We have learned that the COVID Vaccines do more harm then good.
The debate is finished. The distribution of the voting points and the winner are presented below.
After 5 votes and with 1 point ahead, the winner is...
- Publication date
- Last updated date
- Type
- Rated
- Number of rounds
- 5
- Time for argument
- One week
- Max argument characters
- 30,000
- Voting period
- Two months
- Point system
- Multiple criterions
- Voting system
- Open
- Minimal rating
- None
COVID Vaccines, means Pfizer, Moderna, J&J, and AZ.
Harm refers to any negative impact that vaccinations have on individuals or the broader community.
Good refers to positive outcomes or benefits that can result from a particular action or behaviour.
More Harm than Good is admittedly subjective, so the BOP is on both parties to show through the balance of probabilities, their respective position.
An SAE was defined as an adverse event that results in any of the following conditions: death; life-threatening at the time of the event; inpatient hospitalization or prolongation of existing hospitalization; persistent or significant disability/incapacity; a congenital anomaly/birth defect; medically important event, based on medical judgment.
- 20 - 29 Years, No risk group, 1 in 169,200, or ( 1 in 706,500)
- 20 - 29 Years, In a risk group, 1 in 7,500, or (1 in 59,500)
- 50 - 59 Years, No risk group, 1 in 43,600, or (1 in 256,400)
- 50 - 59 Years, In a risk group, 1 in 3,100, or (1 in 18,600)
- 60 – 69 years, 1 in 3,600, or (1 in 27,300)
- 70 + 1 in 800, or (1 in 7,500)
12 - 34 11.3 1.735 - 64 31.8 4.365+ 220.2 78.2
- Hospitalizations decreased with vaccinations.
- Less deaths occurred amongst the vaccinated demographic.
- Less vaccinated people got sick or infected.
Most Americans continue to support vaccine mandates — and want more
Deaths are only shown for Washingtonians ages 35 years and older due to the relatively small number of deaths in other age groups and associated instability in rates when assessing by vaccination status.
- 5x Myocarditis in Nordic Countries - BMJ
- Thailand prospective study saw abnormal cardiac finding rates of 1 - 29 for boys and 1 in 16 for girls
- Seattle, 35 cases of Myocarditis following a vaccine in Children.
- I have established that the NNV rates show a very high number of people need to be vaccinated to prevent a single hospitalization from COVID-19
- I have demonstrated that the more vaccinations you get, the higher your chance of getting COVID is.
- I have demonstrated that hospitalizations for vaccinated with COVID exceed those unvaccinated, contrary to Con's
- I have demonstrated that Pfizers own data, showed significant adverse events, and that is data we learned after the EUA was granted
- I have demonstrated that there are numerous studies around the world that show marked adverse events, such as myocarditis.
- I have demonstrated the the overall SAE rate is about 1 in 800. So for clarity, statistically speaking, if 800 people got a jab, one will have a serious adverse event requiring hospitalization.
- SAE = Serious Adverse Event. This means a response to a vaccine that results in death; life-threatening at the time of the event; inpatient hospitalization or prolongation of existing hospitalization; persistent or significant disability/incapacity; a congenital anomaly/birth defect; medically important event, based on medical judgment.
- NNV = Number Needed To Vaccinate. This is a well established epidemiological statistic that explains how many people need to be vaccinated to prevent a pathogen response. In this case we are looking at a hospitalization visits, AND hospitalization visits requiring oxygen.
- VAERS, is the Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System, a US system to report vaccine adverse events.
If we look at the four COVID-19 vaccines approved in Canada, their efficacy was shown to be much higher than anticipated. For Pfizer-BioNTech’s mRNA-based vaccine, its efficacy clocked in at 95%. This does not mean that 95% of people are protected from disease with the vaccine, which would imply that 5% are not and will go on to contract COVID-19. Rather, it means that in the trial there was a 95% reduction from the number of COVID-19 cases you would expect if they had not been vaccinated. So in a group of unvaccinated people in which 100 get COVID-19, 95 of these infections would have been prevented had the group been vaccinated. That’s what efficacy means.
Moderna’s mRNA vaccine performed similarly well, withan efficacy of 94.1%. AstraZeneca/COVISHIELD’s vaccine, which uses a harmless virus to deliver the DNA to make the coronavirus’ spike protein, was said to have an efficacy of 76% at reducing the risk of symptomatic COVID-19.
- Con would have needed to show that the vaccine prevents more hospital illness or death, and have not done so.
- Con have not refuted the statistic I have shown from the UK, Australia and from Pfizers own data.
- Con did not demonstrate any sort of factual, or interpretive problem with the data presented.
Pro conceded in comments.
Pro conceded in comments
Con essentially FF'd without conceding because Con never really gives an original argument of any kind after Round 1 just pastes and quotes between forfeits.
Sir.Lancelot made apologies for the forfeit, seeming to have interruptions in life,
So conduct, equal enough,
However the forfeits greatly harmed Sir.Lancelot in convincing argument,
As no argument, one unable to press one's point or attack the opponents argument.
Both sides were about the same in legibility,
Though I had difficulty throughout the debate,
In following arguments, claims, and logic.
I was unable to see what contradictions Sir.Lancelot mentioned in Slainte's sources.
I understand Sir.Lancelot's argument of the vaccinated being better protected against the vaccine,
Though Slainte makes that argument about more vaccines meaning more hospitalization,
Which I didn't 'quite follow,
I assume even too much 'water, can harm a person,
Doesn't 'quite follow 'no vaccinations,
But Slainte's argument 'does make me leery of government and 'professionals, that they might make early claims or lie or force.
Hm,
I see Sir.Lancelot's graph in #2,
65+
Rate per 100,000 among unvaccinated individuals. 100000/220.2=454.13
Rate per 100,000 among those who received at least one booster dose. 100000/78=1282.05
This 'sounds more deaths prevented, vaccinated dying 1/454.13 compared to 1/1282.05
Then 'hospitalizations by R1
1 in 662(over placebo baselines). The same document shows that the Pfizer trial has an SAE rate as 1 in 990(over placebo baselines)Combined, the SAE rate is 1 in 800
. . .
But Slainte makes many other arguments,
That again because of forfeited rounds Sir.Lancelot does not manage to address in the debate,
Such as Number Needed To Vaccinate.
. . .
Well, I'm not convinced that Covid vaccines do more harm, or more good,
Nor am I giving sources to either side,
Both used them,
But I found it difficult to keep track of them, validate them as true, or compare them.
Arguments go to Slainte,
'Mainly due to the forfeited rounds by Sir.Lancelot, though they 'did make an effort in #8,
It's not very 'convincing to quick post only a source, or in a different round, extend.
Pro provided more evidence and had a more reasonable argument as they used statistics from around the world with multiple medical institutions to substrate their claims. Con on the other hand provided fewer sources and did not provide much in the way of counter-arguments other than claiming that the Pro's statistics were incorrect which they failed to establish. Pro also had better conduct since Con forfeited multiple times.
Whiteflame could rule differently if any get reported. But that’s unlikely. The debaters are both fine with it; and there is no evidence of duress.
If my vote is against the rules, please remove it. Sorry to cause trouble. I thought concessions count even if in comments.
I believe Mikal conceded to Bluesteel on DDO when leaving the site and that it was allowed. But the rules could be different on DART (and it seems that way from Barney's comment).
https://ddo.fandom.com/wiki/Mikal
Technically those votes are based on outside content. If reported, they won’t pass muster.
We’ve had people try to win in the comment section and forums (with the voting on some debates clearly reflective of this instead of debate content). So the rule is votes must be based on the debate rounds
But there have never been cases before where one can concede post-debate and it is genuinely considered in vote moderation.
No wait.
Let him sit in his delusion.
It's funnier that way.
I believe Slainte is leaving the site. That may explain those other things.
Shut up.
It's extremely strange that he forfeited this after voting for Lancelot in the rap battle against me and never once explaining the vote when I ask about things in it.
do concessions in comments done well after the debate ended count as valid?
Concessions in comments section mean nothing and seem like collusion at play.
1 more vote to seal the deal
Pro conceded in the comments. Given the circumstances, this probably deserves a few additional votes.
I forfeit. Please round up the votes to take this.
No one is ignoring anything. The problem is the opposite of ignoring. The problem is that YOU ARE GOING TO FAR IN YOUR CONCLUSIONS.
For this specific debate, you say that we have definitively learned that the COVID vaccines do more harm than good. The authors of the study you cited to support this claim say, among other things:
"knowing the actual demographics of those who experienced an increase in serious AESI in the vaccine group is necessary for a proper harm-benefit analysis."
Therefore, you are going too far to claim that we have definitively learned the COVID vaccines do more harm than good. It could be the case that a proper harm-benefit analysis, as the authors call for, shows that they don't do more harm than good.
No one is ignoring the evidence of harms from the vaccine. Please fully understand the original paper's discussion section and don't think you are qualified to make larger claims than the authors.
I could not disagree more. An 9bvious secondary favr that is deduced from an experiment is not ignored
Many studies gave a hypothesis and the results do not align. Rather does not mean ypu ignore them. In fa t from a bias perspective those results are more trustworthy.
Check the Stanford Prison Experiment as an unexpected result that shocked the psychological world. You are just flat out wrong
In scientific research, one must design an experiment specifically to test for certain hypotheses. The authors of the study you cited did not design it to evaluate the overall harm-benefit of vaccination programs. The data also does not show what you claim it to show. Actual scientists are careful about what they claim based on the statistical evidence that they find. You say that their study proves that vaccinations definitely do more harm than good. THE EVIDENCE FROM THE STUDY DOES NOT JUSTIFY THAT CONCLUSION. See what they authors write in the Discussion section for an actual understanding of the implications of their study.
A car is tested for fuel efficiency. That is the purpose. Yes uou discover the car catches on fire 4 times out of ten at 6k rpm. The study purpose may be A however the data also shows B
Lemming says in their vote:
"Sir.Lancelot made apologies for the forfeit, seeming to have interruptions in life,
So conduct, equal enough,"
If this is allowed to stand, which I think it should be, then your following reason is invalidated:
"Even if they were generally bad conduct, they were at least arguments, unlike the forfeitures. Making someone sit around a full week is quite rude, and it was done multiple times. Withholding of that point where is clearly against your majority awardee, is strong evidence of overwhelming bias."
Also, see this section from the voting policy:
"People lacking in intellectual integrity will always devise more ways to cheat. If you spot some true rubbish that invalidates their argument or the spirit of debate, call it out with a vote against them on conduct (or more as warranted by the comparative arguments) and move on."
I argue that the total misrepresentation of the references that Pro cited is "rubbish that invalidates their argument" and invalidates the spirit of this debate. Therefore, I called it out with a vote against them on conduct. The cited section of the voting policy only offers some examples and does not rule out my interpretation.
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>Reported Vote: jamgiller // Mod action: Removed
>Voting Policy: info.debateart.com/terms-of-service/voting-policy
>Points Awarded: 5 to con
>Reason for Decision: See Comments Tab.
>Reason for Mod Action:
I literally only read the first paragraph... I do hope it was con who caught the misrepresentation of studies; but alas, there is a more glaring problem...
It needs to be said that bad arguments are already punished under arguments, so there is no need to double dip to assign them against conduct as well. Even if they were generally bad conduct, they were at least arguments, unlike the forfeitures. Making someone sit around a full week is quite rude, and it was done multiple times. Withholding of that point where is clearly against your majority awardee, is strong evidence of overwhelming bias.
Conduct is an optional award as a penalty for excessive abuse committed by the other side, such as extreme unsportsmanlike or outright toxic behavior which distracted from the topical debate.
The voter acted in such a way to suggest they did not give fair weighting to the debate content.
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jamgiller
06.06.2023 12:13AM
#3
Criterion
Pro
Tie
Con
Points
Better arguments
3 point(s)
Better sources
2 point(s)
Better legibility
1 point(s)
Better conduct
1 point(s)
Reason:
Reason:
Pro seriously misrepresented the scientific studies they cited. Although the actual content of the sources seems to be reliable, Pro is an extremely unreliable communicator, as I will explain below. Since Pro's entire argument is based on their attempt to use scientific data, and they failed to use it properly, I must give arguments to Con, even though the latter forfeited two rounds. At least Con made reasonable arguments based on correctly interpreting the studies they cited.
Addressing Pro's most egregious misrepresentations of the scientific literature:
1. The study that Pro cites for the rates of Serious Adverse Events (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.08.036) directly contradicts the resolution of the debate as specifically defined by Pro. In the study's Introduction, the authors write: "Our study was not designed to evaluate the overall harm-benefit of vaccination programs so far." More importantly, the author's Discussion describes the implications and limitations of their study in detail, and closes with the following:
"We emphasize that our investigation is preliminary, to point to the need for more involved analysis. The risks of serious AESIs in the trials represent only group averages. SAEs are unlikely to be distributed equally across the demographic subgroups enrolled in the trial, and the risks may be substantially less in some groups compared to others. Thus, knowing the actual demographics of those who experienced an increase in serious AESI in the vaccine group is necessary for a proper harm-benefit analysis."
Therefore, the very study that Pro tried to use to prove the resolution actually shows that we have not yet learned whether COVID vaccines have done more harm than good. I advise those who read this to review the Discussion section of the paper, which provides serious coverage of this topic.
2. Pro cited the study described above under the heading "UK", and compared the SAE rates to estimates of numbers needed to vaccinate from UK data. However, the study described above is based on data from North America. It is incorrect and misleading to directly compare medical studies of sample groups from two different populations and separate continents as Pro did.
3. Pro falsely claims that COVID vaccines lead to more deaths. In Round 2, they claim the "official UK data for all of 2022" shows a higher COVID death rate among the vaccinated, whereas the official report on the data from the UK's Office of National Statistics (https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsinvolvingcovid19byvaccinationstatusengland/latest#cite-this-statistical-bulletin) directly states:
"Monthly age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs) for deaths involving coronavirus (COVID-19) have been consistently lower for all months since booster introduction in September 2021 for people who had received at least a third dose or booster at least 21 days ago, compared with unvaccinated people and those with just a first or second dose."
No wonder Pro tried to use a ridiculous graph from their friend to support their false claim.
I am not sure if you are being sarcastic. I think a clear definition reduces Kritiks?
“COVID Vaccines, means Pfizer, Moderna, J&J, and AZ.”
And F1 means Mercedes, Ferrari, Red Bull, Aston Martin, Mclaren, Williams, etc.
And consoles mean Nintendo, Sony, Microsoft, etc.
And smartphones mean Apple, Samsung, Huawei, etc.
And fast food means McDonalds, KFC, Wendy’s, Burger King, etc.
And yes, you should always equate the products to the companies that makes them.
The “more harm than good” has already gone out the window with Pros own stats. 1:800 is not more harm than good, it’s 800x more good than harm.
"We have learned" no sir I have not.
Appreciate it. I'll admit that I'm one to talk about shorter arguments - not exactly known for my brevity.
I name dropped you in my argument :)
Guessing you don’t want to be doing several of these simultaneously, so we can arrange the details later.
Fair point. Feel free to construct one whiteflame. Austin, same for you bud.
Thanks, but no. Not planning on using ChatGPT for any purpose during a debate.
I’d be willing to take this, but as it set, this would balloon like crazy. 30,000 is way too high on the character count, I think it’s worth restricting the debate to a single vaccine or at least a vaccine type (mRNA), and 5 rounds seems a bit much. We want to make sure voters are willing to read through it and, with this much stuff to cover and so much space to do it in, most people just wouldn’t be willing to do that kind of work.
I think this one's for you
Change the "time for argument" to two weeks and I will accept.