REPUBLICANS in CONGRESS NOW FACE a TEST of their GOOD FAITH

Author: oromagi

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@ILikePie5
@Wylted
Did you know that Maryland and Illinois rank 1 and 3 respectively in the most gerrymandered districts?
  • According to what criteria, I wonder?
  • If we go by the Stephanopolous and McGhee efficiency gap (the current gold standard for measuring  the fairness of redistricting) and then rank states by the number of congressional seats stolen we see
    • NC and PA both gain 3 Republican seats from corrupt redistricting
    • MI, NY, and TX gain 2 Republican seats from corrupt redistricting
    • 21 States gain 1 seat advantages from corrupt redistricting
      • KS, NE, WV, UT, SC, IA, WI, VA, AL, IN, OH, GA, and FL all get one extra Republican seat
      • NH, NV, CT, OR, MD, MN, MA, IL get one extra Democrat seat
    • So if we eliminated corrupt redistricting nationally, 25 GOP house seats would likely flip Dem, and 8 Dem seats would likely flip GOP giving the Republicans a 17 seat corrupt advantage at the expense of free and fair elections in 2020, a concern that the GOP frequently pretends to prioritize
  • So its more accurate to say that  MD and IL are in 21 way tie for third most gerrymandered states.
  • We might also note that Former GOP Speaker of the House for 8 years  and convicted child molester Dennis Hastert drew the districting for Illinois in 1993 when a 3 judge Federal court tossed out the Democratic redistricting plan and Illinois has not successfully redistricted since.  So we can also blame Republicans for at least one of the Democratic advantages.

Double_R
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@ILikePie5
The Washington Post
“Maryland and North Carolina are essentially tied for the honor of most-gerrymandered state”

Anyways, after this census Texas and Louisiana which hold the other 5 spots will have more compact districts compared to Maryland and Illinois.
Congratulations on being even worse

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@Wylted
incorrect. Voter fraud is impossible. If people who run the system insist that the system is fraud proof, because it would likely also expose them as beneficiaries to an unfair system, it must be true. 
Serious question;

Taking all aspects of our current voting system into account, if a vote is cast, do you believe the default position is that the vote is a fair and legal vote until proven otherwise, or do you believe every vote must be proven valid despite having made it through our system?

If it’s the latter, I have two more questions for you:

1. How exactly do we go about meeting your standard of evidence to prove the validity of each ballot cast?

2. Can you show me that same standard being used to prove the ballots cast in Trump states and counties were valid?
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@oromagi
  • African American voters were placed on purge lists more often and more erroneously than Hispanic or white voters. For instance, in the state’s largest county, Miami-Dade, more than 65 percent of the names on the purge list were African Americans, who represented only 20.4 percent of the population. Hispanics were 57.4 percent of the population, but only 16.6 percent of the purge list; whites were 77.6 percent of the population but 17.6 percent of those purged.
Your source (whatever it is) states that AA are put on more erroneously but then proceeds to only show they are put on the purge list more often. If it was some Republican conspiracy to get minorities off the voter registration, you’d expect to see a large portion of Hispanics getting purged as well, since they also vote for the GOP less than half the time on average. (Except Cubans by a very slim majority)

Is it not possible that AA double register more often, are convicted of felonies more often, etc.?

Why are you jumping to alleging some conspiracy?
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@bmdrocks21
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@Double_R
1. How exactly do we go about meeting your standard of evidence to prove the validity of each ballot cast?
Use blockchain technology for voting to ensure both anonymity and accuracy of the ballot. A full proof system has already been created that would erase the need for voter ID, but democrats reject it, because it would be impossible to cheat in such a system.



2. Can you show me that same standard being used to prove the ballots cast in Trump states and counties were valid?

We can see the democrats messing with elections. For example they lied and projected Hillary to win. Studies show that when a person thinks their candidate will lose, they are less likely to actually vote. What motive other than that can we have for them lying about Hillary being projected to win? They also lied and projected Brexit to fail. 

Reagan was predicted to lose. Why do they always get it wrong in advantage of democrats but not republicans? My theory is that it is not a coincidence they always get it wrong to demoralize the same group, instead of wrongness being random. 

The biggest problems with ballots were in urban areas. Republican areas voting went smoothly and without a hitch, but in liberal areas there was all kinds of funny business. I just don't hear any reports coming out in areas republicans won, and with liberal control of the media, I should be hearing it, if there were a hint of it.
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@Double_R
Hate to burst your bubble but your source is outdated. NC was redistricted twice after 2014. It’s actually pretty fair now if you take a look, though I’m waiting to see Dave Wasserman’s take on it for the next cycle.
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@bmdrocks21
Why are you jumping to alleging some conspiracy?
Cause it’s hard for Democrats to understand that minorities commit the most amount of violent crime in urban areas and therefore are gonna be stricken from the voting list
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@oromagi
  • According to what criteria, I wonder?
  • If we go by the Stephanopolous and McGhee efficiency gap (the current gold standard for measuring  the fairness of redistricting) and then rank states by the number of congressional seats stolen we see
Never actually heard of this standard. My standards are compactness and contiguity.

    • NC and PA both gain 3 Republican seats from corrupt redistricting
Both were redistricted and have compact/contiguous districts now so there is no “advantage anymore.

    • MI, NY, and TX gain 2 Republican seats from corrupt redistricting
MI has 7 Republicans and 7 Democrats, don’t see any advantage there. Plus they’re getting an independent commission this time around.

NY is funny because Cuomo was the Governor and Dems held the state assembly, so how did the GOP gain a 2 seat advantage there I wonder.

Texas I’d agree with you - pretty gerrymandered, though 2020 it should be more compact and contiguous if you look at Dave Wasserman’s analysis

So 2 here

    • 21 States gain 1 seat advantages from corrupt redistricting
      • KS, NE, WV, UT, SC, IA, WI, VA, AL, IN, OH, GA, and FL all get one extra Republican seat
KS the map is contiguous and compact plus Sharice Davids, a Democrat holds KS-3

Nebraska is also compact and contiguous with NE-2 being a district Biden won and Brad Ashford won in 2012 or 2014, I forget

West Virginia is definitely compact and contiguous, but it is also one of the most GOP states lol

Utah I don’t think is too bad, but I’ll give it to you for sake of argument

South Carolina is also a rather fair map considering its compact and pretty contiguous. The one district that isn’t was won by Democrat Joe Cunningham in 2018 and he lost by like a point to Nancy Mace. Definitely not unfair.

Iowa has always been drawn by an independent commission so don’t know where this comes from not to mention it is compact and contiguous 

Wisconsin I’ll give to you

Virginia is also pretty fair per compact and contiguous rules - Democrats have gained there as well after defeating Dave Brat and Scott Taylor

Alabama I’ll give it to you because of the Montgomery based district.

Indiana is definitely compact and contiguous so idk what they’re talking about here

Ohio I agree but next decade map will be more contiguous and compact per Dave Wasserman’s analysis

Georgia is also compact and contiguous so don’t know what’s going on here. Dems also gained GA-6 and GA-7.

Florida I’ll give it to you.

So 5 here

      • NH, NV, CT, OR, MD, MN, MA, IL get one extra Democrat seat
I’d argue New Hampshire, Nevada, Oregon, and Minnesota are fair. 

MD is one seat, MA is one seat, IL is one seat, CT is one seat

    • So if we eliminated corrupt redistricting nationally, 25 GOP house seats would likely flip Dem, and 8 Dem seats would likely flip GOP giving the Republicans a 17 seat corrupt advantage at the expense of free and fair elections in 2020, a concern that the GOP frequently pretends to prioritize
So after in depth analysis and decent amount of questioning of your source it’s a 3 seat GOP advantage if I did my math right. Not bad

  • So its more accurate to say that  MD and IL are in 21 way tie for third most gerrymandered states.
  • We might also note that Former GOP Speaker of the House for 8 years  and convicted child molester Dennis Hastert drew the districting for Illinois in 1993 when a 3 judge Federal court tossed out the Democratic redistricting plan and Illinois has not successfully redistricted since.  So we can also blame Republicans for at least one of the Democratic advantages.
I don’t see how this is relevant right now lol.
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@ILikePie5
Cause it’s hard for Democrats to understand that minorities commit the most amount of violent crime in urban areas and therefore are gonna be stricken from the voting list
Well, there are those that deny it outright. But to work with cognitive dissonance, the ones that do acknowledge it just blame White people

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@bmdrocks21
Or Orange people.
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@oromagi
I'm completely unfamiliar with methodology of determining gerrymandered states, but a (naïve) approach from my perspective would be to determine the ratio of party affiliated voters in a given state, and then compare this to the party apportionment ratio of the congressional districts.

Are there major issues in this approach that make it unsuitable for determining fairness of districting from your perspectives?
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@Wylted
Use blockchain technology for voting to ensure both anonymity and accuracy of the ballot. A full proof system has already been created that would erase the need for voter ID, but democrats reject it, because it would be impossible to cheat in such a system.
I asked you how we go about meeting your standard of evidence to believe in the results of an election. If this is your answer, then you’re saying you will not accept the results of any election as long as it’s done with paper. Is that correct?

We can see the democrats messing with elections. For example they lied and projected Hillary to win. Studies show that when a person thinks their candidate will lose, they are less likely to actually vote. What motive other than that can we have for them lying about Hillary being projected to win? They also lied and projected Brexit to fail.

Reagan was predicted to lose. Why do they always get it wrong in advantage of democrats but not republicans? My theory is that it is not a coincidence they always get it wrong to demoralize the same group, instead of wrongness being random.
First of all, polls and projections are just data. It’s not a conspiracy. The only evidence you have is that it fits your narrative. This is confirmation bias on steroids.

Second, there have been plenty of democratic upsets. Were those pollsters also in on a “conspiracy” to hurt the republican? Or does it only count when it fits your narrative?

Third, projections are just that. Getting a projection wrong means pollsters are not omniscient, not that they’re lying. Why do I need to explain this?

Fourth, this has absolutely nothing to do with fraud. Even if everything I just said was false, putting out messages to the public to try and sway their vote is called politics. It’s literally the entire point of having a campaign.

And just as a bonus, Hillary was given an 83% chance of winning. That’s about 1 in 6. Spend five minutes with some dice and let me know how many times the dice conspired to lie to you about what number you “randomly” rolled.

The biggest problems with ballots were in urban areas. Republican areas voting went smoothly and without a hitch, but in liberal areas there was all kinds of funny business. I just don't hear any reports coming out in areas republicans won, 
That’s because republicans have manipulated you nicely. All of these “voting irregularities” are complete bullshit and the republicans at the top know it. But they also know if they can just point to one thing after another that looks funny out of context, then they can manipulate enough people to support them as they change election laws in their favor. It’s such an absurdly transparent strategy…

Claim voter fraud > watch as your base believes you > use their belief as a pretext for new voting laws

Do you ever notice how ever time a republican politician tries to explain why they’re pushing these new laws they say “a lot of people don’t trust the elections”? No shit, because you told them not to. Notice what they don’t do… point to the actual examples of fraud. Why not? Because they know it’s all bullshit and they could never defend it.

BTW, here are Michigan republicans coming out yesterday and saying it was all bullshit:


The reason you don’t hear about this in republican areas because democrats aren’t playing this stupid game. Democrats actually believe in democracy, and governing.
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@Double_R
Democrats actually believe in democracy, and governing.

What a meme.

50 years of "democracy" and "governing" has forever fucked New York and California.

I would take any alternative to that bullshit.
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@Double_R
Senate republicans says the election was legit. LoL

So fellow illuminati members who attend the Bilderburg meetings. They are on the same team as Bilderburger democrats. 

They are meeting in private Bilderburger type meetings and setting policy handed down to them by international power players who attend the meeting.
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@dustryder
I'm completely unfamiliar with methodology of determining gerrymandered states, but a (naïve) approach from my perspective would be to determine the ratio of party affiliated voters in a given state, and then compare this to the party apportionment ratio of the congressional districts.

Are there major issues in this approach that make it unsuitable for determining fairness of districting from your perspectives?
Actually yes. Southern states like Kentucky and West Virginia have a lot of ancestral Democrats who are registered as Democrats but are extremely conservative.

Furthermore, many states don’t have political affiliation data like Texas. You can vote in any party’s primary. I myself voted for Bernie. It would be pretty unreliable.

I think the fairest standards are compactness and contiguous. As the nation becomes more rural vs urban with suburbs as the battleground, districts should become more compact and contiguous.
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->@oromagi
  • African American voters were placed on purge lists more often and more erroneously than Hispanic or white voters. For instance, in the state’s largest county, Miami-Dade, more than 65 percent of the names on the purge list were African Americans, who represented only 20.4 percent of the population. Hispanics were 57.4 percent of the population, but only 16.6 percent of the purge list; whites were 77.6 percent of the population but 17.6 percent of those purged.
Your source (whatever it is) states that AA are put on more erroneously but then proceeds to only show they are put on the purge list more often. If it was some Republican conspiracy to get minorities off the voter registration, you’d expect to see a large portion of Hispanics getting purged as well, since they also vote for the GOP less than half the time on average. (Except Cubans by a very slim majority)

Is it not possible that AA double register more often, are convicted of felonies more often, etc.?

Why are you jumping to alleging some conspiracy?
  • I am not alleging conspiracy, I am reporting the Republican conspiracy as documented by a fair number of Federal, State, and Journalistic investigations over the years.
  • The short version is that FL contracted out the voter purge files to a private data crunching firm.
    • In 1998, they hired the lowest bidding contractor, Professional Services Inc and paid them $5,700 for a fairly typical voter purge list
    • In 2000, they hired DBT Online (then run by a flashy well known former cocaine smuggler) in a no-bid contract and paid them $4 million for a gigantic purge list. (which appears to be why DBT's services were 70 times more valuable to the Republican Government)
      • According to the Palm Beach Post (among other issues), though blacks accounted for 88% of those removed from the rolls, they made up only about 11% of Florida's voters.  Even before election day, country officials were finding chunks of thousands of perfectly legit black voters who were on the purge lists.
      • The lists were so obviously fraudulent that 20 counties simply refused to use the list and conducted their own purges.
    • The State used the same firm to try to purge lists in 2004 and were interdicted by Federal Courts.
    • The ACLU sued Florida and Florida settled by agreeing to stop using contractors and use the ACLU standards going forward (thereby admitting the fault of the 2000 purge)
    • The bipartisan US Commision on Civil Rights found "that the problems Florida had during the 2000 presidential election were serious and not isolated. In many cases, they were foreseeable and should have been prevented. The failure to do so resulted in an extraordinarily high and inexcusable level of disenfranchisement, with a significantly disproportionate impact on African American voters." and referred the violations to the US Attorney General's office for determination of liability (needless to say AG John Ashcroft never looked into his boss's brother's conduct)
  • Investigations by the Miami Herald, LA Times, BBC, Vanity Fair, etc. documented thousands of legally registered black voters in FL who were incorrectly purged and denied access to voting booths on election day- in an election where Bush's margin of victory depended on 538 votes when counting was stopped by the Supreme Court.  There really is no question that Gov Jeb Bush's administration deliberately intervened to illegally block the votes of thousands of black people and that intervention alone caused reversed the majority of voter's choice of a Democratic president.
  • Republicans had two good reasons not purge Hispanics:
    • The Cuban (one third of Miami Dade) vote was reliably Republican and absolutely necessary to a Republican win in FL.  The purge had no way of distinguishing Cuban voters from other Hispanic voters but also
      • More Hispanic voters supported Bush than any other Republican presidential candidate before or since (40%).  The GOP had good reason not to tamper with Hispanic voters.  The fact that Hispanic voters were barely purged at all reveals the deliberation used by the GOP in purging.

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@ILikePie5
I am registered as a Democrat as a precaution against the tyranny of the majority.
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@Greyparrot
50 years of "democracy" and "governing" has forever fucked New York and California.

I would take any alternative to that bullshit.
lol ok bro, because everyone wants to live in Kentucky.

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@Wylted
Senate republicans says the election was legit. LoL
In other words, “I’m just going to believe whatever I want to because it makes me feel good. To hell with the evidence, to hell with logic and reason, it’s all about protecting my ego and need to see nefarious puppet masters pulling the world strings rather than understanding the complexities of the world I live in”

Heard you.

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@Double_R
lol ok bro, because everyone wants to live in Kentucky.
There’s a reason why people are moving out of NY and CA not in
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@Double_R
lol ok bro, because everyone wants to live in Kentucky.

It a hell of a lot cheaper to buy a Uhaul to get the fuck out of Kentucky.

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@ILikePie5
There’s a reason why people are moving out of NY and CA not in

They literally lost congressional seats and want to brag about how Democrat states are so fucking great.
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@Greyparrot
They literally lost congressional seats and want to brag about how Democrat states are so fucking great.
Don’t forget the inner cities nationwide! Those are some real gems
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@Greyparrot
They literally lost congressional seats and want to brag about how Democrat states are so fucking great.
Genius, people are leaving NY and CA because it’s expensive as hell. And why is it so expensive? Because people want to live there and are willing to pay absurd prices as a result. No one is moving to red states because you know… republicans.
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@Double_R
Because people want to live there and are willing to pay absurd prices as a result.
Prices are high because supply is low. Communist redistributionist Democrats have no fucking clue how to produce things just like the former Soviet Union.

Your inane comment displays your monumental ignorance of supply/demand economics, as is typical of all establishment communist sniffers.

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@ILikePie5
California can't even keep the electricity running in good weather.

Who wants to stay in a State with chronic power Blackouts and brownouts?
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@Double_R
Genius, people are leaving NY and CA because it’s expensive as hell. And why is it so expensive? Because people want to live there and are willing to pay absurd prices as a result. No one is moving to red states because you know… republicans.
You should actually sober up before coming on this site lol.
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@oromagi
Manchin has changed tunes on the filibuster and I have little if any use for his positions on election or procedural issues. 

That being said, I'll place his ideas into two buckets.  

Bucket 1: Reasonable Ideas

1. Make election day a public holiday

5. Automatic registration through DMV, with option to opt out.

Bucket 2: Not reasonable ideas

2. Mandate at least 15 consecutive days of early voting for federal elections (include 2 weekends)
Why this is wrong:  Doesn't go far enough or cover the items that need to be covered.  Not enough time, and should not be limited to federal elections.  30 days of early voting, minimum.  Protocols need to be established to make sure the physical locations where people vote are reasonably accessible, plainly and clearly communicated to all eligible voters and not moved without cause from cycle to cycle.  

3. Ban partisan gerrymandering and use computer models.
Why this is wrong:  There is no causal nexus that can be established linking "use of computer models" and the absence of "partisan gerrymandering."  Just the opposite is true.  So, further and clearer instruction is required and compliance must be independently verified.  That instruction should outline, at the very least, that all electoral districts should be based on population density, geography and practicality.  For example, it makes no sense to have an electoral map that splits a subdivision into two districts (as was the case in North Carolina, where registered democrats were placed into one one district and republicans in the same neighborhood were placed into another).  

4. Require voter ID with allowable alternatives (utility bill, etc.) to prove identity to vote
Why this is wrong:  Voter ID laws are not racist and there is no reasonable argument to the contrary.  If you have to have a state-issued ID to buy alcohol or tobacco, there is absolutely no reason why requiring the same is unreasonable to vote.   Evidence of "fraud" having been committed is not a predicate for justifying voter ID laws.  We do not, for example, require that murders take place before we decide murder should be illegal.  That argument is stupid and anyone who makes it does so solely because they want to engage in the kind of voter fraud that took place in the swing states during the 2020 election. 

6. Require states to promote access to voter registration and voting for persons with disabilities and older individuals.
Why this is wrong:  Doesn't go far enough.  Same-day voter registration (allowing you to vote and register to do so in the same day, at the same location) should be the norm, everywhere for everyone. 

7. Prohibit providing false information about elections to hinder or discourage voting and increases penalties for voter intimidation.
Why this is wrong:  Who says what constitutes "false information about elections"?  The party in power, of course.  Categorically unacceptable restraint on free speech.  

8. Require states to send absentee by mail ballots to eligible voters before an election if voter is not able to vote in person during early voting or election day due to eligible circumstance and allow civil penalty for failure.
Why this is wrong:  Too complicated.  I am generally in favor of expanding absentee voting, but the process needs to be simple and scalable.  This is neither, because it allows for too many restrictions on absentee voting, requires a demonstration of "cause" to be eligible for an absentee ballot and implicates proof-related issues that can readily be fucked up at the state level.  So it's a non-starter.  And a stupid idea. 

9. Require the Election Assistance Commission to develop model training programs and award grants for training.
Why this is wrong:  I have no idea what this is going to involve and nor does Joe Manchin.  Self-evidently bad idea. 

10.Require states to notify an individual, not later than 7 seven days before election, if his/her polling place has changed.

  • Absentee ballots shall be carried expeditiously and free of postage.
  • Require the Attorney General to develop a state-based response system and hotline that provides information on voting.
Why this is wrong:  See above.  There is no world where changing a polling location is acceptable even from cycle to cycle without a compelling reason, such as the old building burned down or has been condemned due to asbestos.  

11. Allow for maintenance of voter rolls by utilizing information derived from state and federal documents.
Why this is wrong:  I'm all for removing dead people from the roll of eligible voters.  But this proposal is so vague and ambiguous it seems like an affirmative authorization for the party in power to remove eligible voters from the roll, as happened in 2020. 

12. Establish standards for election vendors based on cybersecurity concerns.
Why this is wrong:  We have standards.  They're at the state level, and they're inadequate.  This is a meaningless proposal that wholly lacks specificity or significance.  Unworkably vague. 

13. Allow provisional ballots to count for all eligible races regardless of precinct.
Why this is wrong: It's a cheap shortcut to verifying provisional ballots, which is what should be done in the first place.  Further, it enables the kind of mischief as took place in Michigan during 2020. 





Double_R
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@Greyparrot
Prices are high because supply is low. Communist redistributionist Democrats have no fucking clue how to produce things just like the former Soviet Union.
WTF? Supply is low because there’s no more space. You don’t produce land.