Captain America: Civil War Mafia - DP1

Author: Speedrace

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warren42
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@Singularity
Yes. I am Danielle

DANI!
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@Discipulus_Didicit
Don't edit posts friend
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@ILikePie5
I’ll just full claim. I’m the Town Role Cop. I’m in the armed forces and Speed said he wanted to hit the hay. I win with the Town.

VTL Pie

This is not a full (or real) claim
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@warren42
Didn't even realize I did until you pointed it out. Just habit to fix my bad grammar, I have been trying hard not to and as you can see by all my non-mafia posts that I edit 80% or so of I have been doing a decent job... I will continue to try to be good.
Bullish
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Yeah first of all, people saying that pushing a lynch early is scummy are spewing some bullshit. I know drafterman will back me up cause he made this: https://www.debate.org/drafterman/photos/album/2633/18865/ and gets mad when people question it. Early lynches are correlated with higher chance of lynching scum. Delaying the DP just makes town overthink and talk themselves out of lynching scum. In South Park for example Water was scum, and got a wagon real quick DP1, but we ended up no lynching then lynched 2 town in a row after that.
Discipulus_Didicit
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@warren42
This is not a full (or real) claim

Omfg this is taken care of immediately after. I am not going to ask that you shut up until fully caught up -I have actually said the opposite and stand by it - but at least read 2-3 pages at a time rather than 2-3 posts at a time.
SirAnonymous
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@Bullish
 Early lynches are correlated with higher chance of lynching scum.
I would guess those stats are heavily skewed because many short DPs are short because they have scum who were confirmed by the flip of the last player lynched, so I don't think correlation equals causation here.

Bullish
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@SirAnonymous
When that chart is for DP1 only if I recall from when it was first posted.
warren42
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Ok Singularity is a liar and I hate her. Smh. Willing to LAL for that Danielle lie /s
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@Discipulus_Didicit
Omfg this is taken care of immediately after. I am not going to ask that you shut up until fully caught up -I have actually said the opposite and stand by it - but at least read 2-3 pages at a time rather than 2-3 posts at a time.
Finally you feel what I feel
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@SirAnonymous
I would guess those stats are heavily skewed because many short DPs are short because they have scum who were confirmed by the flip of the last player lynched, so I don't think correlation equals causation here.

In my experience even on DP 1 going with your gut and lynching early is generally a good thing for much the same reasons that bullish is saying now. It is one of the reasons I feel confident of my read on him that was based on him making a single post with less than 20 words.

He is right, no need to talk ourselves out of a good lynch that we spot early on.
warren42
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@Discipulus_Didicit
Again, nah.
  • I think if anything a reaction like that is *extra* insightful as to how I'm thinking if I'm willing to cast a vote
  • Also I'm too lazy to do that at the moment

Vader
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@warren42
According to the rules of site, if they were Dani, then they would have Dani and her account she made closed. Hence they aren’t 
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@warren42
Okay, just don't be to lazy to type 'vtl bullish' once you are caught up.


Vader
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Oh nvm u saw that
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@SirAnonymous
Actually I have a perfect example of a game where the concept bullish is trying to communicate is well demonstrated. Gimmie a min to dig it up.
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@Vader
Yo do you remember the name of that game where wylted and I caught you and your scum buddy DP 1 on like page 3 or 4? I need to show it to my mentee SirAnon.
warren42
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I see the "resolution" of Pie's "full claim" and still don't buy it.

SirAnonymous
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@Discipulus_Didicit
Was it on DART or DDO?
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@SirAnonymous
DART. Most of the DDO mafia games are fossilized by now.
Vader
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@Discipulus_Didicit
Water because he claimed mafia, Athropada
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@Vader
@Discipulus_Didicit
I guess that isn't such a good example, then. I remember reading that game. It was sad, really.
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@SirAnonymous
Yup found it right before supa mentioned it. Anthropoda mafia. Here is DP 1:


Water ended up claiming scum (it was his first game iirc) and supa was caught as hos buddy based on a very minor slip early in DP 1. Supa was lynched immediately DP 2 but if town had not done so they may have talked themselves out of a good lynch that was based on a solid gut feeling by myself and wylted.
warren42
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@SirAnonymous
In your readslist I was a scum lean despite being inactive. Why would someone who had literally not posted not be in null? The only reason I could think of would be because you townread everyone else, which would then make sense, but you had four people in your null pile.

Discipulus_Didicit
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It was sad that WP accidentally killed himself but the lynch on supa was made fair and square. Moral of the story is to trust your early gut feelings unless given good and specific reason not to, and my early gut feeling this game is that we should shank bullish.

SirAnonymous
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@warren42
I have a natural inclination against inactivity. I'm town reading you now.
SirAnonymous
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@Discipulus_Didicit
You have a valid point. Half of us scumread drafter in the last game, but we talked ourselves out of it and lynched Singularity instead.

warren42
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I did it ladies and gents. I'm fully caught up.

Sorry Disc but Pie is scummier, my vote stands.
SirAnonymous
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Not drafter. Ragnar. Drafter was the mod.
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@SirAnonymous
I don't care about your current read, I care about that logic which makes no sense to me.

Shouldn't someone who has not at all posted be the truest "null" there is?