Election Integrity (evidence of lack)

Author: ADreamOfLiberty

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DavidAZZ
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@ADreamOfLiberty
IMO variation like that is the weakest tier of evidence. A hundred factors play a role in producing the final numbers. It can reinforce a theory supported by stronger evidence though.
True.  I just wanted to show the extreme variance with those numbers.  I was hoping some mathematicians would chime in.
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@DavidAZZ
IMO variation like that is the weakest tier of evidence. A hundred factors play a role in producing the final numbers. It can reinforce a theory supported by stronger evidence though.
True.  I just wanted to show the extreme variance with those numbers.  I was hoping some mathematicians would chime in.

In a decisive victory, Trump wins a series of swing states, while his Republican Party also gains control of the Senate.
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@ADreamOfLiberty
Missed this because I wasn't tagged, but since I was bored...


The burden of proof is always on the person who makes the claim.
Common misconception. Burden of proof is always on the positive claim.
Every claim is a positive claim. To make a claim is to assert a truism about reality. If I said "god does not exist" I am asserting that we live in a godless universe. That claim does not get a pass because I phrased it as a negative.

B: There is no evidence for a flying spaghetti monster. I will not obey the pasta commandments.
A: You said it, you prove it. Until you meet your burden of proof you must obey the pasta commandments.

If we followed your absurd "whoever talks first" rule then you would say that A is correct.
Complete strawman. First of all, your hypothetical dialog misses on what the comparable claims would be. "There is no evidence" does not mean "the FSM doesn't exist". The claim in that case pertains only to the evidence, which is itself a colloquialism. "There is no evidence" simply means *we* do not have any evidence, to which the burden of proof is satisfied by the inability of anyone in the conversation to provide it.

Second, you're comparing my assertion that election results should be accepted as accurate with the position "a god (FSM) exists". This is wrong because existence is never the default position, meanwhile my position that the results should be accepted is the default position.

The default position is to accept what someone tells you as their understood reality. That means it is only when you have a reason to believe someone is not telling you the truth that you presume otherwise. This is the default position because if it were not, you would be in a position where every single time someone tells you something, even if it's only "my name is..." you would need evidentiary support before accepting any of it. That's absurd.

So when a voting precinct says we have counted the votes and here's the total... That qualifies as a mundane claim which does not require evidentiary support before the rational position of any individual is to accept that as their vote total.

It's the job of governments trying to be a democracy to prove elections happened
If you need proof that the election happened, we can end this conversation right here cause you belong in a nursing home.

What I think you were trying to say that it's the government's job to prove the alleged victor is the actual victor, which is terribly wrong. It's not "the government" making an assertion that Candidate X won the election, that's the mathmatical conclusion of the vote tallies reported by all of the individual precincts. So really your claim is 'it's the job of all the precincts to prove that their vote tallies are what they say they are'. This is reasonable in terms of the system that we have, it is a ridiculous demand from the standpoint of a rational individual weighing whether they should have confidence in the results.

When the left wing candidate wins and you claim we should not accept that result on the basis of fraud, your claim logically necessitates that the left cheated more than the right.
That is correct, but that doesn't mean I have to prove it to say the election is untrustworthy.

If I am presented with a fork in the road and somebody flips a coin, I can say that is an untrustworthy way to determine which path is correct.

You are saying that if it the coin happens to be biased to tails (and that meant left) then it is the mechanism of decision is biased towards the left.
Election cheating is not a coin flip. If there are 5k fraudulent votes, our choices are not (A) it was all democrats, or (B) it was all republicans. Math matters, and we know that neither side has a monopoly on election cheating.

no one should be asked to obey elections where fraud could have changed the outcome 
Again, fraud *could* always change the outcome. We don't operate on possibility, we operate on probability/plausibility. You ignore the default position and assert plausibility based on nothing but your own personal distrust of government. You're entitled to that, but don't mistake that for holding a rational position.
Shila
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@Double_R
Election cheating is not a coin flip. If there are 5k fraudulent votes, our choices are not (A) it was all democrats, or (B) it was all republicans. Math matters, and we know that neither side has a monopoly on election cheating.
Math does matter. A simple counting of the votes will confirm who won.
ADreamOfLiberty
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Every claim is a positive claim.
There is no flying spaghetti monster.
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@ADreamOfLiberty
There is no flying spaghetti monster.
We live in a universe that does not contain a flying spaghetti monster.

Same claim, doesn't matter how you phrase it.
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The number of false assertions far outnumbers the number of true assertions. Assertions without evidence must be treated as unreal. Negative assertions do not carry a burden of proof.

"We live in a universe that does not contain a flying spaghetti monster."

The only part of that which is a positive assertion is "we live in a universe", that is the only part which carries a burden of proof.
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@ADreamOfLiberty
Negative assertions do not carry a burden of proof.
Wrong – any and all assertions carry a burden of proof. You are confusing different things.

Asserting X as fact is different from asserting X as the default position. The former requires evidentiary support. The latter is asserted as the result following basic principles of logic. 

“X does not exist” is always the default position because the alternative is to accept that “X does exist” without evidence, to do so while staying consistent would lead to all kinds of absurdities, like accepting mutually exclusive propositions simultaneously. 

But a default position is not an assertion of fact, it is a position taken only out of practical necessity. We have to live our lives daily in accordance with some baseline of accepted reality so taking a position on questions like these are not avoidable, thus we take the position that allows us to live in accordance with basic principles of logic. 

An assertion of fact is completely different. That means you have assessed the claim and have valid reason to draw a definitive conclusion, not merely a position taken out of necessity. That is a logical leap and justification for that leap is required in any rational conversation. That’s called a burden of proof.  

"We live in a universe that does not contain a flying spaghetti monster."

The only part of that which is a positive assertion is "we live in a universe", that is the only part which carries a burden of proof.
This is a nothing more than a dishonest game of semantics. Let's try phrasing it this way:

“We live in a Flying Spaghetti Monster-less universe”. 

Same exact claim but harder to hand waive away. The claim is a reality based description of the universe we live in, that's its point. Describing the universe requires evidentiary support, that's called a burden of proof.
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@ADreamOfLiberty
Every claim is a positive claim.
There is no flying spaghetti monster
Is the Flying Spaghetti Monster a real thing?
According to adherents, Pastafarianism is a "real, legitimate religion, as much as any other". In New Zealand, Pastafarian representatives are authorized to officiate weddings. However, in the United States, a federal judge has ruled that the "Church of the Flying Spaghetti Monster" is not a real religion.

ADreamOfLiberty
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“X does not exist” is always the default position because the alternative is to accept that “X does exist” without evidence
There we go, was that so hard?

Elections don't exist by default, the end.

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@ADreamOfLiberty
Default positions are starting points, they're the positions we take in the absence of evidence for or against the proposition.

There is no absence of evidence that elections exist, there is however a remarkable absence of evidence that widespread fraud is taking place.
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There is no absence of evidence that elections exist
That a particular event was an election, yes there is. See this thread.