I think Ayyantu and Lunatic are town or TP which I hate worrying about, because they could play pro town and still be scum. I'm wary that Ayyantu doesn't want to be targeted by any night actions, and I don't like that Luna suggested there are only 2 scum (and that it's definitely Intel). Sounds like he was trying to hurry the game along and forgo more analysis. Also, if there's anyone that would pull some kind of gambit in bussing a teammate on DP1 it would be Luna so there's always the potential to be nervous about him. But if I worried about these two for now I feel like it could be a distraction. Keep this in mind if I die though.
The path of a Luna TP win is optimal, first eliminate Mafia: DP1) Go aggressive on Supa (guilty) DP2) Target Intel (probably guilty)
Second divide town by focusing on Bear/That1User: Town is already divided on me, Luna/Croc scumread me, you slight town read me , Ayyu thinks I'm null
Note: Luna went against Croc's Supa-Intel-Bear scum team read, which blunts this divided town theory, but notes that this might be a good bus, casting doubt
Bear was telling supa that ayyu was basically town confirmed, seeing how desperate supa was for that lynch makes bear look really good in hindsight. Though if intel is scum, this could be a bus to to make bear look good especially since Im sure bear will confirm he was blocked.
What doesn't make sense to me is why Luna didn't note that Bear VTLd Supa (confirmed guilty) and went after Intel (probably guilty)? One mafia going after two mafia doesn't make sense and Luna failed to note that.
What's interesting is how both you and Luna fear TP
Luna:
I am thinking its more likely a third party
I am pretty convinced intel is scum here, my main worry is for a non joint winning Third party here, but if that happens I guess we can just ignore the win con. Pie was going for 12 players, I think he planned on inclusion of a third party or 3 scum. 2-1-8 isn't neccesarily unbalanced though.
You 4 minutes later:
think Ayyantu and Lunatic are town or TP which I hate worrying about, because they could play pro town and still be scum. I'm wary that Ayyantu doesn't want to be targeted by any night actions, and I don't like that Luna suggested there are only 2 scum (and that it's definitely Intel). Sounds like he was trying to hurry the game along and forgo more analysis. Also, if there's anyone that would pull some kind of gambit in bussing a teammate on DP1 it would be Luna so there's always the potential to be nervous about him.
Luna is either deflecting TP as TP, genuinely worried of TP as town like you, or wants to get out another TP (I don't know the precedent of 2+ TPs working against each other)
TL,DR: Lunatic has a viable path to win as TP and your logic of suspecting him is sound, question is how much should we be concerned and do we go after Luna?