A Simple Question about the Current US Economy

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cristo71
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@Shila
The guy is just a student.
Noted. I am being gentle : )

Shila
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@cristo71
The guy is just a student.
Noted. I am being gentle : )
He thinks student loans are an asset.
Math_Enthusiast
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@Greyparrot
That premise of outsourcing investors assumes there is no long tail on a normal distribution curve, where Musk lies at the far tail. You can't replace Musk with multiple inferior investors and expect the same product value.
No, but I can replace an Elon Musk who makes hundreds of billions with an Elon Musk who makes hundreds of thousands.

Even if he takes the money the people willingly gave him and spends it on all on Jets, not only did he make the millions of people wealthier by trading a more valuable product than the money they gave him, but he also helped the jet manufacturers.
Yes, he is helping jet manufacturers. I would be quite happy to see jet manufacturing scaled back such that the same resources which would have been used for some billionaire's private jet goes to something like feeding people instead. In the world that I am imagining, there would unfortunately be a lot of people who currently work towards producing luxuries for billionaires who would need to go find a job doing something which actually helps the world.

That's a double win for everyone, so you should encourage more of what Musk is doing. And also objectively realize that Musk is undercompensated for the wealth he created due to the fact people gave him less money than the product was worth.
Once again, I don't care about giving him his "objectively accurate" compensation. I care about maximizing the well-being of as many people as possible, and I would hope that you do too. As for the people buying those products, what part of my proposal would stop them from buying the same products at the same prices? The only difference is that a lot of that money would now end up making its way back to them in the form of government services and lower taxes. Which would you prefer: You buy a product for a bargain price and the money goes towards some billionaire getting a private jet, or you buy a product for the same bargain price and only some of the money goes to reasonably compensating those behind it while the rest is contributing to you paying lower taxes while your children get free lunch at school?

Shila
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@Math_Enthusiast
No, but I can replace an Elon Musk who makes hundreds of billions with an Elon Musk who makes hundreds of thousands.
If you can replace Elon Musk, you can also replace Trump.
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@Math_Enthusiast
You cant really expect for people to understand your point of view. These are all very rich people who eat a very significant piece of society's cake. You cant expect them to understand those who barely have any cake to eat.
Shila
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@Best.Korea
You cant really expect for people to understand your point of view. These are all very rich people who eat a very significant piece of society's cake. You cant expect them to understand those who barely have any cake to eat.
His solution will remove cake from every home.
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@Savant
And where are you getting that money? From taxpayers. So you are forcing people to invest, just indirectly.

I suppose you could consider this to be forcing taxpayers to invest. I'll grant you that one. I don't think that those taxpayers who would now have to pay less in taxes while still getting more government benefits would care very much though.

Why not? Additional money being invested is good.
Because we would already be getting that "additional money" that you're after from taxpayers, but it would be invested responsibly on their behalf, rather than us trusting ordinary people with the weapon of potential mass financial destruction that we call investing. Roughly the same amount of money gets invested either way, but in the current world a lot of it gets invested into terrible business ideas or outright scams.

Someone like Musk is doing more than just investing, they also make high-stakes decisions on how companies are run. I suppose you could replace that with central planning, but then you just reinvented the Soviet Union.
You and the others on your side in this issue seem to continually overestimate how much I am actually proposing that we change. We would still have people like Elon Musk making investments and independently deciding how companies are run. They just wouldn't be making billions anymore. I am not suggesting that we completely replace our economic system with a new one; I am simply suggesting that we take the giant flow of resources that currently goes straight into the hands of CEOs and other big investors and company decision-makers and redirect it to something more helpful. The way that I have proposed that we do this also has the nice side effect of potentially making this giant flow of resources even bigger by making investing something you need actual qualifications for while giving the investors the opportunity to invest far more money than they would have been able to otherwise.
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@Math_Enthusiast
I care about maximizing the well-being of as many people as possible, and I would hope that you do too. As for the people buying those products, what part of my proposal would stop them from buying the same products at the same prices? 

Because there's no substitute for Musk, and removing the incentive to create wealth for millions of people with a product they pay Musk less than it's worth would impoverish millions with the removal of the product Musk created. Killing geese that lay gold eggs makes everyone poorer.
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Tesla, the most valuable automaker in the world valued at over $1 trillion, did not pay any federal income tax last year.
Tesla’s annual financial report, released this morning, shows the company enjoyed $2.3 billion of U.S. income in 2024 on which it reports precisely zero current federal income tax. Over the past three years, the Elon Musk-led company reports $10.8 billion of U.S. income on which its current federal tax was just $48 million. That comes to a three-year federal tax rate of just 0.4 percent – more than 50 times less than the statutory corporate tax rate of 21 percent.

Shila
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@Math_Enthusiast
The way that I have proposed that we do this also has the nice side effect of potentially making this giant flow of resources even bigger by making investing something you need actual qualifications for while giving the investors the opportunity to invest far more money than they would have been able to otherwise.
What is you economics called?
Math_Enthusiast
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@cristo71
There are already people— fund managers— privately employed to do that. Would you prefer that only government could employ fund managers? 

People get into investing chiefly to accumulate and control wealth. If you take away that control from investors, they are then disincentivized to put as much money, time, and effort into investing. 
I'm not going to attempt to deny that hundreds of billions of dollars is a far greater incentive than hundreds of thousands of dollars. Even so, we don't offer people billions to be professors and yet they still are. (I choose "professor" specifically because it is a position that doesn't pay any ludicrous amount of money yet requires a lot of background knowledge. Once again, people still become professors.) No, being a professor doesn't require you to risk your own money, but in my proposed economy, nor would investing.

How do you believe, say, Tesla stock tanking negatively affects the rest of us?
Oh, would you say it doesn't negatively affect us in any way? Sure. We can go with that. Tesla stock tanking does not negatively affect the rest of us. This supports your argument how?

You think that a person’s stock shares should be confiscated past a certain point? Musk is not even a stock investor per se. He is an entrepreneur and innovator and hence a creator of wealth. His investments are mainly in companies which he has created and led. Do you think the government should take over ownership of his companies?

Realize that Musk wouldn’t even have attained such wealth in the first place under the confiscatory system you suggest. Your system only has large amounts of wealth to confiscate because it was accumulated up until now under a totally different system. Your system will not accumulate much wealth going forward from the time it is implemented. The government’s share will then get smaller and smaller over time. This is a huge flaw in your suggestion.
I am not suggesting any such thing. Nothing would be confiscated, because no one would be privately investing in the first place. This system in no way relies on taking money from the already rich as you would suggest. Elon Musk could keep the hundreds of billions he already has, he just wouldn't be making hundreds of billions anymore. I also do not believe that the government should take ownership of his companies. He would retain full control over said companies, but the government would have control over the massive funds for those companies. My concept is effectively to leave as many parts of the economy intact as possible while reducing everyone to a reasonable fixed salary and using the excess money that they would have been making to improve government services while lowering taxes at the same time.
Savant
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@Math_Enthusiast
it would be invested responsibly on their behalf
The obvious trade off here is freedom. The government could choose what clothes people wear, what food they buy, etc. But to some extent, we let people make their own choices. And it's not like politicians are known to be super ethical where the stock market is involved.

rather than us trusting ordinary people with the weapon of potential mass financial destruction that we call investing
How do you know which people are good at investing or running companies? Really hard to tell until it happens. Is everyone given practice money to invest? How do we know the "good" investors will bother to work hard if they don't have the chance of becoming super rich?

We would still have people like Elon Musk making investments and independently deciding how companies are run. They just wouldn't be making billions anymore.
Would Elon Musk work that hard to invest without the incentive of being a billionaire? That prospect clearly does motivate some people. And while it's a lot of money to one person, it's pennies compared to the value of his companies. If Elon making millions instead of billions makes his companies 10% less efficient, that tradeoff isn't worth it. Talent or no, slight differences in the performance of a few people has a huge impact on their companies.
Greyparrot
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@Math_Enthusiast
 but the government would have control over the massive funds for those companies. 

So economic fascism. Government control over private property. We have a record of history to show exactly why that system  fails.
Best.Korea
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@Greyparrot
So economic fascism. Government control over private property
Just build the robot factories and solve all economic issues. Really, you guys need to evolve to Communism already.
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@Math_Enthusiast
Value is subjective. If more people value your work, you will get more money. It’s really that simple.

Do you really think the average joe could do Elon Musk’s job?
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@Greyparrot
Because there's no substitute for Musk, and removing the incentive to create wealth for millions of people with a product they pay Musk less than it's worth would impoverish millions with the removal of the product Musk created. Killing geese that lay gold eggs makes everyone poorer.

Once again, there is a substitute for Musk. A Musk who is still investing, still running successful businesses, but isn't making hundreds of billions of dollars anymore. Right now, geese that lay gold eggs get all of the bread. We don't have to kill them, but we don't have to give them quite so much bread that could be given to the other geese. As for the "removing the incentive" argument, that is being used by basically everyone right now, so I am going to save that for another post which replies to multiple people at once.
Math_Enthusiast
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@Savant
The obvious trade off here is freedom. The government could choose what clothes people wear, what food they buy, etc. But to some extent, we let people make their own choices. And it's not like politicians are known to be super ethical where the stock market is involved.

Who says that we're letting politicians decide which companies stay, which companies go, and what to invest in? We could have rules in place that protect investors from being fired on the grounds of making investments that their superiors simply don't like.

How do you know which people are good at investing or running companies? Really hard to tell until it happens. Is everyone given practice money to invest? How do we know the "good" investors will bother to work hard if they don't have the chance of becoming super rich?
Since I am proposing that people would be educated in investing, presumably this could culminate in some kind of test to prove their ability to make fruitful investments.

Would Elon Musk work that hard to invest without the incentive of being a billionaire? That prospect clearly does motivate some people. And while it's a lot of money to one person, it's pennies compared to the value of his companies. If Elon making millions instead of billions makes his companies 10% less efficient, that tradeoff isn't worth it. Talent or no, slight differences in the performance of a few people has a huge impact on their companies.
I will get to the incentive argument in a separate post momentarily.
Math_Enthusiast
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@Greyparrot
So economic fascism. Government control over private property. We have a record of history to show exactly why that system  fails.

What I am proposing admittedly takes a few things from the communist playbook, but I consider it a far more balanced approach than putting absolutely everything in the government's hands. (Keep in mind, I am not getting rid of private property, nor would the government have control over private property beyond company funds and investments.) If you could point out where specifically my concept would fail rather than pointing to historical examples that it vaguely resembles then I will hopefully be able to supply you with a proper response, rather than this admittedly vague one.
Savant
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@Math_Enthusiast
Who says that we're letting politicians decide which companies stay, which companies go, and what to invest in? We could have rules in place
Who do you think makes the rules?

I am proposing that people would be educated in investing, presumably this could culminate in some kind of test to prove their ability to make fruitful investments.
We're pretty bad at testing this. Grades don't reliably predict income or how good someone is at managing a company, whether they will innovate new products, etc.
cristo71
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@Math_Enthusiast
I'm not going to attempt to deny that hundreds of billions of dollars is a far greater incentive than hundreds of thousands of dollars. Even so, we don't offer people billions to be professors and yet they still are. (I choose "professor" specifically because it is a position that doesn't pay any ludicrous amount of money yet requires a lot of background knowledge. Once again, people still become professors.) No, being a professor doesn't require you to risk your own money, but in my proposed economy, nor would investing.
Professors are not paid commission. Professional investors are. If professional investors are paid only a base salary, they won’t be putting in any extra hours away from family they otherwise would (which is good) and achieving the better results those efforts would enable. What’s worse, there wouldn’t be many good investments at all under your system. So, you would get mediocre investors dealing in mediocre investments.

Oh, would you say it doesn't negatively affect us in any way? Sure. We can go with that. Tesla stock tanking does not negatively affect the rest of us. This supports your argument how?
You made a claim about the stock market, and I asked you about your claim to see if you have any idea what you are talking about. Your non-answer actually is an answer to that.

I am not suggesting any such thing. Nothing would be confiscated, because no one would be privately investing in the first place. This system in no way relies on taking money from the already rich as you would suggest. Elon Musk could keep the hundreds of billions he already has, he just wouldn't be making hundreds of billions anymore. I also do not believe that the government should take ownership of his companies. He would retain full control over said companies, but the government would have control over the massive funds for those companies. My concept is effectively to leave as many parts of the economy intact as possible while reducing everyone to a reasonable fixed salary and using the excess money that they would have been making to improve government services while lowering taxes at the same time.
The bolded involves contradictory claims. It’s as if you are saying, “No, the government is not taking ownership of your lemonade stand, you just can’t continue to profit from it, and only the government can by shares of its stock.” Your idea lacks coherence and understanding of how businesses are owned and financed.
Math_Enthusiast
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@Greyparrot
@Mharman
@cristo71
@Savant
What Elon Musk does requires a lot of work and could not be done by most people. I do not deny this in the slightest. On the other hand, we have positions like doctors, professors, and even professional athletes of which something very similar is true, and yet people still take these jobs. My question is this: If we know that people will take jobs like these for orders of magnitude less than what Elon Musk makes, why shouldn't we expect people to take jobs as investors when they no longer have the option to privately invest? Also, before you claim that what Elon Musk does is far beyond what anyone in these professions does, I would like to bring Terence Tao to your attention. Terence Tao is considered the world's greatest mathematician, and has the highest recorded IQ in the world. Between total pay and benefits he makes just over $700,000 a year. The research that he does is incredibly important to the field of mathematics, (for example, the Green-Tao theorem) and is certainly way out of Elon Musk's wheelhouse. The University of California didn't have to offer him a salary of hundreds of billions of dollars per year, so why should investors need an equivalent incentive? Let me also remind you that under my system these investors would not have to worry about financial risk in the same way that investors currently do. Just like other professions, the worst of their fears would be getting fired, not losing everything.

Savant
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@Math_Enthusiast
If great mathematicians made as much as Elon Musk does, mathematics might advance much faster. So why not allocate taxpayer money toward mathematicians? Well, in addition to the economic calculation problem, it might be the case that a large company provides more measurable utility than said advances in mathematics. The biggest reason for this is that people are willing to pay for products right now, so we instantly know they have x amount of value. The value of advances in mathematics is much more uncertain and theoretical, as well as prone to corruption. How will the people paying mathematicians between a formula that will be useful in the future and one that won't be?

Of course, if Terence Tao is interested in selling his services privately to large companies, that avenue is available to him. The issue is that artificial incentive structures are hard to tie to real world value.
badger
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“CEOs are getting paid more because of their leverage over corporate boards, not because of their skills or contributions they make to their firms,” the EPI report stated. “Exorbitant CEO pay has contributed to rising inequality in recent decades as it has likely pulled up the pay of other top earners—concentrating earnings at the top and leaving fewer gains for ordinary workers.

And then we have to compete with these individuals for resources. This is why people can't afford houses, because we're being outbid on land by people with ludicrously unjust amounts of money. Everything scarce belongs to the rich because we let them grant themselves ludicrous salaries and outbid us. 
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@Math_Enthusiast
Once again, there is a substitute for Musk.
No, there really isn't. You can't take 10 people with 140 IQ and compare the value they create to one person with 170 IQ. It simply doesn't happen and we have centuries of evidence to prove it. A 140 IQ professor can help 200 people, a person that creates AI and launches satellites to reach billions of people creates exponential value. 

Musk is severely underpaid if you did the math. It's an exponential function, not linear.
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@Math_Enthusiast
but we don't have to give them quite so much bread that could be given to the other geese.
Then you want to willingly limit the production of productive geese by destroying incentives, effectively destroying wealth for all of society. That's luddite at best and masochistic at worst.
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Bernie had the solution in wanting workers to get a seat at the board. It's dynamite as an idea, but something has to give. CEO money is ridiculous.
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I don't know how you lot didn't vote that man.
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@badger
His own party pulled the support out from under him to promote Hillary in the 2016 primaries.

Bernie would have had to make way more promises about taking care of the little people. The elites didn't want to go with that. At the time, I thought Bernie would have been a much better alternative to Trump, and might actually tear down some of the system. And now Bernie is a millionaire and mostly quiet since 2016.
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“Elon Musk Is Overpaid
Or so says a Delaware judge.“


Math_Enthusiast
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@cristo71
Professors are not paid commission. Professional investors are. If professional investors are paid only a base salary, they won’t be putting in any extra hours away from family they otherwise would (which is good) and achieving the better results those efforts would enable. What’s worse, there wouldn’t be many good investments at all under your system. So, you would get mediocre investors dealing in mediocre investments.
I'm glad I chose professors as my example. After all, many of the best professors and teachers more generally put lots of unnecessary unpaid hours into what they do. The fact is that if fixed salaries didn't sufficiently motivate people, if anyone who wasn't being offered billions of dollars wouldn't put enough effort into their jobs for the surrounding industries to survive, and if education and application processes weren't at least a decently effective way to sort for the most competent individuals, our economy would have permanently collapsed a very long time ago.

You made a claim about the stock market, and I asked you about your claim to see if you have any idea what you are talking about. Your non-answer actually is an answer to that.
That claim was intended to be a small, preemptive concession. Why on Earth would I back up a claim that I believe supports your argument better than it supports mine? I certainly don't intend to do so simply to prove my knowledge to you.

The bolded involves contradictory claims. It’s as if you are saying, “No, the government is not taking ownership of your lemonade stand, you just can’t continue to profit from it, and only the government can by shares of its stock.” Your idea lacks coherence and understanding of how businesses are owned and financed.
This is my mistake. The word "nothing" in "Nothing would be confiscated." was too strong. After all, taxes exist, so I doubt that any reasonable person would expect a government not to "confiscate" anything. As to my suggestion of Elon Musk maintaining ownership while the government holds the funds, this is another situation where my choice of words may not have been ideal, but my main intention here is to differentiate between my concept and the idea of central planning: Elon Musk could still call the shots for his own companies, and he would be compensated for doing so. The key difference between this and the current state of things is that this compensation would be orders of magnitude smaller than his current resulting income.