So the election is over and Trump has won the election as the 47th president of the United States where he won all 7 battleground states and outperformed a bunch of metrics. I can safely say this is a landslide election. Blue states such as California shifted in -5% losses for Kamala from 2020, while also states such as NJ, IL have shifted 9% since 2020, along with 2016. So what do I think and what's the future for 2028?
Republicans
Republicans
Republicans this around did an excellent job and getting people to utilize the mail in ballots and early voting, something lacking in the 2020 election. This played key as it allowed a gain of Trump votes and was key to them winning. The biggest takeaway of this election is that Trump's tough immigration policy is working well with Latinos and that seems to be there top priority. Primarily blue counties in Texas and Florida flipped red for the first time since 1892. We also see Latino's turned out in a 13% surge. We also see new voters to the election turned out in a majority for Trump. Not much I can say at this point
Democrats
Democrats are potentially fucked. I say this cautiously but from what I have seen tonight, Dems are really in a bad position for 2028.
Let's start with this. They were doomed to win this election when they didn't get to vote for their candidate in the primary. Swing states are essential when it comes to having to choose your candidate in the election, and they didn't do that. This was a huge mistake on Biden and on the Dems. Kamala did not differentiate herself from Biden enough to resonate with the working class. even saying that "it will be just like Biden." Not only does that piss off your progressive base, but it also pisses off the undecided voters who were not happy with the current SOTU.
So What Now?
2028 is going to be...well something. There is no real telling of the future but if I had to bet on the GOP nominee for 2028, it would likely be Vance. But as for the Dems it's hard to say. If you alienate your moderates with a progressive candidate, you lose that vote to Vance. If you go moderate yet again, you lose the progressive vote, yet again. The party is split. Kamala may fair better in primaries, hell maybe Walz throws his money in there, but Vance is a better and more articulate version of Trump and they got rinsed in the election where Trump did poor in the debate. Vance lapped Walz and would lap him again and Kamala if they ran again. I don't know what moderate could do it. If you go into the moderate route you end up alienating your entire young voters who already shifting Republican. You go progressive and you alienate moderate and undecided voters that are not ready for those changes. Overall lose lose situation