Alright, big analysis post incoming.
Anyone else see the palpable hypocrisy in so much of what Luna's been saying this DP? He's scum-reading Pie for talking about likely scenarios that could exist with scum in this game, which Luna did several times over the last few DPs, and he says he's not worried about having the last word, then posts 4 times after Pie's last post. Even he has to know that, at this point, this looks desperate.
The question for Wylted to answer, though, is whether that desperation stems from him trying to win this game for town or for scum. You know my answer, but I think it's important to lay out the case.
To start, I'll remind you that it's pretty damn clear at this point that the scum team must break down to one of two pairings:
Luna and Poly
Pie and me
So all this discussion of whether Luna or Pie are scum is really only half of the picture. If Poly is scum, so is Luna. If I'm scum, so is Pie. Luna himself agreed to this framing.
I think the case against Poly is as clear as it is for anyone remaining. I thought his claim was scummy when I first read it. So did Pie. So did Wylted. The Beloved Princess claim seems tailor-made to avoid getting lynched (that's why it's a popular scum fake claim), and it certainly achieved that purpose. The fact that he decided not to claim for as long as he did isn't actually what set me off, but rather that he posted several times after three things happened:
Wylted posted calling for his claim
Disc and I claimed
Poly was pressured
Not once, in any of the 3 posts that Poly made after these events, did Poly acknowledge that any of these 3 things had happened. Instead, several hours later, he just posts his claim outright after receiving a second vote. Luna later argued that he only felt the need to claim under pressure, but considering that the pressure only changed by a single vote and he wasn't at L-1, I find it hard to believe that Wylted's vote on him was somehow the catalyst for his claim. I'll also note that Poly has absolutely posted the least across all the DPs up to this point. That wouldn't stand by itself as a reason to sus him, but in combination with his lack of responsiveness in DP3, a near-complete lack of reads until DP3, and an obvious lack of analysis in this DP (some of which is clearly just clearly not thinking - Speed was obviously killed because he would have been the only absolutely town-confirmed player after Disc's flip, not because scum wanted to keep Wylted alive for some reason) make him look pretty obviously sus to me.
As for Luna, I think the best case against him is still the lack of interaction with Poly. Poly tagged Luna a grand total of
one time across all the DPs, and that was to lightly sus Disc in DP2. He's mentioned Luna in all of two posts, one where he gave his full reads, and one during this DP when it would be most glaring for him not to show some interest in Luna. And, of course, he did it in his first post, using the opportunity to defend Luna. Seems pretty odd that the most high-profile interactions between these two (Luna's derailing of the lynch DP3 and this statement by Poly, which is the only defensive statement I've seen him make of anyone apart from himself in any of the DPs this game) have been with the aim of preventing a lynch on the other. Luna can say what he wants about my and Pie's interactions, but at least they're varied and involve some statements of uncertainty about one another. I can't find anything in this game that either Luna or Poly have said about each other that gives any indication that they would consider the other potential scum.
Luna's been exceptionally good at keeping himself under the radar, and I've fallen for it over much of this game, but one thing that always stood out to me is that he's somehow still alive. I can think of one game where he survived this far in, and that was the Mime Mafia game from several months back. Not only was his behavior in that game significantly different and far more incisive with everyone, including his null reads, but the dynamics of that game were so different that I could buy him surviving that late. Luna leads lynches and he's good at it. Scum would know that. Scum would have eliminated him as soon as possible. It's one thing to look at examples like Oro and Speed being NK'd, but was anyone else surprised that MC was the NK during NP2? Just the fact that Luna has been alive as long as he has in this game should make him suspicious, but the fact that he's clearly buddying Wylted hard this DP while Pie has been actively just trying to address Luna's points should give him away just as well.
