- According to what criteria, I wonder?
- If we go by the Stephanopolous and McGhee efficiency gap (the current gold standard for measuring the fairness of redistricting) and then rank states by the number of congressional seats stolen we see
Never actually heard of this standard. My standards are compactness and contiguity.
- NC and PA both gain 3 Republican seats from corrupt redistricting
Both were redistricted and have compact/contiguous districts now so there is no “advantage anymore.
- MI, NY, and TX gain 2 Republican seats from corrupt redistricting
MI has 7 Republicans and 7 Democrats, don’t see any advantage there. Plus they’re getting an independent commission this time around.
NY is funny because Cuomo was the Governor and Dems held the state assembly, so how did the GOP gain a 2 seat advantage there I wonder.
Texas I’d agree with you - pretty gerrymandered, though 2020 it should be more compact and contiguous if you look at Dave Wasserman’s analysis
So 2 here
- 21 States gain 1 seat advantages from corrupt redistricting
- KS, NE, WV, UT, SC, IA, WI, VA, AL, IN, OH, GA, and FL all get one extra Republican seat
KS the map is contiguous and compact plus Sharice Davids, a Democrat holds KS-3
Nebraska is also compact and contiguous with NE-2 being a district Biden won and Brad Ashford won in 2012 or 2014, I forget
West Virginia is definitely compact and contiguous, but it is also one of the most GOP states lol
Utah I don’t think is too bad, but I’ll give it to you for sake of argument
South Carolina is also a rather fair map considering its compact and pretty contiguous. The one district that isn’t was won by Democrat Joe Cunningham in 2018 and he lost by like a point to Nancy Mace. Definitely not unfair.
Iowa has always been drawn by an independent commission so don’t know where this comes from not to mention it is compact and contiguous
Wisconsin I’ll give to you
Virginia is also pretty fair per compact and contiguous rules - Democrats have gained there as well after defeating Dave Brat and Scott Taylor
Alabama I’ll give it to you because of the Montgomery based district.
Indiana is definitely compact and contiguous so idk what they’re talking about here
Ohio I agree but next decade map will be more contiguous and compact per Dave Wasserman’s analysis
Georgia is also compact and contiguous so don’t know what’s going on here. Dems also gained GA-6 and GA-7.
Florida I’ll give it to you.
So 5 here
- NH, NV, CT, OR, MD, MN, MA, IL get one extra Democrat seat
I’d argue New Hampshire, Nevada, Oregon, and Minnesota are fair.
MD is one seat, MA is one seat, IL is one seat, CT is one seat
- So if we eliminated corrupt redistricting nationally, 25 GOP house seats would likely flip Dem, and 8 Dem seats would likely flip GOP giving the Republicans a 17 seat corrupt advantage at the expense of free and fair elections in 2020, a concern that the GOP frequently pretends to prioritize
So after in depth analysis and decent amount of questioning of your source it’s a 3 seat GOP advantage if I did my math right. Not bad
- So its more accurate to say that MD and IL are in 21 way tie for third most gerrymandered states.
- We might also note that Former GOP Speaker of the House for 8 years and convicted child molester Dennis Hastert drew the districting for Illinois in 1993 when a 3 judge Federal court tossed out the Democratic redistricting plan and Illinois has not successfully redistricted since. So we can also blame Republicans for at least one of the Democratic advantages.
I don’t see how this is relevant right now lol.