Chess Mafia DP2

Author: AustinL0926

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Lunatic
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@whiteflame
I just find it funny that you ignore any variable that could mean barney is scum
I'm literally asking you to explain what variables you see that could explain these results, and your response is to rub in my face that I didn't think of them. Why?
What do you mean rub it in your face? And I already told you what the variables are.
1. He guessed at the action not counting as movement
2. He asked the mod whether that type of role would count as movement and the mod told him no prior to claiming the result

You were so dismissive of the mod actively giving information that could solve the game, but now you're talking as though Austin's giving that information out to everyone who asks
No no no. My issue isn’t that the nod is doing something wrong, my issue is that your reading way too much in to nod psyche in order to create a perfect world for Barney being town to the point where your actively ignoring all the points against him in the hope that the mod gave you a free answer. That’s lazy, and not how I like to scum hunt first of all, and like I said, you are just looking way too hard into something the mod said anyway to crate a perfect world where Barney has to be town. I dont under your motive for doing this if town.

That's an incredibly lucky guess considering he had no basis for making that call and none of what I said during the DP before that hinted that my using it didn't count as a visit. Almost any other choice would have been a far safer bet, but you want me to believe he just lucked into the perfect guess with the greatest degree of risk?
Whether it was a lucky guess or he asked the mod, it’s definitely working out for his favor because now you’re running around saying he’s confirmed town. I’ve seen mafia get lucky guesses plenty of times and have done it myself as mafia and been town confirmed by the same logic. So yes I think you are dismissing luck as an option way too easily, even if it’s just as likely he just asked the mod.

I'm still not clear that there are two RBs. Both you and Vader have mentioned this. The only explanation I've seen for why there must be someone other than Barney who has an RB is the somewhat confusing breakdown of the Mathematician role you mentioned before, and I'm not sure how much I buy of that to begin with.
See this cherry picking of what you are willing to believe is kind of baffling for someone who doesn’t believe in luck or coincidences when they don’t match his confirmation biases. 

Your argument must be then that me and pie are scum buddies and came up with this elaborate plan way before knowing that Barney would claim roleblocker. Remember all this interaction was bread crumbed before Barney ever claimed. That’s some incredible luck right? Oh wait, you don’t believe in luck do you?
Lunatic
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Lmao yeah then Barney comes in voting that way, 0 defense or explanation for the two town role lockers, I think this is rather telling.

Writing is on this wall with this one. 

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@Lunatic
0 defense or explanation for the two town role lockers,
See post #269. Feigning functional illiteracy doesn’t suit you.

Then again, you’re claiming a RBer sent you a message which somehow 100% proves they’re town… In what previous mafia games were you ever that gullible?

Not that RBers even get to send messages (ok possible in this game). Also, Pie slipped in his taunts and soft claimed inventor rather than RB; inconsistency is a huge tell.
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@Lunatic
No no no. My issue isn’t that the nod is doing something wrong, my issue is that your reading way too much in to nod psyche in order to create a perfect world for Barney being town to the point where your actively ignoring all the points against him in the hope that the mod gave you a free answer. That’s lazy, and not how I like to scum hunt first of all, and like I said, you are just looking way too hard into something the mod said anyway to crate a perfect world where Barney has to be town. I dont under your motive for doing this if town.
...So you're calling me out for reading into mod psych, but one of your two "variables" you provide ascribes not just a mod psych to Austin, but a specific decision on his part... I'm sorry, how am I supposed to read this? You would have to assume not just that Austin is ready and willing to respond to players, but that he'd provide information specific to PMs sent to other players on request. 

Also, I'm really not sure why you're still on this. I haven't talked about mod psych in a while. In fact, in my last major post on this issue, I threw out mod pscyh entirely. At this point, the only elements I'm considering are those that involve a: what I knew, b: what I claimed I knew, and c: how Barney's role and action somehow include key details that I left out. It's awfully strange that you're calling me "lazy" when I detailed specifically how this played out. Meanwhile, your response is "well, he must have gotten it from Austin." How is that absolute shot in the dark not lazy? Hell, how is saying that Barney just somehow guessed the information I left out not lazy? Sincerely, this is some of the weakest logic I've seen from you in any game.

See this cherry picking of what you are willing to believe is kind of baffling for someone who doesn’t believe in luck or coincidences when they don’t match his confirmation biases. 

Your argument must be then that me and pie are scum buddies and came up with this elaborate plan way before knowing that Barney would claim roleblocker. Remember all this interaction was bread crumbed before Barney ever claimed. That’s some incredible luck right? Oh wait, you don’t believe in luck do you?
Cherry-picking... huh. Alright, I'm realizing I didn't get to your claim yesterday. So, let's talk about that.

So, if I recall, this post contains the entirety of your reason for believing that there's an RB in the game, one who is not Barney. If there's something else, please, let me know.

You've got a role of Mathematician. Setting aside that it's the first role we've had that designates a person as the role and just assuming that it's accurate, there are a bunch of things that don't make sense to me. You state that this is a passive role. You state that you receive a number of actions that are interfered with during the night in some way, shape or form. Fine. 

You then say that you were "consensually roleblocked last night"... so you actively courted an RB last DP? Where? When? How would you know you were roleblocked when you've claimed a passive role? You say that "I am considered an active role," but I sincerely don't understand that. What part of your role is active? What part can be roleblocked? Did the roleblock result in your not receiving results during the last NP, or is there some other facet to your role that can be roleblocked, and if so, what is it? You then say that there are some unknown "circumstances regarding the roleblock" that suggest it was one specific person who used it. What circumstances? How does that confirm anyone? If there's good reason to believe that Pie is town, which you seem to be suggesting, then the fact that you've taken this long to explain it is just baffling. You seem to be asserting that you and Pie and confirm one another. So do it. Confirm yourselves. Stop beating around the bush with a weird claim and just out what happened and why you believe that confirms Pie. Telling me that you "bread crumbed" this interaction doesn't tell me jack shit because I still don't know what the interaction was. You could have just as easily planned to bread crumb as scum or as town, and claiming an RB role existed in the game before Barney isn't luck, it's just timing. Good or bad.

And yes, I am starting to read you and Pie as scum buddies at this point. Thanks for pointing that out.
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@Earth
You should really be weighing in here at some point, especially since you’re the most town-confirmed person in this game. You appeared to put PoE down to Luna and Vader a while ago. For me, it’s between Pie and Vader, but I’m scum reading Luna at this point.
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@whiteflame
I am going to reread the last 2 pages and will give my thoughts.
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@Earth
Sounds good
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@Moozer325
I can virtually guarantee that Pie isn’t going to be the lynch this DP, so having your vote on him is a waste. You should at least be reading through the last two pages and reconsidering where to place your vote.
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Alright

Unvote

VTL Vader
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@Moozer325
Not really what I was hoping to see, since that's just creating a different wagon. Both Vader and Pie have claimed that they can confirm themselves next DP, and admittedly, it's going to be difficult for Vader to confirm himself with that claim (his reporting the Voyeur's results won't outright confirm his role or affiliation). What are your thoughts on this back-and-forth regarding Barney and Luna?
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Alright I’m back.
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@Earth
@Lunatic
@whiteflame
@Moozer325
Yeah just gonna come out and claim Even Night Voyeur. On even nights I visit a player to see what actions were performed on them. I was going to test this out by picking someone at random and outting them. 

This is also why I was sus of JoeBob because I thought his claim and mine would be very OP, but considering how many logical inconsistencies there are with this game, I think that it just happens that balancing and other things were off
I hate this claim. For one it overlaps with a claimed town. “Black pieces” include Pawn which Savant already claimed. Second the role itself is an even night Voyeur. This is really different from everything that’s been revealed. Every role has a weird mechanic attached to it. JoeBob was a flipped Tracker. Savant had 2 roles. Earth has a unique role. I have a unique role. Lunatic has a unique role. His is just even night voyeur. Third, he said he could confirm himself. How would a Voyeur be able to confirm themself if they mistarget or are conveniently interfered with. Furthermore, role confirmation is not equivalent to affiliation confirmation. My only concern is the fact that he soft claimed this in DP1 with the reason for voting JoeBob—if someone can point me to that, I may reconsider.
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@ILikePie5
I hate this claim. For one it overlaps with a claimed town. “Black pieces” include Pawn which Savant already claimed. Second the role itself is an even night Voyeur. This is really different from everything that’s been revealed. Every role has a weird mechanic attached to it. JoeBob was a flipped Tracker. Savant had 2 roles. Earth has a unique role. I have a unique role. Lunatic has a unique role. His is just even night voyeur. Third, he said he could confirm himself. How would a Voyeur be able to confirm themself if they mistarget or are conveniently interfered with. Furthermore, role confirmation is not equivalent to affiliation confirmation. My only concern is the fact that he soft claimed this in DP1 with the reason for voting JoeBob—if someone can point me to that, I may reconsider.
Yeah, Vader's claim set me off a little, too. It's not so much that other roles contain those pieces, though that's part of it. The fact that it's the only claimed role that has a use case of "Even Night" or "Odd Night" stands out. I already mentioned that his claim that he could confirm himself with this role doesn't make much sense - his result wouldn't be at all likely to confirm him. It's also not a dual role. Every other role that has been claimed or flipped so far (minus Luna's, though he might have a second role he just hasn't outed yet) has some other role attached to it. 

I went back through DP1 and I didn't notice any softclaims from Vader that suggested Voyeur in DP1. Maybe I just missed it, though even that could just mean that he came up with a fake claim early. 

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@AustinL0926
can we get a time check?
whiteflame
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Also, at this point, I agree there are far too many informational roles for all of them to be real. We have:

JoeBob's Flipped Tracker
Earth's "chess engine" (i.e. 1X Cop)
Lunatic's catalogue of role tampering
Barney's Motion Detector
Vader's Even Night Voyeur

We know JoeBob's and Earth's are real. We don't know about the other three, but I have better reason to buy Barney's Motion Detector (he stated it outright earlier) than I do either Lunatic's unconfirmable role or Vader's largely unconfirmable role. Even if you don't agree with my view on Barney, at this point, scum is at least one of those three, if not two.
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I don't think scum would both claim information roles.
ILikePie5
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I’m having a huge post coming, so please don’t take any actions until then.
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For now, I will state that based on everyone that’s claimed so far, Lunatic has to be town because of my role. 
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@Lunatic
@whiteflame
Your argument with each other for the last two pages was confusing. Let me try to explain what I think Lunatic is trying to say. Both of you can correct me if I am wrong.

Whiteflame revealed that he got a chess engine and accepted to use it at the expense of his own action. With that power, he chose to investigate Earth and got an innocent. Then, Whiteflame gets a message from Austin saying the investigation was not considered an active action, and thus, could not be Roleblocked, Redirected, etc. Great. Hope we’re all on the same page here.

Then Barney claims “weak investigator roleblocker hybrid,” and he explains that he targets two people. If selected Person A moves, then selected Person B gets roleblocked. Now after that, Pie goes in and says how its like a Motion Detector/Roleblocker hybrid. Then, Whiteflame says this:

That at least makes sense with the role. I haven't actually asked whether my use of the chess engine counts as a move. I'm going to inquire about that. Who else did you select? And would that register as you visiting both players, even if the RB fails?
This is an odd statement from Whiteflame. Austin already told Whiteflame that the investigation did not count as an active action, which means that it wouldn’t be detected likely. Still Whiteflame said he would ask the mod—I don’t think I have seen the answer yet that Austin game. Nor have I seen Barney answer the question. Great, we’re on the same page hopefully.

Now, here’s the next interesting part:

So, I'll be blunt: I'm not voting Barney unless something dramatic changes. When Austin sent me that PM detailing how my investigation worked (after the fact), I assumed it was because someone targeted me. It's possible that the person who did that targeted me with an RB, that's literally on the list of actions he said would not affect mine. What was also on the list, and what I left off just in case it came up, was Motion Detector, the role that Barney just claimed.
Whiteflame says Austin specifically mentioned a Motion Detector. The problem here is that Barney never claimed Motion Detector. I brought that up as it sounded familiar since I look for roles all the time for my games. Functionally though, it is not a Motion Detector. The other half of the role is missing—motion detectors detect whether the person moves or whether someone visits that person. Barney never said Motion Detector, it was me.

Following that, Lunatic says this, which I agree with:

At most this should be null. Barney is claiming information that's been made publicly known in the day phase since the first page. It's funny you would jump to the conclusion he was town and mod-confirmed to you here only. That would be rather convenient, but yeah doesn't seem like Austin would do that. 
There is guarantee that Barney is town which I mentioned earlier. Barney could also be scum and furious as to why his Roleblocker did not work on you even though you used a Cop action. What’s also convenient on Barney’s part is that he targeted you in the first place knowing full well that your use of the cop does not count as an active action and thus could not be detected. Note that the only other player who confirmed to move was Earth, but if scum Barney fake claiming a role similar to MD said he targeted Earth, he would have to justify why I wasn’t roleblocked without knowing my role. It also explains why he took an eternity to full claim. Austin’s comment to you is not indicative of Barney’s affiliation—just that he targeted you with some action.

Then there’s back and forth about the whole movement aspect. Whiteflame, you said that Austin told you that the investigation did not count as an active action and thus could not be roleblocked, etc. The logical conclusion from that is that you wouldn’t move either since the roleblocked/redirector requires you to move in the first place. Barney also picked up this here before the argument between you two even began:

Austin messaged you about it already, (presumably) to prevent a mess wherein I accused you of not moving, when that item didn't count as an active move.
Here’s the next post from Whiteflame:

So, what you’re assuming is that, somehow, Barney discerned from the limited information I gave within the DP that I used the chess engine, but in my use of it, I didn’t move? He somehow figured that out? Also, to be very clear about this, we’re talking about bastard modding either way. Austin delivered this info to me after the start of the DP, basically confirming that a role was used on me that fit that description. Either the person who used it was scum or they were town, but the confirmation was there regardless. The series of events fits far better for a town Barney than it does for a scum Barney.
Couple of things to note here. Barney actually could and did assume that because you were not an active action, the action does not count as move. Asking the mod that is an easy fix. The series of events though is not indicative of affiliation at all. Scum Barney would be pissed his roleblock or action or whatever did not work. You are right in there’s confirmation there’s possible confirmation that someone visited you but their action did not work because the investigation was not considered active.  So when Lunatic says this:

How are you jumping to that conclusion or the conclusion he is town at all? How does it fit town Barney more than scum Barney?
It’s a perfectly logical question to ask.

Here’s Whiteflame’s next post:

c: Let's put all this together. So, according to you, Barney somehow intuited that I didn't move. He specifically chose the Motion Detector, the one role listed in my PM from Austin that I didn't state would be ineffective when used on me, so he just lucked out picking that single role to use on me that Austin had confirmed wouldn't produce a result if used on me. That's the only way Barney's scum based on your logic: he somehow figured all this out based on a pair of posts that gave none of this information away. It has nothing to do with him claiming town RB. It never has.
The first part is basic infrencing and even asking mod, which is not hard to do. Second, Barney didn’t even claim Motion Detector. The mechanics aren’t similar at all. Barney explicitly stated weak investigator and roleblocker, not MD and Roleblocker. Second the luck factor is not there because he didn’t claim MD in the first place. He only claimed half of the role. Basically I agree with Lunatic in his response to this post.

He targeted me. He didn’t see that I moved. That’s either a Tracker, a Motion Detector, or some derivation thereof. I sincerely do not give a fuck if his role actually says “Motion Detector” - it does not change much since, like I said, it still means that Barney got an accurate result when I used my role, which I would argue is not what someone else would expect upon seeing the information I was given.
But again—it doesn’t indicate his affiliation. And the argument that the inference doesn’t make sense is contradicted by the fact that he could’ve asked the mod or just realized that if it can’t be roleblocked, then it can’t be motion detected. Furthermore, it’s possible he could be a MD/RB but be scum. He can only target you based on all the info that was revealed at that point in time. It’s not affiliation indicative at all.

Now let me address this post by you Whiteflame where you tagged me:

Now, let's assume Barney's scum. That would mean that he saw my claim at the beginning of the DP and made the decision to select a role that would tell him if I had moved.
Not necessarily. Scum Barney would know that his or his partner’s action on you did not work, so they can conclude and ask the mod whether you would move or not.

Based on the information I had provided up to that point, that would have been a supremely ballsy move. He knew I had used a role like Cop on Earth. He knew that that would likely result in movement on my part. He nonetheless chose to claim a role that would monitor movement and a target for that role that had actively claimed they had targeted another player successfully.
But again—he could’ve asked the mod or even guessed that because you could not be roleblocked, you investigation does not count as a visit. Barney even admitted that he thought you did that.

He would have to somehow know in advance that my using the "chess engine" would not act as a movement. Can anyone explain to me how he would have intuited that from any of the posts I made before he clarified his role? Because I can't. Maybe this is just the craziest scum tactic I've ever seen and Barney just targeted me with something else during the NP, failed, and just went for it for unknown reasons. If so, more power to him, that's quite the gambit.
It all comes down to infrencing and the mod. All of the information you’re talking about can be derived from either of those two things. Also at this point, I am presuming Austin got back to you and your investigating did not count as a target.
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@Barney
  • Pie - Basically either Pie is scum, or is really bad (not to say outright horrible) at this game. The truly excessive tunneling, and doubling down any time he got anything from it... The result of actually giving him information isn't shifting his vote to pressure anyone who has given less information, it's a desperate push for a mislynch. While mislynching me is not as easy as pie (pun intended), he's used me being busy DP1 to justify it when that has zero barring on if I am or am not town.
    And of course the communication with Lunatic should speak for itself., to include Lunatic outright telling everyone that Pie was not really tunneling... If nothing else were true, it'd still be true that Pie is obsessively tunnely on me.
    Lunatic says Pie is a RB and "100% town," whereas Pie strongly hints to be an inventor. Too damned much doesn't fit.
    Regarding Joebob, while Lunatic initiated the wagon, Pie largely lead it, even claiming he was certain Joebob was scum (others seemed to more of accept killing a low utility townie because not lynching is not an option to most).
Youre confused because you don’t know my role and how it works. You can see tomorrow how exactly everything squares but I don’t think you’re going to be alive
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@ILikePie5
I agree that that's at least a logical breakdown of how this could have gone down, so I appreciate your going through this carefully and analyzing the posts. I'm going to re-read this a little later and see if it makes sense to me then.

All that being said, I'm getting kind of frustrated by this side discussion about how you can confirm Luna without stating how you confirm him. You've stated this:

For now, I will state that based on everyone that’s claimed so far, Lunatic has to be town because of my role. 
If that's the case, then I sincerely don't understand why you're holding back on claiming to establish that Luna is town. Maybe there's some other facet to your role that would allow you to confirm yourself as well and that hasn't been used yet, but it shouldn't prevent you from explaining how you are this certain that Luna it town based on the other aspect of your role. Luna keeps saying that he knows he was RB'd and that he can virtually confirm that the person who did it was town, strongly hinting it was you. Can you just confirm that?
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@whiteflame
If that's the case, then I sincerely don't understand why you're holding back on claiming to establish that Luna is town. Maybe there's some other facet to your role that would allow you to confirm yourself as well and that hasn't been used yet, but it shouldn't prevent you from explaining how you are this certain that Luna it town based on the other aspect of your role. Luna keeps saying that he knows he was RB'd and that he can virtually confirm that the person who did it was town, strongly hinting it was you. Can you just confirm that?
Yes, I can. My role, my role PM, and Lunatic’s role make him likely town. That could change with your claim tomorrow tho. As of now though, I’d put him as 90% town. Once I confirm my role tomorrow, everything will make sense. 

Right now I think scum is Barney and Vader
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@ILikePie5
For now, I'm going to Unvote. I'd be willing to consider Vader as a lynch right now, so that's less of an issue. If I'm misunderstanding something about Barney, then Vader's flip and your claim would at least give me some basis for reducing my PoE. I don't think Barney is confirmed by any means, but I'd need that kind of information to give me more reason to push on him.
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@whiteflame
I just find it funny that you ignore any variable that could mean barney is scum
I'm literally asking you to explain what variables you see that could explain these results, and your response is to rub in my face that I didn't think of them. Why?

So your answers come down to:
Let me explain a couple of ways it could have gone. Scum Barney or his partner target you last night with an action that interferes with your investigation. Let’s say roleblock for example. At the beginning of the DP, you come out and say that you successfully investigated Earth. Scum Barney/partner asks Austin how that’s possible. Austin explains the whole Active Action bullshit that he uses. Then he realizes oh shit, I haven’t told Whiteflame this, so I better tell him.

Like maybe him asking the mod how a role like yours would work and whether it would count as a visit. He could have gotten the same answer as you from the mod before claiming his result. 
The mod could have offered up essential details of how a role he specifically defined works such that he effectively received the same information the person who used it got... then he sat on that information for much of the DP, only choosing to reveal it under great pressure later. I guess if we're assuming bastard modding to the extreme where everyone who asks receives a detailed set of information about how a role works...? You were so dismissive of the mod actively giving information that could solve the game, but now you're talking as though Austin's giving that information out to everyone who asks.
Austin would have to explain why scum action on you didn’t work. Imo he probably fucked up in processing the actions and is using this active action thing as a coverup. Either way, it doesn’t affiliation confirm Barney at all.


He could have been lucky in guessing that it didn't count as a visit.
That's an incredibly lucky guess considering he had no basis for making that call and none of what I said during the DP before that hinted that my using it didn't count as a visit. Almost any other choice would have been a far safer bet, but you want me to believe he just lucked into the perfect guess with the greatest degree of risk?
It’s not luck—it’s a logical inference. If you can’t be roleblocked, your action doesn’t count as a visit. Then it’s only a simple matter of asking the mod if non-active role usage counts as a visit. I asked just now 


Your are dis-regarding him way too easily. 
I'm not disregarding anything, that's why I'm making a big fucking deal out of this and asking you, specifically, what could explain it. So far, despite your claim that there are "a million ways barney could be scum," I'm not seeing a lot of explanations for this series of events.
He’s not questioning whether it happened, he’s questioning why it makes Barney town. Scum Barney would receive the exact same explanation as Town Barney as to why you didn’t move. There’s no difference .

What do you think about the two town roleblocker thing?
I'm still not clear that there are two RBs. Both you and Vader have mentioned this. The only explanation I've seen for why there must be someone other than Barney who has an RB is the somewhat confusing breakdown of the Mathematician role you mentioned before, and I'm not sure how much I buy of that to begin with.
I will comment on this tomorrow.
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@whiteflame
For now, I'm going to Unvote. I'd be willing to consider Vader as a lynch right now, so that's less of an issue. If I'm misunderstanding something about Barney, then Vader's flip and your claim would at least give me some basis for reducing my PoE. I don't think Barney is confirmed by any means, but I'd need that kind of information to give me more reason to push on him.
With POE from my POV, it comes down to Barney, Vader, you, and Moozer in that order of most scummy to least. I’m comfortable voting Vader today for the reasons I mentioned earlier. Barney just rubs me off the wrong way and has been this entire game. From his claim to what he did last night just all seems convenient.
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@Moozer325
You need to use your action tonight. Use your best judgement
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@ILikePie5
Who would you have me use it on?
AustinL0926
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VOTECOUNT:

Barney (3/4): Pie, Lunatic, Vader
Vader (1/4): Moozer


A chess game is a long-term commitment, after all.





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Slightly less than 8 hours remain in the DP.


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@ILikePie5
I've been convinced for a little while that the scum team is either you and Luna, who claim to have largely confirmed each other, or Barney and Vader. PoE comes down to you four at the moment, with Moozer as a less likely outlier. So the flip should be informative regardless, particularly if Moozer uses his role.

I'll have a decision on this by the end of the day. I don't plan on letting the DP go by without a lynch, regardless.