Alright, some reads. Some of these might not include more recent posts, as I've slowly been writing them over the course of the day, but here's where I'm at.
Barney - Playing pretty coy so far with the Sonic the Hedgehog claim, but that's not unusual for him. So far, he just seems to be having fun and organizing the claims. Can't read any of that as affiliation indicative, so null for me.
Pie - Limited participation so far. He placed Casey in his townblock early for the Hated claim. He also noted the existence of a fake claim (as spelled out in the OP) early and asked a question of Earth about what the extent of said claim would be, but I don't see a response (didn't expect one, either). His participation has largely petered out after page 1, so like Barney, there's not enough to read into yet to do anything but give him a null read.
Casey - I townread them early given the Hated claim, and I still hold to that, even though the existence of a fake claim at least offers an opportunity to get towncred through an early claim like this. It's more Casey's behavior that is leading me to put them in town. The responses I've seen to Mharman's line of thinking, to Skipper and to Cerulean just come off as pretty natural so far. Casey's reads also make sense enough that I'm giving them a town lean.
Luna - Not a huge amount of participation so far, but what I've seen puts him in slight town for me. I largely agree with the way he's responded to Mharman's push and I think his insights have been good so far. Maybe that's just because I'm similarly a little sus about just how hard Mharman believes Cerulean is working to subtly manipulate town over the course of two posts. Right now, that's enough for me.
WyIted - I always have a hard time reading WyIted. His solid townread of Skipper hasn't really wavered that I've seen, even while others have questioned it. Calling out Casey for not noticing flawed logic when he was going back-and-forth with Mharman comes off as a little strange, but WyIted often picks up on and runs with small "tells" he sees in peoples' posts. Maybe there's something there, but for now he's null for me.
Cerulean - Frankly, I'm not fond of the basis for this push on Cerulean, though I don't have any solid scumreads to begin with and he's just null for me. The fact that his vote persisted after Mharman started being active just doesn't come off as trying to make a play for a mislynch. The comparison to Banana from last game doesn't quite work for me, either. I feel like Cerulean's done a significantly better job explaining where he was coming from since being pressed, even if that explanation came later in the DP. I do think we still need a claim or two at this point, so I'm not opposed to getting one from Cerulean regardless, I just don't like the logic that's going into it.
I'm still null on Mharman and have a slight town lean on Skipper. I can see Mharman doing everything I've seen this DP as town or scum, including the OMGUS, and Skipper is more of a gut check based on how I read his early posts. They might be staged and I'm not writing him off yet, but I read them as genuine.