Fire Emblem Mafia Day Phase 2

I'm willing to wait. At the moment, your soft claim improves your position over both Poly and Disc.

I'm willing to wait. At the moment, your soft claim improves your position over both Poly and Disc.

Post 14

Waiting for Poly cause Disc isn’t investigative role

I am willing to switch VTNL if that is what the rest of town wants.

About 47.5 hours left in the day.

Would be great if you could explain this read. You VTL'd him at the start of the DP, said it was part of some unknown "inside joke", and now you're convinced he's scum. So I'll ask again: why did you VTL Supa?

My answer to this is simple, though I may be incorrect.

I just don't buy the idea that they are both town with those role claims. My gut tells me that the oddball 50/50 mechanic pie claimed is more likely to be a mod giving a townie a wired role twist than pie as scum coming up with an out-of-left-field fake claim. If we are in MyLo supa may have hoped that a cc, even an indirect one, would lead to insta win (I have done similar before, I cc'd a doc by fake claiming bodyguard when I was scum).

weird role twist*

I guess there's some sense to that, though I don't think it would be particularly odd for there to be two protective roles, especially with one of them being a flavored BG. The main thing that has me questioning this conclusion is that Supa claimed his role before three other players could claim theirs, namely you, Poly and Wylted. He might have had an indication that Wylted's role is not the Doc, but this would be a pretty ballsy fake claim unless Earth gave them fake claims. From my experience playing with Supa as scum, his claims don't tend to be quite so easily CC'd as this would be. Right now, I'm buying the claim.

As far as I know, this is Earth's first game modding, so I wouldn't be too surprised if he had designed it with two protective roles despite the size. I also don't think it's terribly unreasonable. The best case scenario is that they protect two separate people out of the seven, achieving roughly 30% protection, though of course that assumes that they select different targets. As for town confirming someone, that's less clear since not having an NK go through can be the result of multiple different actions, or even inaction by scum, depending on the circumstances. Seems like you're lending a bit more heft to these roles than I would.

I can see your point, but it also seems to be based in a number of assumptions that I wouldn't make.

You have been summoned

Yes, because I thought it was odd that you said you were convinced that Supa was scum, yet you didn't provide any reasoning. Aside from the debatable issue of whether two protective roles is too much, which could simply be the result of our mod's choices, everything here seems very WIFOM to me. It also just doesn't check out behaviorally. For someone who seemed so convinced, you've provided an awful lot of caveats when it comes to your reasoning.

If disc is town and has information he is refusing tonshare that can catch scum today, he is being an idiot

Since hasn't provided any information he may have garnered during the NP despite specific requests and has blatantly stated that he'd give such information if he had it, I'd be highly suspect of any information he provides in this DP past this point. This sussing of Supa seems pretty weakly supported.

Agreed

We all know this is going to be a no lynch or that every member of town will be useless until the DP expires. We should just end my misery and VTNL. I would reconsider for a policy lynch on disc, since he is holding back though. 

We should all note that if disc is town, he is the obvious NK, so him holding backnis doubly useless.

Like Pie, I'd like to see Poly post again before I VTNL. As for Disc, I agree that he looks pretty scummy and would be willing to pursue a lynch, but I think the VTNL is still the way to go this DP.

Agree, though I am not sure what brought this up. Are you under the impression that I am doing this?

your odd suspicion of supa, starting with the rapid vote, and a less than full explanation of what you meant by "inside joke"

I don't have an opinion on whether he is town or not. 

I guess I tested negative for covid. It was just the flu. So am still covid proof. It was nice to have nobody around me though. 

Thought about faking a positive result, so I could get like 2 more weeks of isolation, but fuck it.