Vanilla Mafia DP 1

Author: Discipulus_Didicit

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@Vader
@Polyglot
@drlebronski
10 hours gentleman
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Pie's scum tells and oppertunity based lynches:

1. Starts off by calling me scum and dismissing my interaction with him as OMGUS (suggesting he thinks I am scum), however easily unvotes when Evil, a better mislynch oppertunity comes around. Never mentions scum reading me again until after my defense of evil, where he makes a wierd cross application that my scum play where I defended a fellow scum team mate means I am scum here if evil flips town. Like what? Talk about omgus, he is manufacturing ways to try and reduce my credibility as town even if I end up being right! His reads are based on oppertunity and not genuinity.

2. Quick switch on evil based on null tells; Pie originally told wylted he thought evil was town. He is claiming to be voting for him because he was "we(town)" But admits that if it was just "we" it would be a null tell. He is basically saying the only reason he thinks evil is scum is because he chose to clarify the obvious subtext of town in the inclusion of "we" which he has used before as town. This was apparently such a strong scum read that he flipped fully from being team "Evil is town" to team "Evil is scum". Pretty big jump in reads there for what is objectively a pretty minor reason. 
Lunatic
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@Wylted
@Vader
@Polyglot
@drlebronski
Options are pie, or evil right now. There is loads more reasons to lynch pie than evil. We've mislynched evil 3 times now. Do you guys really want to keep making that same mistake? 
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@Lunatic
catching up on the posts rn
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Unvote

mainly cause lunatic pointed out how evil acts the same in other games.

vtl pie

ILikePie5
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@Lunatic
1. Starts off by calling me scum and dismissing my interaction with him as OMGUS (suggesting he thinks I am scum), however easily unvotes when Evil, a better mislynch oppertunity comes around. Never mentions scum reading me again until after my defense of evil, where he makes a wierd cross application that my scum play where I defended a fellow scum team mate means I am scum here if evil flips town. Like what? Talk about omgus, he is manufacturing ways to try and reduce my credibility as town even if I end up being right! His reads are based on oppertunity and not genuinity.
You’re OMGUS and Evil’s OMGUS are two different scenarios and you know it. And I clearly meant if Evil flips scum you should be sussed. I can already feel you going on about how I scum slipped by saying that even though I’ve had to type town 30 times just to get rid of your strawman and make my point. 

2. Quick switch on evil based on null tells; Pie originally told wylted he thought evil was town. He is claiming to be voting for him because he was "we(town)" But admits that if it was just "we" it would be a null tell. He is basically saying the only reason he thinks evil is scum is because he chose to clarify the obvious subtext of town in the inclusion of "we" which he has used before as town. This was apparently such a strong scum read that he flipped fully from being team "Evil is town" to team "Evil is scum". Pretty big jump in reads there for what is objectively a pretty minor reason. 
It’s not a “minor” reason lol. It’s a statistically significant deviation from his original play and demonstrates self consciousness which a noob mafia would definitely display. Every tell a noob town has is practically the same as noob mafia. It’s hard to differentiate the two. But let’s look at you. You’ve been tunneling me this entire game. No scum-hunting at all. Saying I’m “aggressive” makes me scum when I’m just as aggressive as town.
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@Lunatic
I am not mis-representing your point. I know what you arguments are, and I percieve them to something you don't view them to be.
Considering that all of the specific challenges you’ve given to my reasoning have been points I’ve already explicitly agreed with, you’ll have to forgive me for seeing them as misrepresenting issues with my actual reasons for sussing Evil. It would be one thing if you were directly pointing to those reasons and challenging them or explaining how they’re really just noob/anti-town, but I’m seeing you dance around my actual reasoning and challenging points other people have made against Evil. I guess we won’t see eye to eye on that, but it’s frustrating to me that I have to keep reiterating that I agree with you every time you challenge some portion of my reasoning that I’ve explicitly said made me townread him initially.

If you think there is any merit to my read on pie or poly, please let us work together and obtain a lynch.
Well, I still think you’re wrong to dismiss Evil as town on the bases that you’ve used, though I wouldn’t be surprised if we couldn’t recruit more to it. I’ve given my whole reasoning and I don’t expect to convince holdouts now that Evil explicitly gave up, though I don’t think that that should result in people hopping off the lynch.

That being said, I stated that I wouldn’t consider a Pie lynch in this DP, at least not unless he does something that makes him stand out further, which is unlikely at this stage. I’m willing to consider a Poly lynch, though behaviorally, I find far less reason to sus him than I do Evil.
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@drlebronski
mainly cause lunatic pointed out how evil acts the same in other games.

vtl pie
That’s a strawman bud, he even admitted as much.

Evil has never said “we(town)” before. Just we and us.
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Unofficial Vote Count

Pie (3/5) - Lunatic, evil, Bron
lebronski (1/5) - Wylted
Evilgenius (3/5) - Pie, DrLeb, whiteflame

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Unofficial Vote Count

Pie (3/5) - Lunatic, evil, Bron
lebronski (1/5) - Wylted
Evilgenius (2/5) - Pie, whiteflame

whiteflame
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@ILikePie5
The “we (town)” thing doesn’t stand out to me as much as it does you. I can see your point, but I’m also not sure Evil would try to subtly influence perception like that.

And as for the flip, if we do lynch Evil (which seems unlikely at this stage) and he flips scum, I’ve got some ideas for who I’d sus first. Not sure Luna would be top of the list if he’s town, but yes, I recall Luna’s previous effort to derail a lynch as scum.
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@ILikePie5
People like Luna who are offended by words on Twitter led to Hoe Joe 2020
I never saw this til now btw. I find this kind of hilarious considering I am the most anti-cencorship mother fvcker on this site lol. I started a thread that went big on the pmain page defended wylted's behavior, and constantly are on the mods asses about over censorship lol. In fact the whole wylted thread stemmed from you informing me of the details of why wylted was being banned, so you better than anyone should know I am the least likely person to be offended by words on twitter lmao.

Not to mention I literally threw as town once in a game where bullish threatened to mod kill because I used a naughty word lol 
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@drlebronski
mainly cause lunatic pointed out how evil acts the same in other games.

vtl pie
Well, I don’t think Luna has proven that Evil acts like this in other games. He’s shown that the OMGUS, specifically, is characteristic for him. He hasn’t shown that the subsequent behavior of hopping off the lynch and recharacterizing it to make it seem like it wasn’t an OMGUS is anything like what he’s done before.
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@Lunatic
I never saw this til now btw. I find this kind of hilarious considering I am the most anti-cencorship mother fvcker on this site lol. I started a thread that went big on the pmain page defended wylted's behavior, and constantly are on the mods asses about over censorship lol. In fact the whole wylted thread stemmed from you informing me of the details of why wylted was being banned, so you better than anyone should know I am the least likely person to be offended by words on twitter lmao.

Not to mention I literally threw as town once in a game where bullish threatened to mod kill because I used a naughty word lol 

So what’s your excuse for voting the mental patient over Trump?
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@ILikePie5
You’re OMGUS and Evil’s OMGUS are two different scenarios and you know it. And I clearly meant if Evil flips scum you should be sussed. I can already feel you going on about how I scum slipped by saying that even though I’ve had to type town 30 times just to get rid of your strawman and make my point
Evil's "omgus" was never a reason you voted for him, at least one that you stated. He had already omgus'ed whiteflame before your initial town read on him. Btw no, it wasn't clear that you mean if he flipped scum. Why didn't you just say that the first time I called you out for that read? You had like two back and forths with me without clarifying that part. You only clarify it now that I've highlighted it for others, why is that?

It’s not a “minor” reason lol. It’s a statistically significant deviation
Wait what do you mean "statistically"? lol wtf

from his original play and demonstrates self consciousness which a noob mafia would definitely display. 
Because he included the obvious subtext of town? How is stating the obvious more scummy than having the obvious inferred?

Every tell a noob town has is practically the same as noob mafia.
You are digging your argument into a deeper and deeper hole. You are proving why this is a null tell. 

It’s hard to differentiate the two. But let’s look at you. You’ve been tunneling me this entire game. No scum-hunting at all. Saying I’m “aggressive” makes me scum when I’m just as aggressive as town.
I've said a lot more than just "your aggressive" lol. I think you are aggressive for show, though is what I am trying to say. You voted me for "OMGUS" but unvoted me the second an easier mislynch showed up. You proceeded to tag me in several posts later encouraging me to vote evil. If you thought I was scum this whole time why are you pinging me as if I am townie lol. This whole response was to me pointing out other behavior tells and convincing other to votes you for them. You are seeming desperate. 
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@ILikePie5
So what’s your excuse for voting the mental patient over Trump?
I didn't vote for Biden or Trump lol. You kind of just assumed I did because I called out that you defend Trump, which you do. 
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@whiteflame
The “we (town)” thing doesn’t stand out to me as much as it does you. I can see your point, but I’m also not sure Evil would try to subtly influence perception like that.
It almost did go unnoticed. But either way, it’s a subconscious action because mafia feel self-conscious.

And as for the flip, if we do lynch Evil (which seems unlikely at this stage) and he flips scum, I’ve got some ideas for who I’d sus first. Not sure Luna would be top of the list if he’s town, but yes, I recall Luna’s previous effort to derail a lynch as scum.
If I get lynched today, tomorrow should be an instant No Lynch. 
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@Lunatic
I didn't vote for Biden or Trump lol. You kind of just assumed I did because I called out that you defend Trump, which you do. 
So you wrote in Vermin Supreme? Nice.
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@whiteflame
Well, I don’t think Luna has proven that Evil acts like this in other games. He’s shown that the OMGUS, specifically, is characteristic for him. He hasn’t shown that the subsequent behavior of hopping off the lynch and recharacterizing it to make it seem like it wasn’t an OMGUS is anything like what he’s done before.
It's the same point I am making with pie; He is new so there is a first for a few things for him to still be made. Just because it's his first time showing certain behaviors doesn't make them less of null tells. We have mislynched evil in every game we have played with him. Insanity is making the same mistakes over and over again while expecting a different outcome. It's true that town seems to misunderstand his playstyle objectively at thsi pont. We can punishing the town team as a whole because of this misunderstanding, or we can learn and grow from it. 
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@whiteflame
Considering that all of the specific challenges you’ve given to my reasoning have been points I’ve already explicitly agreed with, you’ll have to forgive me for seeing them as misrepresenting issues with my actual reasons for sussing Evil. It would be one thing if you were directly pointing to those reasons and challenging them or explaining how they’re really just noob/anti-town, but I’m seeing you dance around my actual reasoning and challenging points other people have made against Evil. I guess we won’t see eye to eye on that, but it’s frustrating to me that I have to keep reiterating that I agree with you every time you challenge some portion of my reasoning that I’ve explicitly said made me townread him initially.
I don't see how you can agree with me. Let's reduce my whole argument to "Evil does things that are generally anti town and does a horrible job at convincing others he's town" for the sake of simplicity. It seems you agree  with that statement, but have a hard time coming up with seeing the conclusion that him doing anti town things can mean he is town. 


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@ILikePie5
So you wrote in Vermin Supreme? Nice.
I wrote in hitler
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@Lunatic
Evil's "omgus" was never a reason you voted for him, at least one that you stated. He had already omgus'ed whiteflame before your initial town read on him. Btw no, it wasn't clear that you mean if he flipped scum. Why didn't you just say that the first time I called you out for that read? You had like two back and forths with me without clarifying that part. You only clarify it now that I've highlighted it for others, why is that?
I didn’t see it? You’ve been responding to me 5 times in 5 minutes lol. And it should’ve been clear after I brought up the Fast Food case.

Wait what do you mean "statistically"? lol wtf
It’s a statistically significant deviation from the data we have. It’s a stats thing. I’m a Finance Major.

Because he included the obvious subtext of town? How is stating the obvious more scummy than having the obvious inferred?
He didn’t need to use it though is my point and previous data shows he hasn’t used it. The deviation in the data has to have a reason. You claim that it was due to chance, I claim it’s something noob town would do.

You are digging your argument into a deeper and deeper hole. You are proving why this is a null tell.
I was talking about the OMGUS but go on. Note I used practically not always.

I've said a lot more than just "your aggressive" lol. I think you are aggressive for show, though is what I am trying to say. You voted me for "OMGUS" but unvoted me the second an easier mislynch showed up. You proceeded to tag me in several posts later encouraging me to vote evil. If you thought I was scum this whole time why are you pinging me as if I am townie lol. This whole response was to me pointing out other behavior tells and convincing other to votes you for them. You are seeming desperate.
I voted for you because you were being an asshole as well. Obviously voting you on OMGUS wouldn’t lead anywhere lol. I unvoted you because I was actually scum hunting which I was taught to do while you just sat there. I never said I thought you were scum this whole time - another strawman. All I said was you would be a good target if Evil flips scum. You’ve been tunneling me this entire day. 
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@Lunatic
I wrote in hitler
I think Wylted did as well 
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@ILikePie5
I didn’t see it? You’ve been responding to me 5 times in 5 minutes lol. And it should’ve been clear after I brought up the Fast Food case.
Explain your response to me in post 233 then.

It’s a statistically significant deviation from the data we have. It’s a stats thing. I’m a Finance Major.
If you are a stats guy then you understand the general principal of stats being meaningless unless you have a large pool of context to judge from. Evil has existed in no more than 3 games and has posted minimally in all of them. Meaning he's likely to have a first time for a lot of things. 

He didn’t need to use it though is my point and previous data shows he hasn’t used it. The deviation in the data has to have a reason. You claim that it was due to chance, I claim it’s something noob town would do.
Your stats are also ignoring the data you don't want to look at in exchange for the ones you do want to look at. Your only argument is that he did one minor thing new (including verbiage of obvious subtext), when in the past I have proven that he uses the verbiage of "We" as town, uses omgus logic as he did with disc in pokemon, and has been consistently mislynched in every game he's in. There's more data indicating he is more likely to flip town here, but you ignore that in favor of a minor data point that allows you to justify lynhing him...

I was talking about the OMGUS but go on. Note I used practically not always.
You are constantly barely equivilating any read on him as barely more than a null read lol.

I voted for you because you were being an asshole as well. Obviously voting you on OMGUS wouldn’t lead anywhere lol. I unvoted you because I was actually scum hunting which I was taught to do while you just sat there. I never said I thought you were scum this whole time - another strawman. All I said was you would be a good target if Evil flips scum. You’ve been tunneling me this entire day. 
I mean you weren't sayig the vote was because I was an asshole though originally. You were trying to justify it to wylted as an OMGUS vote. You are changing the story now because you are being called out on it. 

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@Lunatic
I’m not saying that it’s impossible for him to be town. I’m saying that he’s far more self-conscious this game about his strategies. It’s not just about a single word usage, though I’m starting to notice that Pie’s point feeds into mine. I don’t see this as a purely noob move. I see this as a substantial show of self-consciousness that I haven’t seen before, as though he’s suddenly more aware of how others perceive his behaviors. Maybe that’s just growth on his part, but if it is, then it didn’t last much beyond that point. The self-consciousness suddenly disappeared when it was pointed out and he reverted back to his old behaviors.

I’m sure that you’ll point to my previous statements regarding Wylted and his focus on self-consciousness from Poly in the previous game, but I’d say that this is different. I’d say that this demonstrates a self-consciousness in how his strategy is viewed, rather than a laser focus on linguistic choices, and it covers behavior that was present across multiple posts. I’ve done this before, the first time I was scum. I recognize that response. Maybe I’m wrong, but it’s one of the few instances where I’ve felt strongly enough about what I’m seeing to start and push a lynch, and I still feel strongly about it.
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@whiteflame
I’m not saying that it’s impossible for him to be town. I’m saying that he’s far more self-conscious this game about his strategies. It’s not just about a single word usage, though I’m starting to notice that Pie’s point feeds into mine. I don’t see this as a purely noob move. I see this as a substantial show of self-consciousness that I haven’t seen before, as though he’s suddenly more aware of how others perceive his behaviors. Maybe that’s just growth on his part, but if it is, then it didn’t last much beyond that point. The self-consciousness suddenly disappeared when it was pointed out and he reverted back to his old behaviors.
I don't notice that sudden change. I also don't see a reason why he would give up so easily when he is apparently more attuned emotionally as scum before. Why not keep that up now when he has someone proposing he is town? His last post was basically him giving up, as scum this would be his best oppertunity to capitilize on the advantage and post more towards getting someone else lynched. He is wasting that oppertunity if he is scum.

The problem with this lynch is that I don't think it gives us a lot of value. We lynch him and he's innocent it's just one more evil mislynch that can be blamed on his lack of skills in defending his actions again. We don't have a lot to point in the way of him actually being scum, and we don't learn more than we already know now about his wagon. I am still gonna suspect pie and poly and we will be at square 1. There's a lot more value lynching pie here, because if you decide he is a good lynch later on, it's goingto be objectively hard to lynch him if you or I are dead for example. We are the only ones active enough to accomplish his lynch, he can control the narrative with the rest of town. Wyted's an independent enough thinker to go against pie, but probably wouldn't have the pull to get noob town there based on activity. Pie's voting behavior was very scummy, and flip flopped very fast over very little. Me and him will distract the game pretty big if we are still going at it for the next few phases, so we still always have that added benefit of helping the game even if it is a mislynch. I feel like we gain no matter what by lynching pie, and don't really learn much from evil flipping town.

I’m sure that you’ll point to my previous statements regarding Wylted and his focus on self-consciousness from Poly in the previous game, but I’d say that this is different. 
I wouldn't have pointed that out. But if you are noticing your own similarities to wylted's own bad lynching habit from the last game, I suppose that is a start in the right direction.

Maybe I’m wrong, but it’s one of the few instances where I’ve felt strongly enough about what I’m seeing to start and push a lynch, and I still feel strongly about it.
Well if evil is lynched, and you are right, I'll be happy to be proven wrong. I'll admit happily to being a jackass in that case. I just feel like we are repeating the same mistake with him that we have in the past 3 games and I fear we are learning slowly. Maybe I am wrong though. 
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@Lunatic
Explain your response to me in post 233 then.
It just proves my point that I mistyped earlier. Even in that post I was talking about Fast Food context meaning both as scum.

If you are a stats guy then you understand the general principal of stats being meaningless unless you have a large pool of context to judge from. Evil has existed in no more than 3 games and has posted minimally in all of them. Meaning he's likely to have a first time for a lot of things.
Then what’s the behavioral mechanism to find out if he’s scum then. Unless you present a different option we have to go with what we have. Many times the data is low what it’s all we got in a situation. Error is high but when is it not in behavioral situations?

Your stats are also ignoring the data you don't want to look at in exchange for the ones you do want to look at. Your only argument is that he did one minor thing new (including verbiage of obvious subtext), when in the past I have proven that he uses the verbiage of "We" as town, uses omgus logic as he did with disc in pokemon, and has been consistently mislynched in every game he's in. There's more data indicating he is more likely to flip town here, but you ignore that in favor of a minor data point that allows you to justify lynhing him...
The use of we(town) diverges. And the OMGUS is a null tell. The data you mentioned is a divergence and a null tell. Where’s the town aspects. 

You are constantly barely equivilating any read on him as barely more than a null read lol.
No there is divergence which I’ve pointed out and which you think is null because he doesn’t post as much. You work with what you have and that’s what I have. 

I mean you weren't sayig the vote was because I was an asshole though originally.
I didn’t say that explicitly but I pointed out why you were being an asshole for immediately tunneling me.

You were trying to justify it to wylted as an OMGUS vote. You are changing the story now because you are being called out on it.
Ya I did but you were being an asshole. Is that reason to lynch you though lol


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@ILikePie5
It just proves my point that I mistyped earlier. Even in that post I was talking about Fast Food context meaning both as scum.
That was in direct response to me pointing out that the game was different, and you didn't point out right at all that you had made a mistake, instead you tried to downplay the impact of what you had said by saying "I never said it makes you 100% town". So this indicates that you are changing the story later because you realized that argument didn't hold water...

Then what’s the behavioral mechanism to find out if he’s scum then. Unless you present a different option we have to go with what we have. Many times the data is low what it’s all we got in a situation. Error is high but when is it not in behavioral situations?
I don't know what his scum tell is, we likely haven't seen it because he's been town in every game so far. We have plenty of evidence to support his behavior is similar to games he's played as town, and not much to show that it's different. Logically, he is more likely just town again. What do we learn from his lynch? That pointing out obvious subtext isn't a scum tell? You are the only one that has a problem with that. No one else learns anything from this. 

The use of we(town) diverges. And the OMGUS is a null tell. The data you mentioned is a divergence and a null tell. Where’s the town aspects. 
It's not a divergence, it's a simple added clarification to a behavior he has used AS TOWN. A behavior you admitted was a null tell. 

I didn’t say that explicitly but I pointed out why you were being an asshole for immediately tunneling me.
But that wasn't reportedly the reason you were voting me. You told wylted it was because of OMGUS. Why are you changing the story?

Ya I did but you were being an asshole. Is that reason to lynch you though lol
But it was OMGUS remember?
ILikePie5
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@Lunatic
If Evil’s not gonna take the effort to do anything and even if you believe he’s town here, sooner or later you’re going to be wrong. If he’s not going to change how he plays after being mislynched 3 times then, how is it our fault that he keeps getting mislynched.

People like Evil who don’t learn from their mistakes are screwing others over in the process. And it’s also a pet peeve of mine.



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@ILikePie5
If Evil’s not gonna take the effort to do anything and even if you believe he’s town here, sooner or later you’re going to be wrong. If he’s not going to change how he plays after being mislynched 3 times then, how is it our fault that he keeps getting mislynched.
That kind of backward thinking hurts town. I tried the same shit with greyparrot and it never accomplished anything. If it didn't work the last 3 times, why is that gonna change the 4th time we lynch him? A better alternative to the policy lynch you suggest is to not allow people like that to play. I'd rather just identify the town similarities and save an obvious mislynch for one that is less obvious.

People like Evil who don’t learn from their mistakes are screwing others over in the process. And it’s also a pet peeve of mine.
Lynching them isn't going to change that apparently. We've tried 3 times to no avail. It definitely benefits mafia though.