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The entire victory was contingent on China backing Russia, so far it played the fence very much but it merely has to shift and it all is over for Russia.
Already from 5-7 days ago their shift to pure neutrality began (as the war escalated, they practically instantaneously flipped on Russia by refusing to actively support them).
China may become the antivillain of the war if it switches to actively condemn Russia. It takes one change of mind and it's done.
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Politics