You and everyone else in this thread except me adhere to a 'believe what I think is absolute first, and consider relative potentialities only if absolutely necessary' mentality'. You are actually debating trolls and fools who haven't yet realised they agree with you and think it's so obvious the ball is not any more likely to be red because a person says it is.
You keep playing around with your own kind to go 'ha so then why the hell would you believe in God, it's basically like the Easter Bunny you fools'.
Do you know how the best Mafia dons made it? Who the fuck ends up president or behind the winner? Who wins in life? Gamblers who had good strategy meet great opportunity. No matter how sociopathic the game or system is, you end up having genuine trust and brotherhood/sisterhood vibes. When your homie tells you that guy is plotting against you, you can keep saying 'where's your proof' and fear being wrong but you guarantee failure with that mentality just as much as if you believe the wrong thing. It's all a gamble, the game isn't rigged against you, fate hates all equally in the end. Play your dice, start to have some faith in your fellow beings. Guy tells you it's red, you tell me that it's pretty blatant it's genuine belief and not him lying, IDGAF why he thinks it since I can't ask it or find out, better roll with my homie and fail with him than pussy out altogether and go 'ha at least I didn't think it was red and end up wrong'.
Your mentality is just plain loser mentality and if you enjoy losing, that's fine by me.