With John Kerry giving his endorsement to Joe Biden yesterday afternoon, there are now two high-profile democrats who have endorsed someone early in the race, AOC and the Squad being the clear big one and now Kerry being second on the list. While Kerry has been overall irrelevant among the political news junkies, his history in the Dem party still puts him leagues above most other possible endorsements
Former nominee for the Dem party in 2004
Secretary of State for Obama from 2012 to 2016
Former Senator from 1984 to 2012
Short of Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, and Nancy Pelosi, Kerry is still one of the higher ranking Dems in the entire party based on resume and televised exposure. Its quite tempting to dismiss Kerry as a now irrelevant has-been, but his endorsement of Biden does have one particular ramification: It shows the limits of how far Buttigieg can lure voters
Sanders and Warren voters likely dont give a flying fuck what Kerry thinks or who he endorses. You can easily put him in a group with Biden and Hillary as 'establishment' Dems who have spent decades in public service and want to use the system to make changes to it, rather then overhaul the system entirely. Kerrys endorsement of Biden may only convince them more to back Warren or Sanders if anything.
But consider this. What if Kerry didnt endorse Biden, and instead endorsed Buttigieg? Or Klobuchar? Or Bloomberg? Had Kerry endorsed someone outside of Biden that was in the moderate/centrist faction of the party, it would be a MASSIVE vote of no confidence in Biden as the potential nominee, and cause a lot of Biden supporters to reevaluate their support for him. Kerry and Biden's political resumes are almost identical if not parallel in terms of the positions theyve held and how far theyve gone and how they have served the white house directly after failing to win it themselves. For Kerry to have endorsed someone else other than Biden, THAT would have been noteworthy.
By endorsing Biden, Kerry is not going to convince many people who werent already leaning towards Biden to switch over, and overall the endorsement will probably have little effect on overall polling (compared to AOC, whose endorsement of Bernie over Warren was so high profile that now Sanders is leading Warren in most major polls). The effect his endorsement DOES have on the race is less conspicuous. It lowers the ceiling on how high candidates like Buttigieg or Klobuchar or Bloomberg can go in trying to show they are a viable replacement to Biden for those who are more moderate and dont quite like Sanders and Warren.
Harris dropped out of the race due to campaign funding issues, others like Booker, Castro, Gabbard, and Klobuchar are likely on their way. Buttigeig can rely on his massive fundraising to keep him around, while Steyer and Bloomberg can continue to try to buy the nomination themselves, but Kerry's endorsement shows that these other lower tier moderate candidates have effectively run out of time if they are still in the single digits at this point.