Look I dont know what to name this and im mentally fried from having to teach middle schoolers who after winter break forgot how to fucking act like theyre in a classroom, so I just wanted to put this into writing and refer back to it in the future should I ever need to.
I predict that the Georgia runoff elections will not have any long term impact because theres almost no way in hell that Dems win one or both of them.
Yes the state barely budged for Biden over Trump and almost elected Stacey Abrams over whoever the fuck actually won, but look at how other senate Dem challengers have done in other states and all you will find is a BLOODBATH.
Iowa = In the state that forever reason is still considered a swing state even though it drifts further right with each presidential election, Democrat Theresa Greenfield loses to Joni Ernst by 6 points
Maine = The state fucking EVERYONE thought would be flipped ended up staying red, with the oft-attacked Susan Collins beating challenger Sara Gideon by NINE POINTS
North Carolina = 2 point Republican hold by incumbent Tom Tillis in a state that always votes red minus one time when Obama was on the ticket in 2008.
Texas = John Cornyn, whose biggest asset is not being as hated as Ted Cruz, wins reelection by a double digit margin in a state that is concerningly pulling more towards the middle when it comes to presidential elections.
My point is that while Biden has squeaked out a win against Trump at the top of the ticket, the next line down where senators have been judged have consistently gone in the GOP's favor. If Democrats cant pull out a win in fucking Maine or other states that have for sometime been considered swing states, I am very pessimistic they will be able to pull out one, let alone two, surprise upsets in the Georgia runoffs.
If you want to see where shit REALLY is on the line, check out some of the states that elect senators in 2022. Its basically a who's-who of swing states where incumbant senators are either retiring or controversial in some way shape or form:
