's not absolutely confirmed town, but I have good reason to suspect he's town based on what I know from the NP and I'll leave it at that for now.


That leaves five others, myself included. I'll leave it to others to decide where I should fall here.

Based on his hesitancy to claim what he saw as a scummy character last DP, I'm still lightly townreading Owen. That being said, he's my first choice for a full claim at this point because he's also the one closest to null out of my town pile. I could see how he might use his concern over his character looking scummy as a basis for dragging out his claim further, I just don't think it's the likeliest explanation for his behavior up to now.

That leaves three: Earth, Moozer and JoeBob. I was townreading Earth last DP for claiming a Minister and I still stand by that. He also pointed out the interesting clustering of characters representing Gujarat. He was the earliest to claim a character as well, and while he could have just asked Pie whether this specific character was in the game, the choice itself seems like it would come out of left field and that he'd be risking a lot if he was the only claimed Minister (which, at the time, he was).

I don't know about the rest of you, but my character does not represent Gujarat or anywhere all that near it for that matter. Madhya Pradesh, the region Banana's character represents, is distinct as well. I don't know why Pie would select three people representing the same region, particularly if the rest of us are more spread out. I can't speak to the theme at all, but unless it's a regional theme split, I don't see it as at all likely that these three were independently given characters from Gujarat. 


So, at least atm, my scum reads are Moozer and JoeBob. I've already spent some time explaining why JoeBob stands out to me with the Motion Detector and the result he says he received, but my stronger read is on Moozer. Anyone else find it strange that he just straight up claimed 1X Doctor rather than stating that he was just the Doctor, essentially claiming that he's now Vanilla since he's used up his role? And without any pressure this DP to boot. If it's the sole protective role in this game, it's strange that it's a single-use role and honestly, I'm not entirely sure why he claims to have used it on me. I seemed like a random choice, and especially if he didn't know who had a PR of substance, it was a strange choice to target me if his sole reasoning was that he thought I was town. I was certainly not the strongest townread coming out of DP1. This scum pool does mean that these two would have tied themselves together with JoeBob having claimed to use his role on his scum partner, but the Motion Detector claim and target seems almost tailored to both validate Moozer's claim and afford JoeBob some distance if he flips scum, since he can just say that it still registered Moozer's action regardless.


Anyway, this post has been long enough and I'd like to get others' thoughts. 
Lunatic
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@whiteflame
A couple of your points I dis-agree with here, only minor ones.

1. If I was town doctor I would claim only 1x as well, in hopes that mafia might not see me as a threat in future day phases and decide not to kill me. Probably shouldn't be discussing this out loud, but if he is a doctor, I doubt he is actually 1x.

2. I do actually think you were the more widely town read player last day phase. Me, austin, banana were all publicly town reading you, so I actually give him some slight town cred for targeting you.

Also I never really understood the "mistake" he made and his excuse for it seemed genuine. That said, I don't think he is out of the POE yet either. main reason I think this is in Mahabaratta mafia I was a protective role that was not doctor. Savant fake claimed doctor after asking the mod if there was one in the game, and we ended up correctly lynching him for it. Pie doesn't tend to use stereo typical protective roles like "cop" or "doctor" in his games, he uses variant style roles. Actually I was the variant style protective role in his last two games. Brave townie, and Apportioner. There wasn't a doctor in either of these games. So I don't think he's out of hot water yet, if we end up with another protective role claim I think he will be a bit higher on my list for a scum read.

But I agree owen and earth should probably full claim. I am willing to character claim this day phase if needed too, since I know I am in the POE to virtually everyone but you. 
whiteflame
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@Lunatic
Points taken. I'm less focused on the "mistake" that we've been discussing at this point because I think Moozer's response made sense - that his PM focused more on his character before he changed to Lok Sabha, since that only happened this year. I agree that the Doc claim is inherently at least a little sus at this point.

As for claims, yes, I'd say it's Owen and Earth first and foremost. I hope you won't have to claim, but we'll see.
Earth
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I am the Self-Watcher. I can only target myself and see who visited me. I was not visited.
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@whiteflame
It's a little weird that Casey considered thinking that the prime minister themselves is a member of Lok Sabha a softclaim, but I'll chalk that up to my own lack of knowledge about how the prime minister and houses of parliament interact in India.
Yeah, maybe I wasn't being as obvious as I thought, but basically, despite being primarily known as the prime minister of India, Modi is still technically a member of the Lok Sabha. That's what I was trying to hint at. 
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@Earth
I am the Self-Watcher. I can only target myself and see who visited me. I was not visited.
Interesting. I remember there was a role in Villainous Villains that did the same thing, but Luna called it the 'Gramps' instead. What's your justification? 
whiteflame
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@Earth
I am the Self-Watcher. I can only target myself and see who visited me. I was not visited.
That's... definitely odd. So we have two roles (Ascetic and yours) that basically only matter if you're targeted by non-killing roles. Very limited informational role.

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@Casey_Risk
Pie wrote a whole thesis on this guy about how his background as a Patel and his understanding on local issues made him popular and adept at watching over his community. 
Lunatic
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@Earth
How does that not just make him a regular watcher than if its a whole community, what in the description indicates it would be a self watcher?
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you know what, I just read austins description and his link to his role, makes absolutely 0 sense to me. So I am gonna give you a bit of a pass on that front. Though I do agree withwhiteflame its weird that we have a bunch of self visiting roles.
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@Lunatic
you know what, I just read austins description and his link to his role, makes absolutely 0 sense to me. So I am gonna give you a bit of a pass on that front. Though I do agree withwhiteflame its weird that we have a bunch of self visiting roles.
Meh, I don't think the head of a monastery being an Ascetic is that weird. I think Earth's claim is believable at the very least. 
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@Casey_Risk
its more that the direct reason isn't really stated
Earth
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@Lunatic
I get how you feel, but you are barking up the wrong tree. 
whiteflame
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@Owen_T
It seems like the way Pie designed this was meant to offer more opportunities for town to reduce the number of potential scum by PoE rather than find them out directly. Kingmaker is mainly here to self-confirm, same with Popular Townie. Given what I know about Luna's role, it has a similar aim to it. I'm going to remain vague about mine, but while it isn't in this same vein, it's definitely not as direct as a Doctor or Motion Detector. In general, there seems to be a trend towards limited utility roles or roles that could be net positive or negative to town like Austin's Ascetic. I could see the Self-Watcher falling into the limited utility camp at least.

Still waiting on you, Owen.
Moozer325
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I get that my reads don’t have much of an affect seeing as I’m technically in the PoE pool, but I’ll go ahead and post them anyways.

Town:

Casey: Kingmaker seems like a really weird scum role, even if you can’t use it on your scum buddy

Banana: Polular is also a weird scum claim, and she’s been fine behaviorally so far

Lean town:

Lunatic: He’s been super active, and it’s all been practical with no fluff posting. 

Whiteflame: Same as Luna really. Only reason they’re not town is because I’m not like 90% sure. That’s what got Casey and Banana up there.

Null:

Earth: would like a full claim based on the lack of activity, but other than that, they’ve been fine behaviorally.

Lean Scum:

Owen: No activity at all this DP and hasn’t responded to pings for a claim.

Joebob: More activity, but the whole motion detector thing throws me off a little. I’ve been getting some town vibes from him, but I’ve learned not to trust those.

Anyways, that’s my two cents.






Earth
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@Moozer325
I already full claimed. I'm thr Self-Watcher.
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@Earth
Sorry, I saw that and then forgot about it. I was looking at Whiteflame claim list from page 2z
whiteflame
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Full claims:

JoeBob - Amit Shah - Motion Detector - NP1: used on Moozer, said he performed some action
Moozer - Mansukh Mandaviya - 1X Doctor - NP1: used on Whiteflame
Casey - Narendra Modi - 1x Kingmaker - NP1: crowned Banana Queen
Banana - Shivraj Singh Chouchan - Popular Townie - NP1: N/A 
Earth - Bhupendrabhai Patel - Self-Watcher - NP1: was not visited

Partial Claims:

Lunatic - BJP 
Whiteflame - Minister
Owen - TMC

Dead:

Austin - Yogi Adityanath - Ascetic

Owen_T
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Hi everyone. 

I have nothing to report. Let me read through the chat. 

Owen_T
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Who all wants me to claim? 

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@Owen_T
By my tally: me, Luna, and Moozer, who has you in his scum pool partly due to your lack of claim.
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Okay then,  I'll claim. Hold on a moment 
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Mamata Benergee. I am Enchantress 
whiteflame
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@Owen_T
Mamata Benergee. I am Enchantress 
Alright, two things then.

One, what's the justification? That's an odd role to give a chief minister.

Two, I hadn't seen this role before, but from what I can see, you pass a crystal ball to someone during the NP. That should be entirely confirmable, yet no one has mentioned receiving a crystal ball, something that they should see in their PM. Did you not pass the crystal ball? Was it passed and not noticed for some reason? 

whiteflame
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@Owen_T
Anyway, it's late. I'm not going to stay on to see your answer, but I'll give preceding thoughts:

I really hope you chose to use your role. It doesn't seem like it comes with a cost to you to do so, and I can't really fathom why you'd pass on it. That being said, it's still a role that should be verifiable. If it somehow isn't (I guess it's possible that Pie doesn't inform your target that they've received the crystal ball, if not from whom), then that's something you need to find out/let us know. If the role works as I've seen it, then its confirmation should at least make it more likely than not that you're town, though it's always possible that a role like this was just given to scum.
Owen_T
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My justification is basically "Since you are such a horrible person, you must be using magic to make people still like you. Therefore, you are the enchantress.'

You can see why I was concerned about this. 

I passed the ball to Ana Banana