Nightless Sensor QF Mafia - Sign-ups

Author: Bullish
Mafia

Posts

Total: 23
Topic's author
#1
Bullish
Bullish's avatar
Debates: 0
Posts: 1,311
3
3
6
Bullish's avatar
Bullish
3
3
6
This is a quickfire style mafia game with special mechanics.

Game mechanics

  • 6 players, 4 town vs 2 mafia
  • Nightless - no nights, no night actions, no night kills
  • Sensor - at the beginning of the next day phase, I will state in the OP exactly how many mafia were on the lynch wagon the previous day.
  • Special mechanic - the first mafia to be lynched gets a bomb ability - he chooses 1 person to die with him.
  • No other roles.

Game rules

  • Normal rules apply, no screenshotting PMs, no outside comms, etc.
  • UNVOTEing is encouraged, not required
  • 24 hour DP cycles; no NP
  • Majority lynch
  • No-lynching results in mafia being awarded a kill

Game starts 2/17 at the earliest.

Sign-ups

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.

Topic's author
#2
Bullish
Bullish's avatar
Debates: 0
Posts: 1,311
3
3
6
Bullish's avatar
Bullish
3
3
6
Oh wait shit there's a QF queue. disregard this thread
#3
Speedrace
Speedrace's avatar
Debates: 63
Posts: 6,283
4
9
11
Speedrace's avatar
Speedrace
4
9
11
/in
Topic's author
#4
Bullish
Bullish's avatar
Debates: 0
Posts: 1,311
3
3
6
Bullish's avatar
Bullish
3
3
6
Sign up for this game is now open again. Game starts when it fills up.
#5
Lunatic
Lunatic's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 9,016
3
3
6
Lunatic's avatar
Lunatic
3
3
6
/in
#6
Lunatic
Lunatic's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 9,016
3
3
6
Lunatic's avatar
Lunatic
3
3
6
This set up seems to favor town heavily 
#7
Lunatic
Lunatic's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 9,016
3
3
6
Lunatic's avatar
Lunatic
3
3
6
Hmm maybe the bomb mechanic helps
Topic's author
#8
Bullish
Bullish's avatar
Debates: 0
Posts: 1,311
3
3
6
Bullish's avatar
Bullish
3
3
6
-->
@Lunatic
This set up seems to favor town heavily 
Town loses after staring off with 2 mislynches.

The probability of the first mislynch: 2/3

Probability of 2nd mislynch, if neither mafia is on the wagon: 0

if mafia are split 1-1: 1/2

if both mafia are on the wagon: 1/2

It's very unlikely scum will play it catastrophically wrong and both fail to vote the wagon, so I'm assuming 1/2.

this means the probability of town losing by way of 2 mislynches in a row is (2/3)*(1/2)=1/3.

If mafia is lynched in either of the first 2 lynches, they'll use the bomb ability and we reach 2:1 LyLo, where mafia has a low chance of winning because 1 or both of the remaining townies could be confirmed. Add this probability to the 1/3 I think this is a fairly balanced game.
#9
Lunatic
Lunatic's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 9,016
3
3
6
Lunatic's avatar
Lunatic
3
3
6
-->
@drafterman
@Vader
@oromagi
@Discipulus_Didicit
@Zaradi
interested?
#10
oromagi
oromagi's avatar
Debates: 117
Posts: 8,696
8
10
11
oromagi's avatar
oromagi
8
10
11
/in
#11
Zaradi
Zaradi's avatar
Debates: 4
Posts: 705
2
3
7
Zaradi's avatar
Zaradi
2
3
7
I'm working 2 jobs now. I just don't have the time for quickfires
Topic's author
#12
Bullish
Bullish's avatar
Debates: 0
Posts: 1,311
3
3
6
Bullish's avatar
Bullish
3
3
6
-->
@Speedrace
you still in?
#13
Speedrace
Speedrace's avatar
Debates: 63
Posts: 6,283
4
9
11
Speedrace's avatar
Speedrace
4
9
11
-->
@Bullish
Yep
#14
Vader
Vader's avatar
Debates: 30
Posts: 14,984
5
8
11
Vader's avatar
Vader
5
8
11
/out. im a bit busy atm
#15
drafterman
drafterman's avatar
Debates: 6
Posts: 5,653
3
6
9
drafterman's avatar
drafterman
3
6
9
/in
Topic's author
#16
Bullish
Bullish's avatar
Debates: 0
Posts: 1,311
3
3
6
Bullish's avatar
Bullish
3
3
6
-->
@oromagi
1. Speedrace
2. Lunatic
3. oromagi
4. drafterman
5.
6.

#17
Speedrace
Speedrace's avatar
Debates: 63
Posts: 6,283
4
9
11
Speedrace's avatar
Speedrace
4
9
11
-->
@WaterPhoenix
Hmm?
#18
Barney
Barney's avatar
Debates: 53
Posts: 3,466
5
9
10
Barney's avatar
Barney
5
9
10
/in
Topic's author
#19
Bullish
Bullish's avatar
Debates: 0
Posts: 1,311
3
3
6
Bullish's avatar
Bullish
3
3
6
-->
@Lunatic
You still in?
#20
Lunatic
Lunatic's avatar
Debates: 3
Posts: 9,016
3
3
6
Lunatic's avatar
Lunatic
3
3
6
Sure
Topic's author
#21
Bullish
Bullish's avatar
Debates: 0
Posts: 1,311
3
3
6
Bullish's avatar
Bullish
3
3
6
1. Speedrace
2. Lunatic
3. oromagi
4. drafterman
5. Ragnar
6.

one more.
#22
WaterPhoenix
WaterPhoenix's avatar
Debates: 12
Posts: 2,094
3
3
10
WaterPhoenix's avatar
WaterPhoenix
3
3
10
ok /in
Topic's author
#23
Bullish
Bullish's avatar
Debates: 0
Posts: 1,311
3
3
6
Bullish's avatar
Bullish
3
3
6
1. Speedrace
2. Lunatic
3. oromagi
4. drafterman
5. Ragnar
6. WaterPhoenix

PMs going out soon.

DP will start tomorrow morning.