Conservatism: A Brief Manifesto

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This is not a manifesto preceding a violent act. Rather, think of it simply as a higher quality than usual post from me. I wish to explain the logic underpinning modern conservatism, namely from a US-centric perspective but also corresponding to how it tends to manifest around the world. Everything I'm about to write will not be popular. I expect accusations of "bigot", which is modernity's equivalent to "heretic", to be flung around liberally. But for the record, I do not care. I intend to describe the world as an intellectually honest person can see that it is.

First, I ought to begin with the question: what is conservatism?
Some would say it's synonymous with "right-wing". Others say the conservative is doggedly pro-status quo. In that sense, a Soviet hardliner in 1991 who opposed the dissolution of the U.S.S.R. in favor of preserving communism might've been labeled a conservative. Same for a jungle savage who offers his children as sacrifices to the sun god and resists calls by a Christian missionary to stop doing so.
But I'd tender another definition. Conservatism is that which, in pre-modern times, before the advent of progressivism, was the was the core engine of human progress. It was the progressive ideology of its time, which was for many thousands of years. It was independently invented in many times and places, and indeed never stopped being continuously reinvented.
When we imagine progress, we're susceptible to what's called the just world fallacy. The 1950s were, compared to the 2020s, a materially backward time. We are much wealthier today than they were back then, and things like Jim Crow have since been abolished. Thus, the abolition of Jim Crow must also constitute progress.
Now, I don't disagree with this one. Jim Crow was obviously bad. But you could leap to the same conclusion about other things where unwarranted. Society is less religious today than it was 60 years ago, so less religion must be progress. The sexual revolution happened, so that must be progress too. We have a lavish welfare state that we didn't have 70 years ago, so the lavish welfare state must be progress, even when it's driven us $30 trillion into debt. And so on.

The other problem with this thinking is that, for the vast bulk of history, it was the opposite. From the Iron Age to the early stretches of the Industrial Revolution, that which accompanied material progress (e.g. more wealth) was decidedly not irreligion and libertinism. Instead, successful societies grew more pious, more austere in their lifestyles, and so on.

See, man in his natural state is a savage. Man here is a gender neutral term; neolithic adult males had no qualms about killing males from a rival kinship group ("tribe") and taking its women as concubines, while neolithic adult females had no qualms about committing infanticide. The respects in which males and females are savage usually tend to differ, but both are in desperate need of civilizing. It is the role of society to civilize the next generation just as it had the generation before it. Each person must learn to restrain his/her self from doing what he/she ought not to be doing, and each person must learn the discipline to make his/her self do what he/she ought to be doing. This is what enables our race to pull itself from the muck and realize its high potential. It is the difference between the Stone Age and a 21st century paradise. Or, more modestly, the difference between a cyberpunk dystopia and a cyberpunk utopia. Civilized people can build a better future, while uncivilized people can only help tear down what's been built.

There is, of course, not just one human society. People were geographically distributed wherever they could eke out a living.
All of them started out knowing little to nothing, so those which moved out of the Stone Age developed culture and underwent cultural evolution. Some, like China, India, Sumer, and the Mesoamericans (who to be fair weren't just one civilization), gradually built sophisticated cultures without having to borrow much from the outside world. But for most, the process entailed borrowing and at times being borrowed from. To name a minor example, Alexander the Great adopted court etiquette practices from the Persians who he'd conquered. The Carolingians and their successor states at times did the same with the Byzantine court. This is, of course, to say nothing about things like literature. Likewise, cultures rose and fell; for example, the complicated and stratified society that the Zoroastrians had built in Iran was washed away with the Islamic conquests, which imposed its own (in some respects superior) structure but retained a few native Iranian elements.
By the year 1500, there were distinct civilizational blocs in Afro-Eurasia. Western Christianity, Eastern/Oriental Christianity, the Islamic world (Sunni and Shia), India, China and the sinosphere, the Buddhist world, and perhaps Japan. Excluded was northern Eurasia where nobody but nomads lived, much of Sub-Saharan Africa, most Pacific islands, and of course the Americas.
All of these blocs had imposed rules governing everyday life, justified by powerful religious myths (a broad term I use regardless of their objective truth value). There were religious and secular hierarchies. Complicated wasn't better by default, but you couldn't have well-organized without complexity.
Over time, progress was made not just in passing rules but in enforcing them. For example, Catholic clergy were ordered to be celibate early on, but it wasn't until the High Middle Ages that this rule was widely obeyed. There were many centuries during which this rule only existed in the books and not in practice. There was never such a requirement in the Eastern/Oriental Orthodox world. At least in Russia, the title of parish priest was often hereditary; a father would teach his son how to do the job, and then hand the reins to him upon retiring, and this practice continued well into the 19th century. A non-hereditary priesthood had its advantages, such as a more cosmopolitan-minded, well-educated, and meritocratic leadership. (And yes, Protestants eventually did away with celibate priests, but the societies in which Protestantism took hold were already well developed even by European standards so they could afford to do it). Another reason why the Catholic bloc fared better is because the Vatican imposed a uniform liturgical language, thus literary lingua franca, across a vast area, whereas the Eastern/Oriental Orthodox intellectual scene was fragmented among Greek, Church Slavonic, Aramaic, Armenian, Coptic, and Ge'ez speakers. Especially before the invention of the printing press this made a huge difference in developmental outcomes.
To give another example about enforcing rules, polygamy was outlawed by Christianity from the start but it didn't die out in Christian Europe until about the High Middle Ages. Thus, it couldn't be taken for granted that the mere fact of a religion existing led to this kind of progress. It was a continuous battle by the "saints" against the "sinners". Sometimes the moral muscle would atrophy and things would slide backwards, such as in the Ottoman Empire, which became notorious for how common homosexuality and male pederasty was, and in Afghanistan and Pakistan to the point where they're still grappling with bacha bazi today.
Likewise, societies that were already religious could go even further and experience a religious revival. See Geneva under John Calvin's influence, or early modern England where every other crime was punishable by the death penalty. Protestantism led to more puritanical societies than their Catholic neighbors, though Catholicism itself enjoyed a lesser revival through the Counter-Reformation. And this itself was a continuation of growing interest in the religious life that began during the High Middle Ages, such as with the Devotio Moderna movement.
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Anyway, let's consider the Industrial Revolution. Where did it begin? In Afro-Eurasia where high civilizations sprung up. Where in Afro-Eurasia? In Christendom, whose religion was morality-centric and understood morality in holistic, comprehensive terms as opposed to just respecting a god, a monarch, or one's parents.
Where in Christendom? In Western Christendom, which was more developed than Eastern Christendom. And where in Western Christendom? In the Protestant bloc, specifically Britain and the Low Countries.
In short, the history of the world from the Iron Age to the Industrial Revolution vindicates the conservative project. But if I were to stop this post here, it wouldn't be enough to make my position clear.

Like I stated, the civilizing process is intergenerational. Each young person must be socialized into the norms that've been built up to date, so that he/she too will adhere to them and value them as worth preserving. But there are different avenues by which this process might break down. First, a country might, of its own accord, choose to shrug them off. This is what's happened in the West with most of the sexual taboos of yore, and this is slowly trickling down even to Third World countries.
Suppose you're just a porn viewer. This isn't enormously harmful to society, but it still has consequences. In one major sphere of life, your ability to delay gratification has stagnated, and this will make you more of a hedonist across the board. You lose motivation to work when you don't have to, to take initiatives that'll pay off down the road but don't immediately, when you could just play now. Sex is, of course, not the only kind of gratification, but it matters.
Second, there's bastardry. One or more generations of kids are raised by a single parent, whose full socialization will often be impaired. It's not the child's fault, of course, but it has consequences nonetheless.

Third, there's those who were "barbarians" to begin with. This is where I'm going to get controversial. But like I said, not all cultures produce equal outcomes. Some do more to civilize men than others. Again, it's not a person's fault that they were brought up into such a culture, but it has consequences.
Western/Central Europeans, and their descendants in the US ("Whites"), are the product of 1,500 years of fairly efficient civilizing. Much of this period was traumatic, such as for our ancestors born into a time where stealing a loaf of bread could result in the death penalty. But the merits of this civilizing project were in full bloom by the early 20th century, when most of the world's population lived under the thumb of European colonial powers. The act of colonizing was not itself virtuous (quite the opposite), but it took a great deal of virtue to make a nation strong enough to subjugate a much larger population across the sea if it wanted to.
The descendants of immigrants (voluntary or involuntary) from other civilizational blocs are not. In the US today, the two largest non-White demographics are Blacks and Latinos.

Latinos are descended namely from two groups: Iberians (Spanish/Portuguese) and indigenous peoples of the Americas. The Iberians are Catholics as opposed to Protestant, and due to circumstances like 700-800 years of Moorish occupation and on/off brutal warring known as the Reconquista, were probably behind the Catholic average at the time when Columbus sailed the ocean blue. Backward social structures exported to Latin America certainly didn't help their integration into the European mainstream. The indigenous peoples, on their part, were only halfway Westernized and Christianized, though it certainly didn't help that the Iberians had little interest in treating them as equals and enslaved many of them for centuries.
I'll add that there were Catholic and Eastern Orthodox immigrants (e.g. Irish, Poles, Italians, Russians, Ukrainians, etc.) from across Europe who came to the United States, who successfully assimilated without having to give up their religion. The reason is because, being vastly outnumbered, and with new arrivals (who might reinforce the old culture) cut off by the 1924 immigration reform bill, they adopted the culture and lifestyle norms of the majority in all respects except for their private religion.
The 1965 immigration reform bill, which dropped the unfair racial quotas that existed under the 1924 immigration regime while keeping limits on the number of people allowed to immigrate per year, was a fair compromise. Anyone from anywhere in the world could come, so long as it was in a controlled trickle that'd force them to become proper Americans. Illegal immigration, however, has fundamentally broken this compromise. Immigrants from Latin America are unvetted and so numerous as to make forcing them to assimilate into the majority culture a challenge.

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Black Americans are descended mostly from peoples who inhabited the West Coast of Africa. Some of the peoples of this region were Muslim, while others were pagan. Given the long-term competitive advantage of monotheistic religions, the share of pagans was probably higher the farther back you go in time, such as to the height of the Trans-Atlantic Slave Trade. Since the losers of local conflicts were the ones who wound up as slaves, and since Muslim societies would've presumably been better organized to win these struggles, we can assume the large majority of slaves were from pagan backgrounds, and the handful of Muslims found themselves completely isolated and under pressure to abandon their religion, which they and/or their descendants did with time. The process of Christianizing and Westernizing them, again, was hampered by the disinterest by Whites in treating them as equals. For centuries, they had no experience living in a civic society. They knew only the fear of the lash, the gun, and the noose.
By the early 1960s, to their credit, Black Americans had developed a rich tradition of Black churches and there was a growing Black middle class. Many of them had largely integrated despite unfair White-imposed obstacles to doing so. But during the '60s, at the height of the civil rights movement, there was a collective revolt by disaffected and radicalized Black youths against the culture they were both expected and not allowed to integrate into. This was an understandable reaction given the way they'd been treated, but since they had no alternative to fall back on the Black community fell into dissolution and nihilism.

The fourth avenue by which the civilizing process breaks down is social contagion. If a vocal minority flaunts the rules underpinning civilized society, then it can inspire members of the majority to copy their behavior. A de facto coalition of Blacks (not all, but many), Latinos (not all, but many), and a pre-existing minority of lawless Whites has changed the culture to make it not only acceptable but "cool" to reject the values that made America great. This is encouraged further by progressive ideology, which preaches cultural relativism (the idea that a pagan culture and that of an advanced society are equally valid) and conflates looking down on a backward culture which members of a race happen to currently hold to with looking down on the race itself.

America became great not just because of its amazing Constitution but because it was founded by the most civilized peoples in the world, and because later arrivals did for a long time assent to become like them as the price of entry. At this point, a large chunk of the US population consists of "barbarians". I'd say that even a majority is quasi-barbaric. European conservatives have long abandoned the culture wars and assume that if solid governmental norms can be preserved, then civilization will be able to chug along. The problem with this is that, in a democracy, a corrupted majority will, sooner or later, vote for a corrupted government. They won't see the value in preserving things like property rights when they can just use the state to take what they want and see their desires gratified now. And the more their personal shortcomings translate to financial woes, the more they'll be tempted to wield the authoritarian sword for self-enrichment without true self-betterment.
America has long rested on its laurels, or so to speak. Conditions have kept coasting upward through the momentum our ancestors built up, but eventually the poor character of the 21st century American will have consequences. If you are young, then you will see and feel those consequences personally, assuming you aren't living them now. The only solution is to either restore the founding culture of the United States or to replace it with a new culture which, whatever its ethnic origin if any, happens to be just as virtuous as it once was.

Despite how it may have come across, the point of this post wasn't to point fingers at anyone. At this point, we all have one kind of behavioral issue or another. But hopefully you understand the logic tying together the economic, religious, and even Trumpian wings of the GOP. It's not a set of disparate policy positions that have nothing to do with each other. Not when you really look closely.

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Appeal to civilization!
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@Swagnarok
This is an interesting take. If I understand you correctly, you see conservatism as "taming the natural beast" of man where Progressivism allows man to act with no constraints?
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@Swagnarok
Thanks for your effort with that. It was a much easier read than it looked! It reminds me of the saying: “Hard times make hard men; hard men make good times; good times make soft men; soft men make hard times.”
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@Greyparrot
Yeah, pretty much. When the citizens of a society are better, that beautifies it and creates a better place to live.

We can't think of crime just in terms of statistics, or of a minority which gets victimized in one way or another. We have to think of the broader opportunity costs.

Imagine a childhood where, at 8 years old, you'd leave your house after school each day and wander the neighborhood meeting and befriending different people. Then, as the sun was going down, you'd turn around and head home. Imagine that, as an adult, you could strike up a conversation with anyone you met without fear that the interaction would go badly. You could randomly invite a stranger to your house for a meal, or come dine at their table, and genuinely have little risk to worry about in doing so. Now imagine being a girl/woman and all of the above still held true.

Wouldn't such a place resemble a utopia? But this is what crime robs of us. And to be frank, it's the bare minimum of what the realized conservative project has to offer. This is mere non-aggression; it doesn't touch on positive virtue and a country full of people who all strive for self-betterment and collaborate daily to get there.
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Okay, I'll admit that cars would still make this dangerous even if people could be trusted. But suppose you lived in a low-traffic neighborhood with a speed limit of 15 MPH.
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@Swagnarok
Okay, I'll admit that cars would still make this dangerous even if people could be trusted. But suppose you lived in a low-traffic neighborhood with a speed limit of 15 MPH.
From what I have seen so far, almost no one obeys speed limit laws, so penalty is impossible.

There is cost efficiency to every penalty. When people do something massively, severe punishments are impossible to enforce.

I would love if everyone was driving at 15 mph. It would prevent many accidents, like in Japan.
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@Best.Korea
I would love if everyone was driving at 15 mph. It would prevent many accidents, like in Japan.
That's easy to say when you're in a city where everything's a 20 minute walk away. But if you lived in a remote area, life itself would become insufferable.
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@Swagnarok
We have to think of the broader opportunity costs.
This is a hard sell politically, because you are promising a standard and quality of life that most people forgot ever existed.
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@Swagnarok
That's easy to say when you're in a city where everything's a 20 minute walk away. But if you lived in a remote area, life itself would become insufferable.
Depends on how much you travel daily. If 60 miles, 15 mph means you travel for 4 hours.

The average driver in USA drives for 40 miles a day, which is less than 3 hours if 15 mph.

If speed limit was 25 miles per hour, then even 50 miles would be covered in two hours.

Japan has much lower rate of car accidents than USA, speed limit being 20, 25 miles per hour.

Of course, areas that are far away from city might need different speed limit, depending on distance needed.

10 days later

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this post seems more interesting than dogshit american low politics between 2 shit candidates, I think I'll respond to this later