The left is going to win in the medium term for sure because they’re the ones with a will to power. Look what they’re doing with 50 senate seats and the smallest house majority this century and compare it to what Republicans did with much more sizable majorities. “That’s the way we’ve always done it” simply isn’t a compelling argument to stack up against someone pushing for change, conservatives/the right aren’t going to win anything important until there is a cultural/spiritual change that results in the right having an actual vision. My focus right now is limiting the damage that will occur until there is a viable alternative to leftism.
In the long term who knows. Leftists aren’t having kids, and I think covid has dealt a fatal blow to public schooling and potentially the university system, which will limit their ability to recruit kids from conservative households in the future. There are a bunch of weird ultra conservative and ultra religious groups with extremely high birth rates that nobody is taking about. They are small in number now but 50 years from now there will be far, far more practicing/washed out Amish, Hasidic Jews, Mennonites, fundamentalist Mormons, Latin Mass Catholics etc that will throw a wrench in things that almost nobody is predicting.
Also I think there will be lots of neo Gnosticism on the left if in fifty years time there are still racial disparities. I also don’t think that Asian people (who will continue to grow their share in this countries elites) and Hispanics (who will likely assimilate into white working class culture) will have much of an interest in mediating an ethnic conflict between whites and blacks that began centuries before they were here. The dem coalition is going to fall apart….eventually. How soon is anyone’s guess…they’ll probably have some sizable wins in the next few decades for sure