I remember 2015 because I debated iambench on whether the republican nominee would be a political outsider. I called him an idiot and pointed out a bunch of facts from the book "the party picks the candidate"; which alluded to statistics to show the partybinsider a good 90% of the time wins and Jeb Bush had the most money and insiders behind him.
I lost the debate and I was thinking "fuck the voters, I showed actual statistics and bench is just pointing at current trends and historical trends matter way more than current trends because nothing ever changes.
Whatever, bench was right