Hey all! I re read the entirety of day phase one last night. Ironically I was coming into this day phase with pie as one of my top scum reads, so ironically he's dead, and I don't have to go through the embarrassment of being wrong on that one.
Gonna have to reevaluate some of my thoughts based on that. I was thinking it was pie mainly because he was going after casey hard, and I just wasn't seeing it. Casey felt townier than white on rice, and with the added benefit of hindsight and being correct on the GP lynch, I was even more suspicious that pie was on casey so hard last day phase. But I guess I was wrong on that count.
I wanted to post more in depth reads, but I am super tired and am falling asleep so I will give the jist of my thoughts atm:
Austin- Dude is like confirmed town in my eyes at this point. He was literally the only one that seemed to hard town read GP and his claim, and was actively FOS'ing me for being on the wagon. GP was a sinking ship though and it would be clear to anyone with common sense to abandon that ship. Him sticking by his GP read even when it was basically inevitable, shows genuine townie lack of knowledge, and he knew he would be scum read if he was wrong (he even acknowledges this towards the end of the day phase). Unless this is some big WIFOM reverse psychology play that most people probably wouldn't buy into but just conveniently works on me, austin is town here. I just can't see him doing that as scum.
Vader- After reconsidering my read on vader, I don't think he is scum necessarily for buddying GP initially. While going back through previous games to find ammo for this argument, I realized I harped a ton about vader buddying as scum in years mafia as well. So Vader if he was actually scum would be well aware that this is a tell he knows I know about, and would likely be hyper vigilant to not be buddying this time around. That and his claim really just doesn't make sense from him as mafia. I can buy a GP early claim gambit, but I am having a hard time believing mafia coordinated a plan before the game to both fake claim immediately and just hope to ride it out. That doesn't seem like a solid plan. That and I suspect his role will probably be counter proven by a town counter part later, and if for some reason it doesn't, he will obviously look extremely scummy. Vader as scum wouldn't make sense for him to claim a negative util role that applies only to tracker/watcher roles without knowing one existed. And if he just pulled that gambit based on having a ninja or something, I think it is a brilliant scum play, but at this point I am just not thinking that was the case. So Vader is leaning town for now.
Savant- Going strictly off behavior, I liked savant last day phase a lot. I was a little back and forth initially as the day phase ended, but the more I read his posts, the more I was thinking he was coming from a genuine town place. He DID scum read GP from the get go, but it felt like he did try to give GP his due dilligence and make sure that the wagon was being properly analyzed instead of YOLO voted, and if he was bussing there is no reason for him to play it cautionary like that, so I am more inclined to believe his scum read of GP was genuine.
My POE right now is Wylted and whiteflame. Like I said above, I do think mafia realized pretty quickly that GP was a sinking ship, and so wylted 's early vote doesn't dissuade me from considering him an option, and ultimately he just didn't bring a lot to the table to make me consider how he could be town. My instincts are telling me whiteflame was very town from a behavioral standpoint, I liked his well reasoned thoughts and analysis's, but whiteflame is a genius scum player and someone I don't want to underestimate, and I can't really pin point it exactly, but something just kind of felt "off" to me about him last day phase, and I can't really find the words to pin point what that is. But while on paper he does look good here, my instinct tells me he is something I shouldn't dis-regard. Out of the two, I would say I am leaning more of a scum read on wylted, but I think Wylted and Whiteflame is the direction I would like to pressure this phase.
We can start with a claim from wylted.
VTL wylted.
