I am pointing out that in order to rationally justify your skepticism regarding the election results on the basis of fraud, you have to make a plausible case that the fraud could have overturned the results.
Yes, and since results are the positive assertion; a plausible case consists of pointing out there is no possible argument concluding the results are accurate beyond a reasonable doubt.
You say there is a flying spaghetti monster 47 light-years away that emits no radiation and has no effect on our system.
I say there is no way you could possibly support that assertion.
You say "you haven't disproved the monster yet, the default is that the monster exists"
So just as a thought experiment, let's say the election was decided by exactly 10k votes and let's also say that there were exactly 10k plus 1 fraudulent ballots cast. What are the chances that fraud changed the result?
Answer: Statistical impossibility. For that to occur literally every single one of the 10k plus fraudulent ballots needed to be for the same side while 0 fraudulent ballots were cast for the opposite. Given that we know fraud is committed on both sides, that mathematically raises the threshold on how many fraudulent ballots it would take to swing the results, which in turn puts that much more emphasis on the need not only to prove a high rate of fraud, but a disproportionate beneficiary of that fraud. That's what it would take mathematically therefore that point cannot be discarded while claiming to be rational.
You multiply an unknown by an unknown and you get more unknown.
I'd love to confirm the statistics that prove the election is trustworthy but those statistics do not exist BECAUSE THE FUCKING ELECTIONS AREN'T AUDITABLE!
Note that for future attempts to restore democracy: a mechanism which could give us an rock solid upper limit for the number of fraudulent ballots would also be able to catch them before they are added to the pile. In other words get it right the first time.
When the left wing candidate wins and you claim we should not accept that result on the basis of fraud, your claim logically necessitates that the left cheated more than the right.
That is correct, but that doesn't mean I have to prove it to say the election is untrustworthy.
If I am presented with a fork in the road and somebody flips a coin, I can say that is an untrustworthy way to determine which path is correct.
You are saying that if it the coin happens to be biased to tails (and that meant left) then it is the mechanism of decision is biased towards the left. Yes, that is a tautology; but I don't need to prove that the coin is biased because any answer the coin gives is decoupled from the correct decision which is found by consulting a map (legitimate voters in a real election).
If the right fork leads to our destination and the left does not, the biased coin can still give "the right answer"; but it is still an unreliable decider.
So no you don't get to pretend it doesn't matter who's doing the cheating and provide no basis for why you claim one side is notably worse than the other.
Yes I do, see above, no one should be asked to obey elections where fraud could have changed the outcome and the hypothetical knowledge of the fraud distribution doesn't change that. If you have the fraudulent ballots and you know the distribution of the markings then you have everything you need to cure the election and after your corrections the fraud (which you eliminated) has zero chance of changing the outcome (from the correct outcome).
Which is to say you ran around in a circle and said "If elections were trustworthy then you couldn't call them untrustworthy". Thanks.
Back in the real world we don't know how many ballots are fraudulent and we sure as hell don't know what the fraudulent ballots are marked for. All we have are scant statistics that tell us it's probably democrats cheating so they probably marked the ballots for democrats; but if the evidence indicated republicans were cheating (more) that would still be an untrustworthy election and we would still need to secure the vote before calling ourselves a democracy.
If that is your default position you owe me money, the contract I claim you signed says so. <- remember this, it's the thought experiment you couldn't handle last time.
I destroyed that point, but clearly you couldn't handle it. Don't remember what thread it was, pull it up and I'll gladly show you.
This thread post
#44 (the start).
If somebody claimed I owed them money and obedience because they landed on the moon, it sure as hell is their job to prove they landed on the moon (in a world where landing on the moon is somehow relevant to that).
Basic epistemological error.
The burden of proof is always on the person who makes the claim.
Common misconception. Burden of proof is always on the positive claim. The claim that something exists or that a relationship between two things exists.
Observe, by simply negating the assertion and shifting the order you can turn the initial claim of existence into an appeal to ignorance:
a.1: There is a flying spaghetti monster, obey the pasta commandments.
b: You said it, you prove it. I will not obey the pasta commandments until you do.
a.2: The existence of the flying spaghetti monster is by default true, you prove it's not real.
B: There is no evidence for a flying spaghetti monster. I will not obey the pasta commandments.
A: You said it, you prove it. Until you meet your burden of proof you must obey the pasta commandments.
If we followed your absurd "whoever talks first" rule then you would say that A is correct. Under the correct rules of logic (A) is identical to (a.2) and is false in either case because both assumed positive existence carries no burden of proof while skepticism did.
An election is something with a definition. Those who claim one happened are claiming the positive existence. I can't claim that I ran a national election in my bedroom and then it's YOUR job to prove I didn't. The skeptical position, the negative position, the default position is that no (real) election occurred.
It's the job of governments trying to be a democracy to prove elections happened just like it's the job of banks to prove they invested your money and didn't pocket it and scientists to publish their data and experimental procedure.
You don't prove it, then you're not a democracy. You can't find my money, then you're a fraudulent bank. You don't publish your results and experimental procedure, then you're not engaged in science.
And given the number of safeguards in place and lack of any historical precedent for the kind of thing you're talking about, it's more than sufficient.
If you think the safeguards are sufficient you're contending that the so called elections are accurate. Which is again another tautology. "If we assume it's accurate then don't have to worry about fraud", genius.
Again, a group that allegedly provided services to the Harris campaign was caught trying to cheat. So what does this prove?
That groups that claimed to provide services to the Harris campaign try to cheat.
And do we even know that it was the organization, or just someone working within it? Those are two different things.
Ah yes, the lone gunman. Would you like me to go find all the times you claimed that the conspiracy size required would be enormous and thus stand no chance of remaining undetected?
Yea, it was ME who correctly pointed out that much of the required fraudulent activity did not require large conspiracies.
You can have your cake, but if you eat it you won't have it anymore Double_R. You pick:
Either the whole organization was a fraud machine because that is the only thing that has a chance OR it was 1-3 people within that organization and that the Harris campaign had no direct knowledge.
I find the latter to be more plausible, as I have said. I also think the fact that the Harris campaign had no direct knowledge and gave no direct orders is a feature not a bug. Plausible deniability. It'll keep the individual out of prison but on the grand scale they know their people cheat because they are the ones who resist all election security policies and go so far as to violate election laws made to ensure integrity.
Again, have you confirmed that the Biden/Harris campaign was in fact a client of this organization?
If they weren't then there is only one possibility: The field and media corps claiming that they were clients was an overt lie.
No, it isn't. It means people got things wrong.
Whoopsie, I just mistaken pasted a presidential campaign into our portfolio. A misclick, a typo, happens all the time. Pfft (and that's all you'll get from me on that one).