DART Survivor Mafia - DP2

Author: drafterman

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SirAnonymous
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@WaterPhoenix
Oh. My mind didn't connect that you were the one I'd just suggested investigating. I feel dumb now.
WaterPhoenix
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@SirAnonymous
lol
Speedrace
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@SirAnonymous
Lol
Speedrace
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Reads soon after I eat dinner because I'm starving
Singularity
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@Speedrace
Nothing tastes as good as being thin
Speedrace
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@Singularity
Lol I've been exercising recently so I'm good

Anyway reads

Speedrace
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1. Ragnar

Null, weird for him though because someone else used the word "manufactured" when talking about his posts, which was EXACTLY the word that popped in my head"

2. SirAnon

Town, he's only been doing stuff to help everyone

3. Singularity

Null, I really can't tell

4. SupaDudz

Fantastic claim, but everything else is scummy (safe claim from mod??) I would vote Supa if it wasn't for his claim

5. Zaradi

Null, haven't gotten any vibes from him

6. GreyParrot

Outing water was scummy, but the whole Mason deal in general is townish

7. Speedrace

Pretty scummy

8. Water

Town, but you can't really tell with him lol
Mason deal makes him seem town, although the 1x limit as a possible copout makes *some* sense

9. ILikePie

Inactive
SirAnonymous
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@Speedrace
7. Speedrace

Pretty scummy
Ha!

SirAnonymous
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I'll get my reads up later tonight. I'll try to have some detailed analysis as well. Hopefully typing everything out will help me reach some conclusions.
Speedrace
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@SirAnonymous
Alrighty

Might try to find specific stuff for my scummy/null people
Zaradi
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I still really wanna kill supa, ngl
SirAnonymous
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@oromagi
Activity ping.

SirAnonymous
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@oromagi
Never mind, I'm dumb.
Speedrace
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@SirAnonymous
You realize he was lynched, right
Speedrace
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Lol
Speedrace
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@SirAnonymous
How is it that I logged on RIGHT between those two messages xD
SirAnonymous
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@Speedrace
That would take thinking. I just started writing my reads and noticed he hadn't posted. I'd forgotten that we lynched him.
drafterman
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@ILikePie5
@Speedrace
@WaterPhoenix
@SirAnonymous
@Zaradi
Vote Count
Ragnar - 1/5 - Singularity
Singularity - 3/5 - Grey, Ragnar, Supa

Note Voting: SirAnon, Zaradi, Speedrace, Water, ILikePie

There is less than 24 hours remaining. Players not voting by the end of the DP will be mod killed.

WaterPhoenix
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Like I stated before I'm down to hammer singularity.
SirAnonymous
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@WaterPhoenix
Let me finish my reads first. I need to know what direction to head first.
Zaradi
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Im not comfortable with a singularity lynch. Much rather kill supa

Vtl supa

also would be down to lynch Pie or Ragnar, but I'd prefer supa

SirAnonymous
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@Zaradi
If Supa is scum, then either there is a protective role we don't know about, or he waived the NK. He has a strong claim. Why do you want to lynch him?
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@SirAnonymous
Why does there have to be a protective role? And tbh I couldn't care less about his claim. His behavior has been super sketch, hence why I'm not inclined to believe his claim.
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@Zaradi
Because there was no NK. If Supa is scum, the only explanations for that is that there is a protective role we don't know about that blocked the kill, or Supa waived the NK, which is about the most un-Supa-like thing conceivable, next to voting for Bernie Sanders.
Zaradi
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@SirAnonymous
So long as an alt exists, there doesn't have to be a protective role. Hence, supa isn't town confirmed because he claimed BP. Since his play has been almost objectively scummy, I'm far more inclined to believe that the NK was waived, regardless of if Supa, specifically, waived it.

My question to you is if you don't consider his claim, would you say supa is more likely to be town or scum? If more likely to be scum, why are you believing his claim? 
Zaradi
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Assuming the mod doesn't provide scum with fake claims, part of being a good scum-sided player is being able to create a believable fake claim. BP is one of the easiest roles to fake claim because to make it look believable, you waive the NK. 

You can make the counterpoint that it's not town confirmed if another protective role outs themselves to also be a reason why there was no NK. But that trade-off is hella scum-sided because you just got the protective role to out themselves for free. 
SirAnonymous
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@Zaradi
So long as an alt exists, there doesn't have to be a protective role.
I know. However, the alternative is incredibly unlikely. 
Hence, supa isn't town confirmed because he claimed BP.
I know, but it is a strong claim.
Since his play has been almost objectively scummy, I'm far more inclined to believe that the NK was waived, regardless of if Supa, specifically, waived it.
There are two mafia. Unless the other mafia is the leader and overruled a kicking and screaming Supa, there is next to no way the NK would be waived. So far as I know, Supa has never waived an NK. He has done gambits, but they are always aggressive and never passive like waiving an NK. It is incredibly unlikely that Supa would do such a thing. The idea that the other mafioso overruled him doesn't seem likely.
My question to you is if you don't consider his claim, would you say supa is more likely to be town or scum?
Hard to say. He always looks scummy, to the point where it was joked in one mafia game that they knew he was town because he hadn't slipped yet. Worse than that, in the Lucid Dreamer's game, he scum slipped as town. Accounting for that, I would say he's null or leaning scum.
If more likely to be scum, why are you believing his claim? 
Because it is the best explanation for the lack of an NK. Of course, there are other explanations, but as yet, Supa being BP is still the best one.
SirAnonymous
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@Zaradi
BP is one of the easiest roles to fake claim because to make it look believable, you waive the NK. 
I know, and that is definitely a possibility. It just doesn't work with Supa psychologically. If he is scum and the mafia waived the NK, then he almost certainly has an experienced player as his partner.


Zaradi
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Has ragnar claimed? He should if he hasn't 
SirAnonymous
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@Zaradi
Yes. He claimed warren42 and vanilla.