US States Mafia: DP1

Author: Vader

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Buddamoose
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Ethan's scum buddy would be coaching him through this,

This is WIFOM and inconsistent with who he thinks is scum. Vaarka and Danielle are two of the listed names and one posted early DP and hasnt since, the other hasn't posted at all.

Not to mention he could be alone. As stated, roles are usually randomized. Nothing precludes two noobs or one noob and a relative inactive from being scum. 

This kind of waffling is just going to lead to EthanG being a candidate to be lynched tomorrow or the proceeding day. Not to mention

There's no obvious scumbus either.

Except if Ethan is scum with me or Pie, that would be a bus. And what would lead anyone to think EthanG would even be receptive to coaching if placed with an experienced player? Ah yes, his lack of receptiveness to coaching and advice in this game! Because everybody knows not being receptive to advice and coaching actually means a person is receptive to advice and coaching. 

Stellar thought process
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@ethang5
How do you get drafter as town? You yes, drafter? No. Its been all about roles with him.

This again, doesn't make sense. If states arent connected to roles then getting your state claim has nothing to do with ur role. 

You are quoting him seeking a role claim after your contradictory FoS and trying to present it as if that's what he was after the whole time. When that is inconsistent with the posts themselves.

A pattern was emerging that indicated states dont link to roles. Your insistence on not claiming and defense of not claiming was heavily implying your state was connected to your role. This would have been sus if you were the only one whose State did, hence why the question kept being posed. 

Until you made reads that contradicted themselves in the same post, nobody wanted your role.
Buddamoose
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And why would a bus be obvious anyways? If you think I'm scum GP, then you should already be factoring in that when I bus, as rare as it is, it's hardly ever obvious lol. 
drafterman
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Drafter - Are you saying your state indicates what role you are? Post 76

Ethan - You know this. You want claims in case there are roles. You are scum.

You have this exchange backwards, but let's back up and zoom out.

I first mentioned roles in post #23 in that my PM has no justification for my role. In most Mafia games there is some reason, or link, between a player's character and the role that they are given. For example, in a Star Trek game, Dr. Bones would most likely have the mafia role of doctor and the link there would be obvious.

In this post I was noting that there isn't a link between the states (our characters) and any roles we might have. This was confirmed by Budda in post #26. The point being that it isn't the specific roles that are of note, it's the lack of justification. When justification exists and a person has full claimed, they may be asked to paraphrase what that justification is so we can judge whether or not their claim is fake or not.

Because of this lack of justification, I proposed a mass character/state claim in post #27 (which, again, Budda supported in post #33). A mass claim is where every outs what character they are. Normally this is frowned upon because in a normal game, there is usually a link between character and role (again, see the Bones/Doctor analogy). In a normal mafia game, if all the characters out, then the scum have a good chance to discern what roles everyone is, and prioritize their night kill targets appropriately. The only reason I suggested it here, is because they lack the ability to do that. Simply point: the entire idea of a mass claim was predicated on the idea that you can't discern our roles via our state claims.

Then, you accuse me of trying to fish for roles in post #74 where you say "You know this. You want claims in case there are roles." to which I replied, in post #75, asking whether or not your PM has justification. Again, the focus here is not on your role, but on the justification. If your role PM has justification linking your state with your role, then your PM is an anomaly, an outlier, possible indicating you are lying. You later admit (in post #94) that you don't have justification.

Without justification, it is not possible for anyone to discern your role from your state, making state-claiming relatively safe. You raised this fear that knowing states allows scum to know who they can kill safely, but you propose no mechanism that they could use to do this. What makes Illinois safer (or not) than South Dakota or Texas or New York?

Drafter - I'm being tongue-in-cheek. The theme could be anything.
This has nothing to do with roles. The "theme" refers to affiliation (why some states are town vs. why some states are scum.)

Drafter - I think we at least need a role claim from ethan now. Post 176
Drifter - I'd like to see him role claim first. Post 194
Yes. Exactly. After a day of going round and round, and after almost 200 posts, then I started pushing for your claim (and only your claim). That hardly supports your accusation that I am "more interested in roles than states" and that it's "been all about roles."
Buddamoose
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Danielle is next cause they know she's also town

The better question is, how do YOU know she's town when she hasn't posted the entire DP?

Third instance of stating something as fact that couldn't be known by town.

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@drafterman
Interesting that he TR's Danielle out of nowhere, no?
Greyparrot
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@Buddamoose
And why would a bus be obvious anyways? If you think I'm scum GP, then you should already be factoring in that when I bus, as rare as it is, it's hardly ever obvious lol. 
Lol you're so scum, I'm almost embarrassed to catch you so early in the game.

There is no way you, BUDDHA would Bus your partner hard on DP1 when the odds are in your favor not to do it. A bus this early in the game would have come only after a slip up, of which DRAFTER jumped on...but drafter realized that scumbuddy could never have allowed it to get to that point in the first place...hence DRAFTER can't be scumbuddy...hence DRAFTER can't bus...not to mention that Ethan is 100% town for the reasons Drafter pointed out....hence my original reads stand. Simple logic.

Scum will also be retarded not to kill me tonight at this point, but the game is going to likely be town win regardless of what scum does tonight.

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@drafterman
What do you think of my reads?
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@Greyparrot
There is no way you, BUDDHA would Bus your partner hard on DP1 when the odds are in your favor not to do it. A bus this early in the game would have come only after a slip up, of which DRAFTER jumped on...but drafter realized that scumbuddy could never have allowed it to get to that point in the first place...hence DRAFTER can't be scumbuddy...hence DRAFTER can't bus...not to mention that Ethan is 100% town for the reasons Drafter pointed out....hence my original reads stand. Simple logic.

You say logic, that word does not mean what you think it means. This is not logic, it's WIFOM. Not to mention you still aren't substantiating these reads. Instead you assume I'm scum then have nonsensically WIFOM'd all your reads based off that presumption. 


drafterman
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@Greyparrot
I like your reads and I can see where they're coming from. If I had to update my reads, they would be:

Budda and me have been in-step for the most part, so I really can't scum read him without scum reading myself.

Town
Me
GP
Budda
Hammer

Null/On-the-Fence
ethan
Vaarka
Danielle

Scum
Pie

drafterman
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VTL Pie
Buddamoose
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Your scumhunting is either contrived AF, or dont understand that your reasoning of me never bussing unless it's beneficial, itself is beneficial to getting someone TR'd based off that assumption.

It's WIFOM pure and simple and will continuously circle round and round without ever reaching a rational conclusion. 


drafterman
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UVC
Ethang5 (3/5)- Hammer, Pie, Budda
Pie (3/5)- Greyparrot, Ethang, Drafterman

Claims
Drafterman - Texas
Budda - Iowa
GP - New York
Hammer - South Dakota
ethang - Illinois - Vanilla
Pie - Maine
Vaarka
Danielle

Greyparrot
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@Buddamoose
Lol stop fluffing the day up talking to me...we still need to find your buddy from your null reads.
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@drafterman
I'm fine with a Pie lynch.
drafterman
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I don't like any of his posts. All fluff and no analysis.
Buddamoose
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Or dont understand that your reasoning of me never bussing unless it's beneficial, itself is beneficial to getting someone TR'd based off that assumption.

Either I'm a good scum player, or I'm a bad scum player. You are  assuming that im both at the same time, and you call it "logical"? 😐
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@Greyparrot
Lol stop fluffing the day up talking to me

"Fluff" would be things that dont pertain to the game. I'm directly addressing your posts. How about you stop falsely attributing actions?


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@drafterman
I don't like any of his posts. All fluff and no analysis

I disagree with this. Mostly fluff, some analysis. Pie, unlike EthanG, also stated he's not all too good at behavioral analysis, so was focusing more on theme. 

But he did point out certain behaviors, which indicates he is not entirely disregarding it. I would rather pressure Danielle or Vaarka for a role claim next as they are absent and particularly because EthanG TR'd her out of nowhere for zero discernible reason. 

I'm thinking that might be her scumbuddy, and he's been alone in the wind this whole time(poor guy). Hence why he's been acting as he has. 

Unvote VTL Danielle
Greyparrot
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@Buddamoose
How about you help us with your null reads since there is zero chance you will be lynched this Day phase.
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@Buddamoose
Well that seals it then...dani is town and pie is 2nd scum.
drafterman
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We've got 3.5 hours. The only people close to being lynched are ethan or Pie

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@Greyparrot
Well that seals it then...dani is town and pie is 2nd scum

(Lol this was so predictable. You are so shallow with your analysis right now 😂)
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@drafterman
We've got 3.5 hours. The only people close to being lynched are ethan or Pie

This is actually a solid point i guess. 

Unvote

Can you be convinced to vote for EthanG? Or is your vote set?
Greyparrot
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@Buddamoose
It's a little late for emojis Buddha (which is how I suspected you in the first place. Your emoji count dropped off when I started pressuring you....either that means you are physically ill, or you are scum for not acting as standard Buddha)


Anyways, why don't you help us lynch pie? It might end up well for you. :)
Buddamoose
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It would be more beneficial fmpov to reach a lynch and not VTNL anyways. Else we'll prolly be stuck picking between the two tomorrow anyways. Would rather have two less at worst case(unless Pie and/or EthanG are scum) for PoE than one less.

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@Greyparrot
Really? My emoji use? I didn't use many emojis once the the last game ramped up either... my goodness lol)
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@Buddamoose
You can vote for Pie now :)
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VTL Pie

One more vote to hammer.


ethang5
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So the noob was right about pie. Came to the same conclusion as the big boys.