Avatar The Last Airbender Mafia DP2

Author: Vader

Posts

Read-only
Total: 158
Greyparrot
Greyparrot's avatar
Debates: 4
Posts: 25,971
3
4
10
Greyparrot's avatar
Greyparrot
3
4
10
-->
@Danielle
Sadly you are inspiring me to be a lot less lazy than I usually play.
Greyparrot
Greyparrot's avatar
Debates: 4
Posts: 25,971
3
4
10
Greyparrot's avatar
Greyparrot
3
4
10
-->
@MisterChris
I am heavily leaning Speed as scum because he didn't ask for a counterclaim, which indicates he knew it was a safe claim as scum.

If he was town he would (should) have asked anyone to counterclaim him as a matter of getting standard information. Especially early in the game.
Greyparrot
Greyparrot's avatar
Debates: 4
Posts: 25,971
3
4
10
Greyparrot's avatar
Greyparrot
3
4
10
-->
@MisterChris
Also, his choice of Bearman is sus.
Greyparrot
Greyparrot's avatar
Debates: 4
Posts: 25,971
3
4
10
Greyparrot's avatar
Greyparrot
3
4
10
-->
@BearMan
Bearman asked for cop counterclaims, clearly town behavior.

Which makes speed's choice of investigating Bearman either retarded or a calculated scum play.
whiteflame
whiteflame's avatar
Debates: 27
Posts: 4,820
4
6
10
whiteflame's avatar
whiteflame
4
6
10
-->
@Greyparrot
Bearman asked for cop counterclaims, clearly town behavior.

Which makes speed's choice of investigating Bearman either retarded or a calculated scum play.
Yeah, I was thinking the latter. Bearman already had a solid identity in Toph that could easily have been counterclaimed. The cop claim by Speed had me somewhat uncertain, but that's a far less risky call than claiming a main character from the series, as Chris said. It's also possible that one or both of them received a fake ID that they used for their claims, but especially as the person that Bearman tracked accurately, I find it far less likely that he's the sus one of the two.
BearMan
BearMan's avatar
Debates: 16
Posts: 1,067
3
4
11
BearMan's avatar
BearMan
3
4
11
-->
@Greyparrot
Ok, then why would he town-confirm me?
BearMan
BearMan's avatar
Debates: 16
Posts: 1,067
3
4
11
BearMan's avatar
BearMan
3
4
11
What I think about the NK is that mafia wants to play it low-key. They don't know their third member and aren't going to kill the person that is very sus. Essentially, they need to choose who to kill carefully, meaning they have to play like town. They probably wouldn't kill me or Speed as it would be a waste of an NK, as most likely I would've been lynched the next DP.

The cop'ing of me was probably unexpected to scum, which is why they need to push a lynch on someone else. Strangely, the way Pie has been dodging me and just saying I was sus eerily reminds me of what he did in Naruto Mafia to Lunatic who was Pattern at the time. When Pattern came out as Lunatic he tried to push a lynch on him but then quickswitched and got lynched himself.

vtl Pie
Danielle
Danielle's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 2,049
3
3
4
Danielle's avatar
Danielle
3
3
4
-->
@BearMan
Re: why Speed would say he investigated you town - because if he says he investigated scum and they flipped inno, he would be extremely sus.  And if/when he flips scum, it would make people second guess your affiliation. 

The question is why would he investigate you in the first place when you're one of the only people to have claimed (and a role we could somewhat verify no less?)  It seems very unlikely he would believe that investigating you would be statistically useful. 

And the fact that neither one of you were role blocked or killed is also very sus. If Speed were town I think he would be here playing better + making a better case for himself insofar as why he targeted you with his night action and why he's focusing on a Luna lynch this DP. 

I also think killing warren seems like Speed would be behind it. Assuming they have to logically deduce who their scum partner is, and they know it's not Luna, and assume it's not me or you, that leaves just a few potential targets. I could see Speed, Pie or whiteflame being the ones threatened by warren. 

The only thing making me second guess Speed as scum is that it would be weird for scum to "give up" at this point since they definitely still have a shot at winning. Speed's behavior seems like he doesn't really care. Pie on the other hand seems to be trying to delay things to give mafia the edge in numbers and is open to lynching Luna/you.  So Speed/Pie are my biggest suspects right now along with one of the lesser active people. Skittlez and Croc need to post. I'd like to hear more from MisterChris as well. It's good he posted. 

Danielle
Danielle's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 2,049
3
3
4
Danielle's avatar
Danielle
3
3
4
-->
@Lunatic
@Greyparrot
Should we get Pie's claim? 
whiteflame
whiteflame's avatar
Debates: 27
Posts: 4,820
4
6
10
whiteflame's avatar
whiteflame
4
6
10
-->
@Danielle
Not sure how I was threatened by warren, but I agree with the rest of this. At the moment, I’m more suspicious of Speed, largely because I get the impression that he thinks we’ll talk ourselves out of a decision to lynch him, as occurred last DP.
Greyparrot
Greyparrot's avatar
Debates: 4
Posts: 25,971
3
4
10
Greyparrot's avatar
Greyparrot
3
4
10
-->
@Danielle
Of course.
Danielle
Danielle's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 2,049
3
3
4
Danielle's avatar
Danielle
3
3
4
-->
@whiteflame
Not sure how I was threatened by warren

I said I could see you being threatened by him (not that you were) just based on his knowledge of the theme. It seems like you and he know it the strongest. And you, Speed, Pie, Luna and GP are the only ones who would seem smart enough to get rid of someone like warren. 

Maybe whoever the mafia targets for a NK is recruited to the PM if its their buddy and killed if it's not. Either way I could see why warren would be a good target and I dunno if Bear, Croc and skittlez have the wherewithal to see it (no offense). So from those possibilities Speed and Pie seem most sus to me atm. I dunno what to make of Chris yet. 
Greyparrot
Greyparrot's avatar
Debates: 4
Posts: 25,971
3
4
10
Greyparrot's avatar
Greyparrot
3
4
10
-->
@Danielle
Exactly, there is at least one mastermind on the scum team that knows the threat of Warren. 
BearMan
BearMan's avatar
Debates: 16
Posts: 1,067
3
4
11
BearMan's avatar
BearMan
3
4
11
-->
@Danielle
The question is why would he investigate you in the first place when you're one of the only people to have claimed (and a role we could somewhat verify no less?)  It seems very unlikely he would believe that investigating you would be statistically useful. 
I don't see it that way. Town-confirming a power role is useful.

And the fact that neither one of you were role blocked or killed is also very sus. If Speed were town I think he would be here playing better + making a better case for himself insofar as why he targeted you with his night action and why he's focusing on a Luna lynch this DP. 
I think the fact that both of us are sus leaves the mafia with a risky situation. Should they kill someone possibly scum or not? I think I'll be killed by this NP, they simply don't have the risk anymore.

I also think killing warren seems like Speed would be behind it. Assuming they have to logically deduce who their scum partner is, and they know it's not Luna, and assume it's not me or you, that leaves just a few potential targets. I could see Speed, Pie or whiteflame being the ones threatened by warren. 
Idk.

The only thing making me second guess Speed as scum is that it would be weird for scum to "give up" at this point since they definitely still have a shot at winning. Speed's behavior seems like he doesn't really care. Pie on the other hand seems to be trying to delay things to give mafia the edge in numbers and is open to lynching Luna/you.  So Speed/Pie are my biggest suspects right now along with one of the lesser active people. Skittlez and Croc need to post. I'd like to hear more from MisterChris as well. It's good he posted. 

I have suspicions on Pie like I said. Speed doesn't seem like scum, it's just off. Perhaps this is because of the 3 scum and 1 out scenario, but probably not.
BearMan
BearMan's avatar
Debates: 16
Posts: 1,067
3
4
11
BearMan's avatar
BearMan
3
4
11
-->
@ILikePie5
Claim. 
ILikePie5
ILikePie5's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 15,159
3
7
10
ILikePie5's avatar
ILikePie5
3
7
10
-->
@BearMan
Strangely, the way Pie has been dodging me and just saying I was sus eerily reminds me of what he did in Naruto Mafia to Lunatic who was Pattern at the time. When Pattern came out as Lunatic he tried to push a lynch on him but then quickswitched and got lynched himself.

vtl Pie
What have I dodged on lol? I technically didn’t get lynched. Only did cause Supa decided to extend because of his crappy time schedule.

Claim.
I’ve already soft-claimed DP1. I’m not going to full claim at this moment. I’ll be more than happy to claim tomorrow and point exactly to where I softclaimed.
Greyparrot
Greyparrot's avatar
Debates: 4
Posts: 25,971
3
4
10
Greyparrot's avatar
Greyparrot
3
4
10
-->
@ILikePie5
I’m not going to full claim at this moment.

Claim or die.
ILikePie5
ILikePie5's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 15,159
3
7
10
ILikePie5's avatar
ILikePie5
3
7
10
-->
@Danielle
@Greyparrot
Are y’all not even a tadbit concerned that Lunatic has been AWOL for so long. It literally goes against his entire townplay. Just look back to the Bullish game and how he was actively asking people stuff. 
ILikePie5
ILikePie5's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 15,159
3
7
10
ILikePie5's avatar
ILikePie5
3
7
10
-->
@Greyparrot
Claim or die.
First thing tomorrow. Play by the same rules you played with Lunatic 
Vader
Vader's avatar
Debates: 30
Posts: 14,984
5
8
11
Vader's avatar
Vader
5
8
11
iLikePie5 (2/6) Luantic, BearMan
Lunatic (2/6) Speed, Pie
Speedrace (2/6) whiteflame, Greyparrot


Danielle
Danielle's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 2,049
3
3
4
Danielle's avatar
Danielle
3
3
4
-->
@ILikePie5
Are y’all not even a tadbit concerned that Lunatic has been AWOL for so long. It literally goes against his entire townplay. 

True, but Luna said he's willing to test his claim of lynchproof meaning he's lynchproof. It makes no sense to have lynchproof scum for aforementioned reasons, and the fact that you would ignore this means you seem to kinda be tunneling Luna - and you have since last DP. 

"It would be anti-Town for you to not claim. I ended up claiming to not be lynched. Maybe you should do the same if you are town" - Pie, post #106 last day phase. 

I just re-read it to see if I could find your alleged soft claim. I could not. I also noticed you had a little back and forth dialog with warren. To be honest though I didn't read you scummy until this DP when you seemingly just believed Speed's results. I think it's weird you called Speed a "confirmed" cop last day phase in post #480 as well.  

Also, regarding "playing by the same rules"I did with Lunatic, Luna claimed a big part  of his role last DP so... it's not the same. 


Danielle
Danielle's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 2,049
3
3
4
Danielle's avatar
Danielle
3
3
4
There's enough reason to get a claim from Pie this day phase and we can proceed where to go from there. I suspect we'll be lynching one of the two this DP so it's not like we're going to reveal a lot more. VTL Pie for a claim. 
Greyparrot
Greyparrot's avatar
Debates: 4
Posts: 25,971
3
4
10
Greyparrot's avatar
Greyparrot
3
4
10
-->
@ILikePie5
Whatevs..

UNVOTE

VTL PIE
Greyparrot
Greyparrot's avatar
Debates: 4
Posts: 25,971
3
4
10
Greyparrot's avatar
Greyparrot
3
4
10
-->
@ILikePie5
Just resign we got you and your buddy speed
BearMan
BearMan's avatar
Debates: 16
Posts: 1,067
3
4
11
BearMan's avatar
BearMan
3
4
11
-->
@ILikePie5
What have I dodged on lol? I technically didn’t get lynched. Only did cause Supa decided to extend because of his crappy time schedule.

You've been trying to separate yourself. Like distance, so I could get lynched without you interfering
skittlez09
skittlez09's avatar
Debates: 1
Posts: 1,012
3
3
9
skittlez09's avatar
skittlez09
3
3
9
sorry about inactivity im going on a trip to reno this weekend so i been packing 

currently im caught up ill give my current reads in a sec 




Vader
Vader's avatar
Debates: 30
Posts: 14,984
5
8
11
Vader's avatar
Vader
5
8
11
iLikePie5 (4/6) Luantic, BearMan, Danielle, Greyparrot
Lunatic (2/6) Speed, Pie
Speedrace (1/6) whiteflame

BearMan
BearMan's avatar
Debates: 16
Posts: 1,067
3
4
11
BearMan's avatar
BearMan
3
4
11
-->
@ILikePie5
CLAIM


ILikePie5
ILikePie5's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 15,159
3
7
10
ILikePie5's avatar
ILikePie5
3
7
10
-->
@Danielle
I just re-read it to see if I could find your alleged soft claim. I could not. I also noticed you had a little back and forth dialog with warren. 
That means I did a good job at it. And yes I had dialogue with Warren, just like last game
ILikePie5
ILikePie5's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 15,159
3
7
10
ILikePie5's avatar
ILikePie5
3
7
10
-->
@Danielle
There's enough reason to get a claim from Pie this day phase and we can proceed where to go from there. I suspect we'll be lynching one of the two this DP so it's not like we're going to reveal a lot more. VTL Pie for a claim. 
Good luck with that.