Argument 1: There was a lot of preparation and prediction for Covid-19 BEFORE it happened
(1a) Anthony Fauci (who had a leading role at the NIH) predicts a "surprise outbreak" several years before it happened: "there is no question that there will be a challenge to the coming administration [Trump's] in the arena of infectious diseases, both chronic infectious diseases in the sense of already ongoing disease [...] but also there will be a surprise outbreak" Pandemic Preparedness in the Next Administration: Keynote Address by Anthony S. Fauci - YouTube . Hardly a surprise if he's so certainly predicting it.
(1b) The John Hopkins Center for Health Security ran 'Event 201' (a global pandemic simulation) three months before the Covid-19 outbreak Three months before the coronavirus outbreak, researchers simulated a global pandemic - ABC News . This was presented and sponsored by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. "Event 201 simulates an outbreak of a novel zoonotic coronavirus transmitted from bats to pigs to people that eventually becomes efficiently transmissible from person to person, leading to a severe pandemic" The Event 201 scenario | A pandemic tabletop exercise (centerforhealthsecurity.org) . That's oddly specific and surprisingly close to Covid-19, isn't it?
(1c) Bill Gates also predicted a massive outbreak of an infectious virus Bill Gates: The next outbreak? We’re not ready | TED - YouTube Keep in mind that Bill Gates was the 2nd biggest donor to the WHO (World Health Organization) Does Bill Gates have too much influence in the WHO? - SWI swissinfo.ch
(1d) There was a sudden spike in terms like 'anti-vaxxer' and 'anti-vax' in book usage and Google searches Google Ngram Viewer anti-vax - Explore - Google Trends How likely is it that this was organic?
(1e) Three months before the Unit, Trump signs an executive order to initiate a vaccine taskforce Executive Order on Modernizing Influenza Vaccines in the United States to Promote National Security and Public Health | The White House (archive.org) In other words, he's responding to the outbreak before it happened.
Argument 2: Fishy activity
(2a) There was an "internal reshuffle" (as stated on Wikipedia) in WHOHEP (a branch of the WHO) just before the Wuhan outbreak Health Emergencies Programme (WHO) - Wikipedia . Except it wasn't an "internal reshuffle" because Peter Salama actually died (of a "suspected heart attack"), rather than being shuffled out Sci-Hub | Peter Salama. The Lancet, 395(10223), 490 | 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30298-1 . Fishier still, Peter died in Geneva. Guess where the WHO is based? Geneva. Peter Salama (an Australian) died on the day Australia started implementing Covid policy (January 23rd) COVID-19 pandemic in Australia - Wikipedia
(2b) Fauci contradicted himself on a pretty important point, during his conversation with Sen Rand Paul. The contradiction is as follows:
- Fauci has denied being involved in gain-of-function research while also denying that Dr Baric's lab was at all involved in gain-of-function research
- Fauci also says "if it is" doing the gain-of-function research, it's according to guidelines
This contradictory speech from Fauci runs from 2 minutes 10 seconds on this video, for anyone who doesn't believe me: Exchange between Sen. Rand Paul and Dr. Anthony Fauci - YouTube
Argument 3: The lab leak theory is almost certainly true; the wetmarket theory is nigh impossible
A Bayesian analysis by Dr Steven Quay (MD) makes this case. The shortened video link of him talking through his research can be found here SARS-CoV-2 Bayesian Analysis by Steven Carl Quay MD Phd – The Published Reporter® . The full document can be found here A Bayesian analysis concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that SARS-CoV-2 is not a natural zoonosis but instead is laboratory derived | Zenodo
(3a) Covid-19 was not found in any sample analysis involving the Huanan wet market:
- None of the 11 patients from the Huanan market had the earliest Covid-19 strain.
- All 4 patients with the earliest genetic version of the virus had no contact with the Huanan market.
- The first patient with the earliest Covid-19 sequence was treated at a hospital roughly 3kms from the Wuhan Institute of Virology
- None of the environmental specimens in Huanan had the earliest strain (which means it probably came into the market initially)
- 457 animals from Huanan market were tested and found negative for Covid-19
- 616 animals from suppliers to the Huanan market were tested and found negative for Covid-19
- 1086 wild animals of the type found in the market were also negative for Covid-19
- 80,000 samples tested from 209 species from other markets, farms and wildlife areas throughout did not find Covid-19. The probability of this for a community-acquired infection is "about 1 in 1 million".
- After testing 9,952 stored human blood specimens from hospitals in Wuhan from before December 29 (2010), there was not a single case of Covid-19 in any specimen. It was expected that around 250 would be positive. The probably of this for a community acquired infection is also "about 1 in 1 million".
- For Sars-Cov-2, 249 cases were examined genetically, and they were all human-to-human transmission. For a community acquired infection, this is the probability of 0.5 to the power 249 (seeing that there is half a chance of the transmission coming from an animal, and the other half from a human). That's the same as getting heads on a coin toss 249 times in a row.
(3b) Sars-Cov-2 has a unique trigger on a surface called a "Furin Cleavage Site" and a unique code in the genes for that site called a "CGG-CGG-diimer". These two features are two independent levels of uniqueness. The Furin Cleavage Site is why the virus is so transmissible. The entire group of coronaviruses (i.e NOT Covid-19) do not contain a Furin Site or the CGG-CGG-diimer code. Since 1992 in "gain of function" experiments, Furin Cleavage Sites have been inserted repeatedly. This CGG-CGG code is "commonly used around the world, including the Wuhan Institute of Virology". You can order this code from a supply company on the internet.
(3c) Sars-Cov-2 was pre-adapted for human-to-human transmission from the very first patient (i.e. this reeks of lab engineering). To put this in perspective, "the part of the virus that interacts with human cells was 99.5% optimized. SARS1 was 17% optimized".
(3d) The Bayesian Analysis of SARS-Cov-2 Origin found that a zoonotic Origin was 0.2% likely, whereas a lab origin was 99.8% likely.
Argument 4: Research was being done into making coronavirus better able to attack humans
(4a) NIH research (in America) into coronavirus involved seeing if the spike proteins from bats could harm humans. This research had an "unexpected result" of actually making the mice test subjects (since they couldn't legally use humans) sicker, and hence would have made humans sicker (because they share the ACE2 receptor). Whilst it wasn't necessarily the intention of the research, the research made the virus better capable of attacking humans NIH-Document-Production-Cover-Letter-2021.10.20_McMorris-Rodgers.pdf (house.gov)
The NIH is known to have funded the Wuhan Virology lab through EcoHealth Alliance's grant money, of which can be seen here GRANT to ECOHEALTH ALLIANCE INC. | USAspending . It's awfully suspicious that the NIH, who was (arguably accidentally) doing research into making coronavirus better able to attack humans, just so happens to be giving money to Wuhan where the Covid-19 outbreak took place. Perhaps there was another "unexpected result" at Wuhan, too?
Conclusion:
Due to: (1) there being a lot of prediction and preparation for Covid-19, (2) some fishy activities involving Covid-19, (3) the lab leak being an almost certainty, if we observe various genetic samples and Bayesian analysis, and (4) research into attacking humans via coronavirus was being done with companies associated with Wuhan (i.e. the outbreak are), it's completely reasonable to agree that Covid-19 was a plandemic lab leak.