Don't you think we would see something breaking the cause and effect rule by now or maybe Quantum researchers don't have the evidence yet to state that?
I agree that our inability to predict quantum fluctuations does not necessarily mean they are "fundamentally-unpredictable", there may be some "hidden-non-local-variables" but at this point, we can't say 100% for certain either way.
tautological indeterminism is the most reliable, defensible, and most comprehensive position.
I didn't see the tautological part of it. Do you want to explain that?
A logical tautology is a statement that is necessarily true in all circumstances.
For example,
In the realm of logic, a tautology is something that is true in all circumstances. A common example of a logical tautology is the following:
- The dog either has 100% brown fur, or the dog does not have 100% brown fur.
This sentence is always true because one or the other must be so. This is different than a statement that says, "The dog is either brown, or the dog is white," because dogs can be black, gray, or a mix of colors. Note that when you put both halves of the logical tautology together, it feels a bit redundant, just like a verbal tautology.
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Another common example of a logical tautology is something that is true-by-definition.
For example,
(P1) alligator is one of many sub-categories of crocodile
All alligators are crocodiles, but not all crocodiles are alligators. This statement is true-by-definition.
Back to the indeterminism example,
Tautological statement (1) (EITHER) determinism (OR) indeterminism is TRUE - this statement (1) must be true in all circumstances.
Tautological statement (2) In the absence of demonstrable god-like power to accurately and infallibly predict all future events, determinism is functionally identical to, and scientifically indistinguishable from indeterminism - this statement (2) must be true in all circumstances.
Tautological statement (3) Perfect-determinism is incompatible with the standard interpretation of quantum mechanics. Indeterminism is compatible with the standard interpretation of quantum mechanics. (IFF) the standard interpretation of quantum mechanics is true (THEN) perfect-determinism cannot be true. (IFF) the standard interpretation of quantum mechanics is true (THEN) indeterminism is true - this statement (3) must be true in all circumstances.
Based on our current scientific understanding, indeterminism must be true.