Paper Mario Mafia Chapter 1 (DP1)

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Casey_Risk
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@Skipper_Sr
I  agree it is reasonable to suspect me.
Great, glad we had this conversation. But then, what was the point of bringing up that players that disagree may be mafia? Earlier, you said:

I only say this because those who have voiced otherwise may be mafia since they can tell I am not one of them, but they want us all to think I am mafia so we're tricked.
But now you're saying that it's actually reasonable to suspect you. So, what message exactly are you trying to convey? What point are you trying to make?

I think me being so immediately open about my role is no longer a helpful tactic
You weren't really open about it at all. Literally the only thing I know about your role is that you are a boss, like everyone else apparently, and have a role which is helpful to the town. Cool.

Mharman, I also see you and your message and I will respond to it, but I also have the sudden desire for a midnight snack and need to run to Taco Bell before they close. I'll be back.
Mharman
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@Casey_Risk
Mharman, I also see you and your message and I will respond to it, but I also have the sudden desire for a midnight snack and need to run to Taco Bell before they close. I'll be back.
I haven't had Taco Bell in a while. You're tempting me here lol

Take all the time you need
whiteflame
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@Mharman
Didn't intend to check back tonight, but I saw the ping. I've read your thoughts and I'll give Cerulean's posts a look through in the morning to see if I agree. 
Mharman
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I mean sure, yall can argue that being subtle enhances the effect of the reaction test, but I honestly think a straight accusation is a more honest way of conducting such a test. I think the subtlety is more of a safety net so he can play dumb if he ever gets called out.
Skipper_Sr
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@Casey_Risk
I think me being so immediately open about my role is no longer a helpful tactic
You weren't really open about it at all. Literally the only thing I know about your role is that you are a boss, like everyone else apparently, and have a role which is helpful to the town. Cool.

Oops, I hadn't meant to say "role." I meant side/team.

I  agree it is reasonable to suspect me.
Great, glad we had this conversation. But then, what was the point of bringing up that players that disagree may be mafia? Earlier, you said:

I only say this because those who have voiced otherwise may be mafia since they can tell I am not one of them, but they want us all to think I am mafia so we're tricked.
But now you're saying that it's actually reasonable to suspect you. So, what message exactly are you trying to convey? What point are you trying to make?
I was hasty in thinking that what I said would be convincing in some way. I realize now I am a reasonable suspect 
Mharman
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I'll add one more point: I'd be a great candidate for such a tactic. Not only can he argue precedent, but a mislynch on me would remove a threat... considering what I accomplished last game.
Mharman
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@Skipper_Sr
Thoughts on what I said? About you and Cerulean.
Casey_Risk
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@Mharman
I gotta give him props for the plan, too. I OMGUSed Pie in Villainous Villains, and he saw it. So why not start with some terrible logic ("Mharman is less active than I expect")?
I agree that calling you out for inactivity when you hadn't said anything yet is a little bit weird, but he didn't say "Mharman is less active than I suspect." It's weird that you put that in quotes when he didn't say that. What he actually said was, "For someone who was being a little pushy about getting people to join, you sure haven't bothered to show up yet. By all means, come join the thread." Personally, I read his vote as being an activity vote first and foremost. What makes you so sure it was a reaction test?
Mharman
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@Casey_Risk
I agree that calling you out for inactivity when you hadn't said anything yet is a little bit weird, but he didn't say "Mharman is less active than I suspect." It's weird that you put that in quotes when he didn't say that. What he actually said was, "For someone who was being a little pushy about getting people to join, you sure haven't bothered to show up yet. By all means, come join the thread." Personally, I read his vote as being an activity vote first and foremost. What makes you so sure it was a reaction test?
I'm paraphrasing him. I don't think this is an activity prompt, given that he doubled down on it in his one reply to me.

I'm actually saying it's not a reaction test. I'm saying he's faking one. I gave a reason for that: I just don't see the need for him to be subtle about it. He can say outright he doesn't like something about me and it'd have the same effect. The subtlety is part of the plan. He can call it a test if he gets called out, and he can wait for someone else to make a case on me... which I think he was trying to condition someone to do.
Casey_Risk
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@Skipper_Sr
Oops, I hadn't meant to say "role." I meant side/team.
No one ever claims to be anything other than town. That's the whole point of the game -- to find out who's lying about being town, or to convincingly lie about being town, depending on which team you're on.

I was hasty in thinking that what I said would be convincing in some way. I realize now I am a reasonable suspect 
Fair enough I suppose. I can see a noob making this sort of error. I don't think it's alignment-indicative, however.
Casey_Risk
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@Mharman
I'm actually saying it's not a reaction test. I'm saying he's faking one. I gave a reason for that: I just don't see the need for him to be subtle about it. He can say outright he doesn't like something about me and it'd have the same effect. The subtlety is part of the plan. He can call it a test if he gets called out, and he can wait for someone else to make a case on me... which I think he was trying to condition someone to do.
I mean, I guess that's possible. I'd have to believe that Cerulean is playing 4D chess, though, and so far all the evidence just suggests that it's a possibility imo. Like yeah, he could give all sorts of responses to other players' responses to his fake reaction test, but who's to say that he would have done any of that?

Admittedly, I am aware he can spin one of my points back on me. I've also been hesitant to accuse until now, so what gives? Well, I was hesitant because I know if I counter-accuse, he's got what he wants. In a way, I'm giving him just that- except for the fact that someone else from town is starting to take a look at some of these things- you're kinda my hero for being the ice breaker. I'm gonna trust you.
I'm gonna be honest, it feels like you're trying to buddy me here really hard. I never said anything about Cerulean, yet you say that I'm "starting to take a look at some of these things". It's like you're trying to make me think your thoughts were actually my ideas, too, when... no, they were not.
Mharman
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@Casey_Risk
I'm gonna be honest, it feels like you're trying to buddy me here really hard. I never said anything about Cerulean, yet you say that I'm "starting to take a look at some of these things". It's like you're trying to make me think your thoughts were actually my ideas, too, when... no, they were not.
Not my point. I'm not saying they're your ideas, I'm saying that I like how you're questioning narratives the town seems to be forming. Which told me you would give a good look at my ideas, instead of immediate dismissal.

As for the 4D chess point, yeah i don't think such a plan is inconceivable, especially for an experienced mafiauniverse player. I guess you a have a bit of a point here that it is merely a possibility, but I wouldn't count out the idea. What about his behavior looks legit to you? To me, it just doesn't look that real. He kept his vote one me? Why not say why? Wouldn't that still be good for a reaction test? To me, the subtlety just looks like he's hesitant to commit to saying anything. Like something self-preserving scum would do, whether they thought super hard about it, or its more subconscious/instinct.
Casey_Risk
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@Mharman
I guess you a have a bit of a point here that it is merely a possibility, but I wouldn't count out the idea. What about his behavior looks legit to you?
Nothing in particular, it's just that nothing really stood out to me, either, before you started making your case against him.

He kept his vote one me? Why not say why? Wouldn't that still be good for a reaction test? To me, the subtlety just looks like he's hesitant to commit to saying anything. Like something self-preserving scum would do, whether they thought super hard about it, or its more subconscious/instinct.
That's a much better point imo. On reread, that's the one thing I really don't like coming from Cerulean.

I won't lie, though. I'm more inclined to believe it because it looks like a post one would make while working connection with... Cerulean!
Circling back to this: What exactly do you think is the connection between Skipper and Cerulean? It's not super clear to me from reading your one posts, other than that you think they're both somewhat suspicious for different reasons.
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@Skipper_Sr
Also, Skipper, I since it looks like you're back online, I want to hear your thoughts on post #88 as well. What do you think?
Skipper_Sr
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@Mharman
Thoughts on what I said? About you and Cerulean.
I don't really have any, I'm just making noob mistakes. I have points that are fruitless. I'm not doing a good job, but I am enjoying the game.

I probably won't say anything else tonight
Mharman
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@Casey_Risk
On Skipper and Cerulean?

Well, what I said. Your thoughts on him have some merits, and I really do not like Cerulean's behavior.

So, noticing how he's accusing me (in the same post you called out) and how Cerulean seemed to be doing a similar subtle accusation in his reply to me earlier, I established a link in their behavior, meaning potential collusion.  The logic pipeline is essentially Cerulean -> Skipper for me.

I did however, make note of the fact that Skipper could be town conditioned to overread into me as Cerulean wants, or he could be a teammate sent by Cerulean if he saw no townie was gonna do it. At the time I believed the latter.  

As for now? His recent response to you about he understands your points is kinda pointing me in the direction of the former now; nonetheless I will acknowledge that your original case on him does have some points. I guess I'll say he's up in the air for me after that.

One thing: Sometimes I like to think about possible scum team theories and how they fit into what I'm observing. It helps me figure things out, and it's how I got pointed in Whiteflame's direction last game.


Casey_Risk
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@Mharman
So, noticing how he's accusing me (in the same post you called out) and how Cerulean seemed to be doing a similar subtle accusation in his reply to me earlier, I established a link in their behavior, meaning potential collusion.  The logic pipeline is essentially Cerulean -> Skipper for me.
Yeah, I can see that ig.

As for now? His recent response to you about he understands your points is kinda pointing me in the direction of the former now; nonetheless I will acknowledge that your original case on him does have some points. I guess I'll say he's up in the air for me after that.
I feel similarly. Banana and Owen were both pretty clearly noob town in their first games. Skipper is clearly a noob, but he's not obviously noob town or noob scum, so I don't really know how to feel about him.
Mharman
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@Casey_Risk
That's a much better point imo. On reread, that's the one thing I really don't like coming from Cerulean.
Btw, this was the point I was making earlier. I may have worded in a way that made it hard to understand… my b if that’s the case
Mharman
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@Casey_Risk
I feel similarly. Banana and Owen were both pretty clearly noob town in their first games. Skipper is clearly a noob, but he's not obviously noob town or noob scum, so I don't really know how to feel about him.
Fair. That’s why he’s not my highest priority right now
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@Cerulean
I'll do this for now. I'm going to log off soon cause it's late.

VTL Cerulean

Why, specifically, did you decide to keep your vote on Mharman? What was it about his behavior that you did not like, aside from his initial inactivity?
Skipper_Sr
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@Casey_Risk
Also, Skipper, I since it looks like you're back online, I want to hear your thoughts on post #88 as well. What do you think?
I mean, in hindsight, it's sensible for you to jump on what I said initially in post #75. The way I presented myself there wasn't very thoughtful, and the way I defended myself afterwards was not good. 

Mharman saying I was being vague and calling others out for being vague makes sense. All I've done is make myself look more suspicious or ultra noobish
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@Skipper_Sr
Alright, I'm satisfied with that response to Mharman's thoughts on you specifically for now. I'd still like to hear your thoughts on Cerulean, if you have any. Do you understand what Mharman is saying about him?
Mharman
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I know Skipper already looks better than every noob I’ve ever seen and is probably capable of telling guys all we want to hear, but wow it is getting g harder to scumread him after he says stuff like that
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*telling us all we want to hear
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I’ll think more on him tmrw

I need sleep and I prolly shouldn’t have stayed up this late this time

Gn yall
Skipper_Sr
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@Casey_Risk
 I'd still like to hear your thoughts on Cerulean, if you have any. Do you understand what Mharman is saying about him?
I think for the most part, I can't comprehend it. I lack understanding of certain terminology like "parroting" and "OMGUSing." I'm not very smart; I have to work hard to think smart. I feel like what Mharman says about Cerulean I can agree with, but I don't really know how to articulate that. My opinion is just intuition or emotionally-based 
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@Skipper_Sr
I think for the most part, I can't comprehend it. I lack understanding of certain terminology like "parroting" and "OMGUSing." I'm not very smart; I have to work hard to think smart. I feel like what Mharman says about Cerulean I can agree with, but I don't really know how to articulate that. My opinion is just intuition or emotionally-based 
Fair enough, this DP has been pretty terminology-heavy for a beginner. I'm about to log off for real now, but a quick explanation of a couple terms you mentioned:

Parroting - self-explanatory, just repeating what someone else said while adding nothing else of substance. Usually a scumtell (something that indicates a player is likely Mafia).

OMGUS - "OMG, U SUCK!" Basically, voting for someone just because they voted for you in order to try and scare them off. Not necessarily a scumtell, but in practice it tends to be.
Skipper_Sr
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@Casey_Risk
Thanks for the explanations. It is pretty late here too, and I bet that has been impacting my ability to think. Perhaps I'll have a better understanding tomorrow 
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@Mharman
I know Skipper already looks better than every noob I’ve ever seen and is probably capable of telling guys all we want to hear...
Is that a compliment? Haha. I'm doing better for my first time than I thought somehow. By "doing better" I mean playing the game in general 
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@Skipper_Sr
That was a stupid question on my part to ask if townies had their own chat, lol
Nope. Each game we close our eyes during the night phase while they post publicly, and we use the honor system to not peek.

...

Yes, they usually have a chat room on discord.