My thoughts:
1. Since the two weeks before Biden's inauguration, all we've been hearing is that it was definitely an "insurrection". By this we see the oligarchs' double standard at work: those whom they've lent the credence of "legitimate" political protesters have a respected right to demonstrate, even if it gets messy and controversial at times. But those who represent supposedly illegitimate causes get no leeway whatsoever. It doesn't matter that the Capitol stormers killed nobody. It got messy and the protesters were Republicans, and they must be punished for arrogantly assuming that they have the same constitutional right to protest as Democrats. If anyone on scene was killed by police or committed suicide afterward, it must be falsely conflated with the Capitol stormers having murdered them. And if any Capitol stormer committed a murder (which they didn't), every member of the crowd must be collectively punished. Every oligarch mouthpiece will parrot these lies.
2. Ever since the January 6 witch hunt began, we've seen frightening and historically unprecedented developments occur which resemble a gradual coup d'etat. For example, the invocation of 14th Amendment clauses to deny public office to sitting Congressmen or Congressional candidates who were lawfully elected thereto, and/or the criminal denial of their right to run for reelection.
3. Rule of law has eroded more sharply from January 6, 2021 to the present day than it did from the 2020 election until January 6, 2021. If Trump deserves to be punished for his role, then so do a huge number of Senate and House Democrats, and possibly Biden himself.
4. The January 6 hearings amount to the appropriation of Congressional time and resources, public tax dollars if you would, for the dissemination of partisan propaganda. There's nothing illegal about that, of course, but it's hard to take the panel as a serious body with a serious reason to exist.
5. In all likelihood, Trump will be the nominee for America's right-leaning party in the 2024 election. We've yet to see strong evidence contesting this fact. The only Republican actually considered to have a chance at beating Trump, Ron DeSantis, isn't really all that popular. There's no reason to consider any action by the federal government to bar Trump from running again as anything other than a mass electoral suppression scheme by one major party against the other.
If this happens, America will be functionally indistinguishable from a one-party state. There would be no further reason to consider this hypothetical version of the USFG a legitimate government over America's 330,000,000 citizens.
6. Most Democrats and most Republicans are in agreement that the actions of the crowd on January 6, 2021 were distasteful. But if the incident continues to be used as a brute cudgel against the Republican Party, then I will sooner call the Capitol stormers heroes and patriots.