---Celebrity Mafia: DP3---

Pie - You are CATE BLANCHETT. You have enormous malleability as an actress, demonstrated by your successful portrayal of roles as diverse as Galadriel, Elizabeth I, and Irina Spalko. Your versatility--and the skill by which you cross boundaries--makes you the even-night NINJA. On even-numbered nights, if you perform the NK, you may not be tracked or watched. You win with the mafia.

Wylted - You are JAMES DEAN. For a generation, your name became synonymous with rebellion and the malaise of social estrangement. You embodied a particular brand of dark, outsider sex appeal that excited fangirls around the world before the world fangirl even entered our lexicon. However, while I admit there is a gravity to you and your persona, you never did anything for me. Therefore, you are VANILLA. You have no role. You win with the town.

Press - Sean O'Pry, Vanilla - Town

Okay I said yesterday that if pie flipped as scum then I would want to lynch Supa next so

I will explain why in detail after I get off work.

The fact that there is a ninja in the game pretty much confirms Cogent’s tracker claim. Cogent was also never CC’d. He also claimed to have tracked Wylted, who did nothing. Wylted’s vanilla role matches up with this.

Yeah no shit CC is town, we didn't need his claim to see that. It was pretty obvious just based on behavior analysis.

CC Club and Mharman are town, probably Grey and Speed as well.

Lynch Supa today and Warren tomorrow. Even if I did not have huge reasons to scum read Supa (which I do, just don't have time to go into it on a short 30 min break) this is the best path purely based on POE.

Also, I’m going to reveal my role now. I am a Dreamer. I soft claimed this in Posts 178 and 188 of DP2. 178 talks about dreams and 188 is setup so that the first letter of every sentence spells DREAM.

How my role works: Every night I dream about three players. At least one of them is scum. However, if I am visited in the night, my “sleep” is interrupted and I don’t dream.

In NP1 I dreamed about Disc, Cogent, and Pie. Since Pie was scum, it means that Disc and Cogent are less likely to be scum.

In NP2 my sleep was disturbed. Whoever visited me can step forward for town confirmation.

Disc is also VERY likely town. In Post 71(?) of DP1 he claimed what sounds like a visitor. In addition, he was in my dream where Pie was the scum. The odds of having two scum in a dream are low, so it is likely he is town.

Guys I also died in the night

Club is also likely town. In DP1 he claimed what sounded like a visitor. We know that is is incredibly likely that there are multiple visitors based off of Speed’s flip and the overwhelming evidence of Disc,-another visitor- being town. Club being the third visitor makes sense. In addition, he was targeted really hard by Pie at the start of the game, and I doubt Pie would try to bus so hard early on.

Vaarka stop

<3

Cogent claimed Tracker and scum didn’t kill him. I doubt Tracker was a fake claim given all the evidence for Cogent being town. This points to a less experienced mafia, which points to Supa or Speed #2.

However, we can’t leave out the possibility of warren or greyparrot

I doubt Greyparrot is scum though. He claimed at the start of the game which is a town tell for Hreyparrot.

If we lynch speed, warren, and supa we are almost guaranteed to win this game.

Let’s start with Supa.

Cogent, track either warren or speed to tonight.

Supa (2/5) - Disc, Mhar

Hey Supa get dunked on

Probably supa and... not sure. mharman maybe? I'll look through Pie's interactions tomorrow.

Also I feel like based on claims the theme might be men vs women and we should all character claim. I'm Ted Danson.

If Disc is town I really want you to stop the "Disc only plays well as scum so he must be scum this game" thing, cause it's annoying and not true.

Or the fact that wylted was incredibly obvious town and was even more cleared by pie's pathetic attempt to get him lynched.

Can't tell if I want to townread you for the blatant ignorance or scumread it as an attempt to shade supa and speed

First thoughts(will comment more after I do more analysis)

I'm surprised mafia didn't target me. By them targeting Wylted and Wylted coming out town, there basically is no doubt that I've been honest with my role. I feel like this was a bad move on their part. 

Mharman you said:

I agree, this was a bad move on their part. They should have totally targeted me, I totally expected to be dead.

Given Warren Said:

Furthermore, Warren is leaving it pretty broad about what he is. He character claimed, but didn't role claim. Given we pretty much know most people's roles at this point, it would have been better if he role-claimed. He's being too general.

So, yeah, I agree with Supa, but not sure if Speed or Warren is the other mafia.

I don't want to VTL supa yet though, let's let this dp play out a little more before securing a lynch.  I'd like to have complete confidence on who are the other mafia.

I ask for everyone to do a full role/character claim right now.

Reason being is that town doesn't have anything to fear right now about doing that. At this point, it only serves the Mafia to mislead about who they are.

Ok, so here's a compilation of votes and vote-related info from Pie, this could be telling given that he was confirmed scum. Let's see if we can deduce anything from it:

DP1:
-VTL'd Speed comment 7
-huge break in his participation, claims the break was there for watching 13 reasons why
-Unvoted after Club admitted to a harmless night action, comment 419
-VTL'd press in comment 431 after providing his scum reads, and kept it until final vote

DP2:
-Questioned Wylted for VTL'ing ORO, and trying desperately to get us to scumread Wylted after that, comments 28-29 (we should also remind ourselves Mafia chose to kill Wylted after this altercation too, perhaps they believed Wylted was onto something we missed? Further reason this was not a well thought-out NK) Side note: Wylted claimed scum was in the pool of experienced players who made us believe he scum-slipped.(comment 102) Again, the fact he was killed could be said he was onto something, furthermore Mharman claimed is trying to make us think mafia are new players. This is interesting given Wylted was saying otherwise, which since he is confirmed town, I don't think he would be deceiving. Furthermore, ORO is seen as making us believe Wylted scum-slipped in post 450 of dp1 .  Speed accused Wylted, Oro, and Press, particularly suspecting Oro given he did VTL grey, and he thought he was hoping we'd pile on GP, in comment DP1-455 . Given Wylted, Press, and Speed1 were all town, Oro is the one left without verfication of his identity. I don't think Speed1 would have been foolish enough to get all 3 of his accusations wrong. Given how hard speed is now

-VTL'd Wylted comment 30

Given he was mafia, this was a way for him to clear the other Mafia members of suspicion, if they didnt' vote for wylted, naturally we would think they are not mafia. Unfortunately, no one else but me and Pie jumped to vtl Wylted.

Comment DP2-119 has the vote count: